Hangzhou Open: Hugo Gaston vs Andrey Rublev

$692.8K Vol
Oct 4, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Andrey Rublev 98.5%
Hugo Gaston 1.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Hangzhou Open: Hugo Gaston vs Andrey Rublev”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Completed Match is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Hangzhou Open: Hugo Gaston vs Andrey Rublev Game Spread +/-4.5 follows in second place at 9,995%, while Hangzhou Open: Hugo Gaston vs Andrey Rublev sits in third with 5%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $692.8K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Completed Match (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Completed Match is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $12.9K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Hangzhou Open: Hugo Gaston vs Andrey Rublev Game Spread +/-4.5 (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Hangzhou Open: Hugo Gaston vs Andrey Rublev Game Spread +/-4.5 maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • Hangzhou Open: Hugo Gaston vs Andrey Rublev (5%): Sitting in third place with a 5% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Hangzhou Open: Hugo Gaston vs Andrey Rublev, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Completed Match9995.0%$12.9K9995¢-9895¢
2Hangzhou Open: Hugo Gaston vs Andrey Rublev Game Spread +/-4.59995.0%$7969995¢-9895¢
3Hangzhou Open: Hugo Gaston vs Andrey Rublev5.0%$669.1K5¢95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Hugo Gaston and Andrey Rublev in the Hangzhou Open, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Hugo Gaston' if Hugo Gaston advances against Andrey Rublev.

This market will resolve to 'Andrey Rublev' if Andrey Rublev advances against Hugo Gaston.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 26, 2026

  • 11:57 PM
    HOhoffmann63
    $48.00

    Bought 60 Andrey Rublev for Hangzhou Open: Hugo Gaston vs Andrey Rublev at 0.8

  • 11:43 PM
    HHhhhizli
    $40.00

    Bought 190.476191 Hugo Gaston for Hangzhou Open: Hugo Gaston vs Andrey Rublev at 0.21

  • 11:38 PM
    ——
    $197.53

    Bought 246.9125 Andrey Rublev for Hangzhou Open: Hugo Gaston vs Andrey Rublev at 0.8

  • 11:37 PM
    ——
    $49.16

    Bought 83.322034 Andrey Rublev for Set Handicap: Andrey Rublev (-1.5) vs Hugo Gaston (+1.5) at 0.59

  • 11:16 PM
    RArandomvision
    $15.00

    Bought 71.428572 Hugo Gaston for Hangzhou Open: Hugo Gaston vs Andrey Rublev at 0.21

  • 10:39 PM
    0X0x82e79f4f417e009B8A64679472a184d7d701c61C-1770060808709
    $5.00

    Bought 6.25 Andrey Rublev for Hangzhou Open: Hugo Gaston vs Andrey Rublev at 0.8

  • 10:20 PM
    NInigiri99
    $4.62

    Bought 11 Over for Gaston vs. Rublev: Match O/U 22.5 at 0.42

  • 09:56 PM
    SUSuvlehimTakats
    $8.08

    Bought 10.1 Andrey Rublev for Hangzhou Open: Hugo Gaston vs Andrey Rublev at 0.8

  • 09:27 PM
    JAJakeHursty
    $50.00

    Bought 62.5 Andrey Rublev for Hangzhou Open: Hugo Gaston vs Andrey Rublev at 0.8

  • 09:27 PM
    RPrplc-ftbl
    $9.81

    Bought 12.2625 Andrey Rublev for Hangzhou Open: Hugo Gaston vs Andrey Rublev at 0.8

  • 08:36 PM
    VEVeseloVozerecupaca
    $200.00

    Bought 250 Andrey Rublev for Hangzhou Open: Hugo Gaston vs Andrey Rublev at 0.8

  • 07:44 PM
    PAPauchek1488
    $23.67

    Sold 29.96 Andrey Rublev for Hangzhou Open: Hugo Gaston vs Andrey Rublev at 0.79

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

OM1
omnibus-076daa
Event PnL
-$10,347.23
Volume
$32,672.17
Positions
Hugo Gaston
FE2
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
+$691.20
Volume
$20,781.70
Positions
Andrey Rublev
VL3
vladiva
Event PnL
-$1,322.58
Volume
$13,031.97
Positions
Hugo Gaston
324
0x32b4…3653
Event PnL
+$3,073.52
Volume
$12,587.09
Positions
Andrey Rublev
AN5
Antblack
Event PnL
-$838.21
Volume
$8,823.82
Positions
Hugo Gaston
DM6
dmoralez
Event PnL
+$1,620.76
Volume
$7,796.79
Positions
Andrey Rublev
247
0x241A…1516
Event PnL
-$1,958.91
Volume
$6,579.84
Positions
Hugo Gaston
VE8
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
-$0.38
Volume
$6,069.95
Positions
Hugo GastonHugo Gaston

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Hangzhou Open: Hugo Gaston vs Andrey Rublev"?

As of the latest update, Completed Match leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Hangzhou Open: Hugo Gaston vs Andrey Rublev Game Spread +/-4.5 at 9,995% and Hangzhou Open: Hugo Gaston vs Andrey Rublev at 5%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $692.8K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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