US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo

$54.3K Vol
Sep 11, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Taylor Fritz 86.5%
Francisco Cerundolo 13.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo is dominating the market with an overwhelming 8,650% chance of winning. US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 1 Winner follows in second place at 7,450%, while US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set Handicap +/-1.5 sits in third with 7,250%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $54.3K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo (8,650%): Currently commanding the highest probability, US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 8,650¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $53.0K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 1 Winner (7,450%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 1 Winner maintains a 7,450% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 7,450¢.
  • US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set Handicap +/-1.5 (7,250%): Sitting in third place with a 7,250% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set Handicap +/-1.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 2 Winner (7,150%), US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 1 O/U 8.5 (7,150%), and US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 3 Winner (7,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Game Spread +/-5.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo8650.0%$53.0K8650¢-8550¢
2US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 1 Winner7450.0%7450¢-7350¢
3US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set Handicap +/-1.57250.0%$727250¢-7150¢
4US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 2 Winner7150.0%7150¢-7050¢
5US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 1 O/U 8.57150.0%7150¢-7050¢
6US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 3 Winner7000.0%7000¢-6900¢
7US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Game Spread +/-5.55750.0%5750¢-5650¢
8US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Total Sets: O/U 3.55150.0%$3195150¢-5050¢
9Completed Match5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 4 Winner5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 3 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 3 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 3 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 4 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 4 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 4 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 1 O/U 9.54700.0%4700¢-4600¢
21US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set Handicap +/-2.54650.0%$1.5K4650¢-4550¢
22US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Match O/U 36.54600.0%4600¢-4500¢
23US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Match O/U 38.53950.0%3950¢-3850¢
24US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Match O/U 40.53650.0%3650¢-3550¢
25US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 1 O/U 10.52800.0%2800¢-2700¢
26US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Total Sets: O/U 4.51900.0%1900¢-1800¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Taylor Fritz and Francisco Cerundolo in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Taylor Fritz' if Taylor Fritz advances against Francisco Cerundolo.

This market will resolve to 'Francisco Cerundolo' if Francisco Cerundolo advances against Taylor Fritz.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 5, 2026

  • 09:21 AM
    0X0x715DA5479Ff20b18641909Ce82764D88a9BbA4bA-1783109576115
    $27.04

    Bought 52 Over 3.5 for Taylor Fritz vs. Francisco Cerundolo: Total Sets O/U 3.5 at 0.52

  • 09:20 AM
    0X0x715DA5479Ff20b18641909Ce82764D88a9BbA4bA-1783109576115
    $30.00

    Bought 200 Francisco Cerundolo for US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo at 0.15

  • 09:09 AM
    0X0x25f332C3163D9906B773da7a4eCF09b68E11d1Ab-1772975274187
    $10.00

    Bought 66.666665 Francisco Cerundolo for US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo at 0.15

  • 08:56 AM
    ZEZeljko
    $400.00

    Bought 465.116278 Taylor Fritz for US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo at 0.86

  • 08:56 AM
    ZEZeljko
    $1,000.00

    Bought 1162.790696 Taylor Fritz for US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo at 0.86

  • 08:45 AM
    JOJohn-Riley
    $30.00

    Bought 34.883714 Taylor Fritz for US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo at 0.86

  • 08:35 AM
    JOJohn-Riley
    $29.91

    Bought 58.653845 Over 3.5 for Taylor Fritz vs. Francisco Cerundolo: Total Sets O/U 3.5 at 0.51

  • 08:06 AM
    EMemoney
    $300.00

    Bought 638.297871 Fritz for Set Handicap: Fritz (-2.5) vs Cerundolo (+2.5) at 0.47

  • 08:06 AM
    0X0x376FBec636b920eB563C826750EB498728850Cb6-1764010232848
    $1.00

    Bought 1.162785 Taylor Fritz for US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo at 0.86

  • 08:03 AM
    NJnjhfygt
    $3.00

    Bought 3.488371 Taylor Fritz for US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo at 0.86

  • 08:02 AM
    THThiruvilayadal
    $103.32

    Bought 120.14 Taylor Fritz for US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo at 0.86

  • 07:57 AM
    $1.54

    Bought 10.266665 Francisco Cerundolo for US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo at 0.15

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

IS1
Israel10
Event PnL
-$47.49
Volume
$9,500.07
Positions
Francisco Cerundolo
0X2
0x0x23…h8c9
Event PnL
+$29.41
Volume
$5,882.35
Positions
Taylor Fritz
PL3
pltrkr111
Event PnL
+$11.76
Volume
$2,352.94
Positions
Taylor Fritz
HO4
Hoch
Event PnL
-$5.88
Volume
$1,176.47
Positions
Taylor Fritz
LI5
Lilybaeum
Event PnL
+$5.69
Volume
$1,137.67
Positions
Francisco Cerundolo
FE6
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
+$5.61
Volume
$1,122.05
Positions
Taylor Fritz
VE7
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
+$6.38
Volume
$1,025.47
Positions
Cerundolo
LI8
LiquidatedDegen
Event PnL
-$4.69
Volume
$937.50
Positions
Francisco Cerundolo

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo"?

As of the latest update, US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo leads the field as the frontrunner with a 8,650% win probability, followed by US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 1 Winner at 7,450% and US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo Set Handicap +/-1.5 at 7,250%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $54.3K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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