Phan Thiet 4: Blake Ellis vs Hiroki Moriya

$82.3K Vol
Sep 21, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Blake Ellis 74.5%
Hiroki Moriya 25.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Phan Thiet 4: Blake Ellis vs Hiroki Moriya”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Phan Thiet 4: Blake Ellis vs Hiroki Moriya is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,550% chance of winning. Phan Thiet 4: Blake Ellis vs Hiroki Moriya Game Spread +/-0.5 follows in second place at 5,000%, while Completed Match sits in third with 4,950%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $82.3K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Phan Thiet 4: Blake Ellis vs Hiroki Moriya (7,550%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Phan Thiet 4: Blake Ellis vs Hiroki Moriya is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,550¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $83.6K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Phan Thiet 4: Blake Ellis vs Hiroki Moriya Game Spread +/-0.5 (5,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Phan Thiet 4: Blake Ellis vs Hiroki Moriya Game Spread +/-0.5 maintains a 5,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,000¢.
  • Completed Match (4,950%): Sitting in third place with a 4,950% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Completed Match, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Phan Thiet 4: Blake Ellis vs Hiroki Moriya7550.0%$83.6K7550¢-7450¢
2Phan Thiet 4: Blake Ellis vs Hiroki Moriya Game Spread +/-0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
3Completed Match4950.0%4950¢-4850¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Blake Ellis and Hiroki Moriya in the Phan Thiet 4, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 11:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Blake Ellis' if Blake Ellis advances against Hiroki Moriya.

This market will resolve to 'Hiroki Moriya' if Hiroki Moriya advances against Blake Ellis.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 15, 2026

  • 10:29 AM
    $95.69

    Bought 598.0625 Hiroki Moriya for Phan Thiet 4: Blake Ellis vs Hiroki Moriya at 0.16

  • 10:29 AM
    PRPRppr
    $87.36

    Bought 104 Blake Ellis for Phan Thiet 4: Blake Ellis vs Hiroki Moriya at 0.84

  • 10:27 AM
    LOlomatic
    $29.04

    Bought 33 Blake Ellis for Phan Thiet 4: Blake Ellis vs Hiroki Moriya at 0.88

  • 10:27 AM
    WIWilliMekkit
    $1.74

    Bought 10.88 Hiroki Moriya for Phan Thiet 4: Blake Ellis vs Hiroki Moriya at 0.16

  • 10:27 AM
    0X0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846
    $3.27

    Bought 21.82 Hiroki Moriya for Phan Thiet 4: Blake Ellis vs Hiroki Moriya at 0.15

  • 10:27 AM
    0X0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846
    $0.70

    Bought 5 Hiroki Moriya for Phan Thiet 4: Blake Ellis vs Hiroki Moriya at 0.14

  • 10:26 AM
    0X0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846
    $1.00

    Bought 6.666667 Hiroki Moriya for Phan Thiet 4: Blake Ellis vs Hiroki Moriya at 0.15

  • 10:26 AM
    $5.00

    Bought 33.333334 Hiroki Moriya for Phan Thiet 4: Blake Ellis vs Hiroki Moriya at 0.15

  • 10:25 AM
    EUEulhunter
    $2.57

    Bought 23.39 Hiroki Moriya for Phan Thiet 4: Blake Ellis vs Hiroki Moriya at 0.11

  • 10:24 AM
    OJojg
    $4.20

    Bought 5 Blake Ellis for Phan Thiet 4: Blake Ellis vs Hiroki Moriya at 0.84

  • 10:23 AM
    ROronaldooo
    $1.00

    Bought 5 Hiroki Moriya for Phan Thiet 4: Blake Ellis vs Hiroki Moriya at 0.2

  • 10:23 AM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $13.20

    Bought 66 Hiroki Moriya for Phan Thiet 4: Blake Ellis vs Hiroki Moriya at 0.2

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

071
0x076d…8d4c
Event PnL
+$1.94
Volume
$229.89
Positions
Hiroki Moriya
HH2
hhhizli
Event PnL
-$2.66
Volume
$213.94
Positions
Blake Ellis
6E3
0x6EA4…2734
Event PnL
-$0.66
Volume
$132.73
Positions
Hiroki Moriya
LB4
lbtrading
Event PnL
-$0.25
Volume
$107.04
Positions
Blake Ellis
A55
a5533
Event PnL
+$0.95
Volume
$69.62
Positions
Hiroki MoriyaMoriya
MA6
manvsrice42
Event PnL
+$0.25
Volume
$50.00
Positions
Blake Ellis
387
38791873984189
Event PnL
+$0.75
Volume
$49.68
Positions
Hiroki Moriya
LE8
LeLynxMalynx
Event PnL
-$0.22
Volume
$44.00
Positions
Blake Ellis

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Phan Thiet 4: Blake Ellis vs Hiroki Moriya"?

As of the latest update, Phan Thiet 4: Blake Ellis vs Hiroki Moriya leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,550% win probability, followed by Phan Thiet 4: Blake Ellis vs Hiroki Moriya Game Spread +/-0.5 at 5,000% and Completed Match at 4,950%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $82.3K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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