Hangzhou Open: Jaime Faria vs Hugo Gaston

$575.7K Vol
Oct 2, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Hugo Gaston 82.5%
Jaime Faria 17.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Hangzhou Open: Jaime Faria vs Hugo Gaston”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Hangzhou Open: Jaime Faria vs Hugo Gaston Match O/U 23.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,050% chance of winning. Completed Match follows in second place at 5,000%, while Hangzhou Open: Jaime Faria vs Hugo Gaston Game Spread +/-2.5 sits in third with 4,500%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $575.7K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Hangzhou Open: Jaime Faria vs Hugo Gaston Match O/U 23.5 (9,050%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Hangzhou Open: Jaime Faria vs Hugo Gaston Match O/U 23.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,050¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Completed Match (5,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Completed Match maintains a 5,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,000¢.
  • Hangzhou Open: Jaime Faria vs Hugo Gaston Game Spread +/-2.5 (4,500%): Sitting in third place with a 4,500% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Hangzhou Open: Jaime Faria vs Hugo Gaston Game Spread +/-2.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Hangzhou Open: Jaime Faria vs Hugo Gaston (1,350%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Hangzhou Open: Jaime Faria vs Hugo Gaston are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Hangzhou Open: Jaime Faria vs Hugo Gaston Match O/U 23.59050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
2Completed Match5000.0%$3.4K5000¢-4900¢
3Hangzhou Open: Jaime Faria vs Hugo Gaston Game Spread +/-2.54500.0%$1.1K4500¢-4400¢
4Hangzhou Open: Jaime Faria vs Hugo Gaston1350.0%$362.2K1350¢-1250¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Jaime Faria and Hugo Gaston in the Hangzhou Open, originally scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 7:30AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Jaime Faria' if Jaime Faria advances against Hugo Gaston.

This market will resolve to 'Hugo Gaston' if Hugo Gaston advances against Jaime Faria.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 25, 2026

  • 11:58 AM
    0X0x481538D75B9F396Ac7c2E31995C9153CCC008Ba4-1775053370175
    $450.00

    Bought 714.285713 Jaime Faria for Hangzhou Open: Jaime Faria vs Hugo Gaston at 0.63

  • 11:56 AM
    0X0xBaf85F5c7EEb664232339E69b3543a7c403627CF-1781448616653
    $21.50

    Bought 44.791667 Over for Faria vs. Gaston: Match O/U 22.5 at 0.48

  • 11:56 AM
    SHShoveIsAllYouNeed
    $200.00

    Bought 526.31579 Hugo Gaston for Hangzhou Open: Jaime Faria vs Hugo Gaston at 0.38

  • 11:53 AM
    ——
    $192.15

    Bought 305 Jaime Faria for Hangzhou Open: Jaime Faria vs Hugo Gaston at 0.63

  • 11:53 AM
    SASALADITO
    $20.00

    Bought 47.619048 Jaime Faria for Set Handicap: Jaime Faria (-1.5) vs Hugo Gaston (+1.5) at 0.42

  • 11:52 AM
    SASALADITO
    $10.00

    Bought 23.809524 Jaime Faria for Set Handicap: Jaime Faria (-1.5) vs Hugo Gaston (+1.5) at 0.42

  • 11:52 AM
    SASALADITO
    $20.00

    Bought 47.619048 Jaime Faria for Set Handicap: Jaime Faria (-1.5) vs Hugo Gaston (+1.5) at 0.42

  • 11:52 AM
    SASALADITO
    $40.00

    Bought 95.238096 Jaime Faria for Set Handicap: Jaime Faria (-1.5) vs Hugo Gaston (+1.5) at 0.42

  • 11:52 AM
    SASALADITO
    $40.00

    Bought 95.238096 Jaime Faria for Set Handicap: Jaime Faria (-1.5) vs Hugo Gaston (+1.5) at 0.42

  • 11:52 AM
    SASALADITO
    $49.81

    Bought 118.604652 Jaime Faria for Set Handicap: Jaime Faria (-1.5) vs Hugo Gaston (+1.5) at 0.42

  • 11:51 AM
    SASALADITO
    $49.81

    Bought 118.604652 Jaime Faria for Set Handicap: Jaime Faria (-1.5) vs Hugo Gaston (+1.5) at 0.42

  • 11:51 AM
    SASALADITO
    $49.81

    Bought 118.604419 Jaime Faria for Set Handicap: Jaime Faria (-1.5) vs Hugo Gaston (+1.5) at 0.42

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

OR1
ORI-
Event PnL
-$6,443.83
Volume
$51,297.47
Positions
Jaime FariaJaime Faria
TH2
THEHIGHLIFE
Event PnL
+$4,950.02
Volume
$30,000.00
Positions
Hugo GastonHugo Gaston
0X3
0x0x23…h8c9
Event PnL
+$472.97
Volume
$13,513.51
Positions
Hugo Gaston
F14
0xf12f…3239
Event PnL
+$228.48
Volume
$9,699.96
Positions
Hugo Gaston
RN5
RN1
Event PnL
+$1,102.17
Volume
$7,060.97
Positions
Hugo Gaston
TR6
tradecraft
Event PnL
-$246.23
Volume
$6,460.00
Positions
Jaime Faria
077
0x076d…8d4c
Event PnL
+$1,451.17
Volume
$6,230.20
Positions
Hugo Gaston
QU8
Quepasa77
Event PnL
+$1,050.70
Volume
$6,080.73
Positions
Hugo Gaston

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Hangzhou Open: Jaime Faria vs Hugo Gaston"?

As of the latest update, Hangzhou Open: Jaime Faria vs Hugo Gaston Match O/U 23.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,050% win probability, followed by Completed Match at 5,000% and Hangzhou Open: Jaime Faria vs Hugo Gaston Game Spread +/-2.5 at 4,500%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $575.7K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

Get Started