Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jaime Faria vs Arthur Fery

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Oct 8, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Arthur Fery 50.5%
Jaime Faria 49.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jaime Faria vs Arthur Fery”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jaime Faria vs Arthur Fery Set 1 O/U 8.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 8,100% chance of winning. Completed Match follows in second place at 5,350%, while Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jaime Faria vs Arthur Fery Match O/U 22.5 sits in third with 5,250%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached —, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jaime Faria vs Arthur Fery Set 1 O/U 8.5 (8,100%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jaime Faria vs Arthur Fery Set 1 O/U 8.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 8,100¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Completed Match (5,350%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Completed Match maintains a 5,350% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,350¢.
  • Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jaime Faria vs Arthur Fery Match O/U 22.5 (5,250%): Sitting in third place with a 5,250% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jaime Faria vs Arthur Fery Match O/U 22.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jaime Faria vs Arthur Fery Set 1 Winner (5,050%), Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jaime Faria vs Arthur Fery Set 2 Winner (5,000%), and Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jaime Faria vs Arthur Fery Game Spread +/-0.5 (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jaime Faria vs Arthur Fery are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jaime Faria vs Arthur Fery Set 1 O/U 8.58100.0%—8100¢-8000¢
2Completed Match5350.0%—5350¢-5250¢
3Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jaime Faria vs Arthur Fery Match O/U 22.55250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
4Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jaime Faria vs Arthur Fery Set 1 Winner5050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
5Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jaime Faria vs Arthur Fery Set 2 Winner5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
6Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jaime Faria vs Arthur Fery Game Spread +/-0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jaime Faria vs Arthur Fery4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
8Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jaime Faria vs Arthur Fery Set 2 O/U 8.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
9Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jaime Faria vs Arthur Fery Set 2 O/U 9.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
10Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jaime Faria vs Arthur Fery Set 2 O/U 10.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
11Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jaime Faria vs Arthur Fery Match O/U 23.54650.0%—4650¢-4550¢
12Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jaime Faria vs Arthur Fery Total Sets: O/U 2.54200.0%—4200¢-4100¢
13Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jaime Faria vs Arthur Fery Match O/U 21.53350.0%—3350¢-3250¢
14Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jaime Faria vs Arthur Fery Set 1 O/U 9.53150.0%—3150¢-3050¢
15Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jaime Faria vs Arthur Fery Set 1 O/U 10.53100.0%—3100¢-3000¢
16Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jaime Faria vs Arthur Fery Set Handicap +/-1.53000.0%—3000¢-2900¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Jaime Faria and Arthur Fery in the Japan Open Tennis Championships, originally scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Jaime Faria' if Jaime Faria advances against Arthur Fery.

This market will resolve to 'Arthur Fery' if Arthur Fery advances against Jaime Faria.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jaime Faria vs Arthur Fery"?

As of the latest update, Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jaime Faria vs Arthur Fery Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 8,100% win probability, followed by Completed Match at 5,350% and Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jaime Faria vs Arthur Fery Match O/U 22.5 at 5,250%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached —, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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