Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Sebastian Dominko

$2.7K Vol
Nov 8, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Liam Draxl 60.5%
Sebastian Dominko 39.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Sebastian Dominko”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Sebastian Dominko is dominating the market with an overwhelming 6,050% chance of winning. Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Sebastian Dominko Match O/U 21.5 follows in second place at 6,050%, while Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Sebastian Dominko Set 1 Winner sits in third with 5,700%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $2.7K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Sebastian Dominko (6,050%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Sebastian Dominko is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 6,050¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $998 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Sebastian Dominko Match O/U 21.5 (6,050%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Sebastian Dominko Match O/U 21.5 maintains a 6,050% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,050¢.
  • Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Sebastian Dominko Set 1 Winner (5,700%): Sitting in third place with a 5,700% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Sebastian Dominko Set 1 Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Sebastian Dominko Game Spread +/-1.5 (5,300%), Completed Match (5,250%), and Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Sebastian Dominko Match O/U 22.5 (5,200%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Sebastian Dominko Set 2 Winner are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Sebastian Dominko6050.0%$9986050¢-5950¢
2Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Sebastian Dominko Match O/U 21.56050.0%$26050¢-5950¢
3Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Sebastian Dominko Set 1 Winner5700.0%—5700¢-5600¢
4Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Sebastian Dominko Game Spread +/-1.55300.0%—5300¢-5200¢
5Completed Match5250.0%$1.7K5250¢-5150¢
6Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Sebastian Dominko Match O/U 22.55200.0%$45200¢-5100¢
7Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Sebastian Dominko Set 2 Winner4900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
8Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Sebastian Dominko Set 1 O/U 9.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
9Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Sebastian Dominko Set 2 O/U 8.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
10Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Sebastian Dominko Set 2 O/U 9.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
11Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Sebastian Dominko Set 2 O/U 10.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
12Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Sebastian Dominko Match O/U 23.54600.0%—4600¢-4500¢
13Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Sebastian Dominko Set 1 O/U 8.54100.0%—4100¢-4000¢
14Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Sebastian Dominko Total Sets: O/U 2.54000.0%—4000¢-3900¢
15Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Sebastian Dominko Set Handicap +/-1.53750.0%—3750¢-3650¢
16Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Sebastian Dominko Set 1 O/U 10.53250.0%—3250¢-3150¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Liam Draxl and Sebastian Dominko in the Sioux Falls, originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 4:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Liam Draxl' if Liam Draxl advances against Sebastian Dominko.

This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Dominko' if Sebastian Dominko advances against Liam Draxl.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 31, 2026

  • 07:33 AM
    HIhivexyz
    $4.00

    Bought 6.557376 Liam Draxl for Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Sebastian Dominko at 0.61

  • 07:31 AM
    PApaulaoofc
    $34.12

    Bought 56.86 Liam Draxl for Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Sebastian Dominko at 0.6

  • 06:55 AM
    DFdfsdfsdfB2
    $1.40

    Sold 140 No for Sioux Falls: Completed Match: Liam Draxl vs Sebastian Dominko at 0.01

  • 06:52 AM
    DFdfsdfsdfB2
    $8.40

    Bought 140 No for Sioux Falls: Completed Match: Liam Draxl vs Sebastian Dominko at 0.06

  • 06:51 AM
    DFdfsdfsdfB2
    $1.00

    Sold 100 No for Sioux Falls: Completed Match: Liam Draxl vs Sebastian Dominko at 0.01

  • 06:48 AM
    DFdfsdfsdfB2
    $6.00

    Bought 100 No for Sioux Falls: Completed Match: Liam Draxl vs Sebastian Dominko at 0.06

  • 06:47 AM
    DFdfsdfsdfB2
    $1.40

    Sold 140 No for Sioux Falls: Completed Match: Liam Draxl vs Sebastian Dominko at 0.01

  • 06:44 AM
    DFdfsdfsdfB2
    $8.40

    Bought 140 No for Sioux Falls: Completed Match: Liam Draxl vs Sebastian Dominko at 0.06

  • 06:43 AM
    DFdfsdfsdfB2
    $1.00

    Sold 100 No for Sioux Falls: Completed Match: Liam Draxl vs Sebastian Dominko at 0.01

  • 06:40 AM
    DFdfsdfsdfB2
    $6.00

    Bought 100 No for Sioux Falls: Completed Match: Liam Draxl vs Sebastian Dominko at 0.06

  • 06:39 AM
    DFdfsdfsdfB2
    $2.50

    Sold 250 No for Sioux Falls: Completed Match: Liam Draxl vs Sebastian Dominko at 0.01

  • 06:36 AM
    DFdfsdfsdfB2
    $15.00

    Bought 250 No for Sioux Falls: Completed Match: Liam Draxl vs Sebastian Dominko at 0.06

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

CL1
clownly
Event PnL
+$3.79
Volume
$252.46
Positions
Sebastian Dominko
HH2
hhhizli
Event PnL
-$3.69
Volume
$245.90
Positions
Liam Draxl
383
38791873984189
Event PnL
+$0.00
Volume
$197.99
Positions
Sebastian Dominko
UN4
UNEB3154s4f251
Event PnL
+$0.00
Volume
$192.32
Positions
Liam Draxl
NE5
neutralwave23
Event PnL
-$0.80
Volume
$160.25
Positions
Liam Draxl
EF6
eFMBS
Event PnL
+$0.53
Volume
$105.83
Positions
Sebastian Dominko
PO7
Po1yamory
Event PnL
-$0.50
Volume
$100.00
Positions
Liam Draxl
CA8
CAcap
Event PnL
+$0.00
Volume
$69.25
Positions
Sebastian Dominko

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Sebastian Dominko"?

As of the latest update, Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Sebastian Dominko leads the field as the frontrunner with a 6,050% win probability, followed by Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Sebastian Dominko Match O/U 21.5 at 6,050% and Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Sebastian Dominko Set 1 Winner at 5,700%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $2.7K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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