Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Valentin Vacherot

$1.2M Vol
Nov 9, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Novak Djokovic 96.5%
Valentin Vacherot 4.0%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Valentin Vacherot”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Valentin Vacherot is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Valentin Vacherot Game Spread +/-2.5 follows in second place at 9,850%, while Completed Match sits in third with 5,750%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $1.2M, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Valentin Vacherot (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Valentin Vacherot is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $1.4M in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Valentin Vacherot Game Spread +/-2.5 (9,850%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Valentin Vacherot Game Spread +/-2.5 maintains a 9,850% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,850¢.
  • Completed Match (5,750%): Sitting in third place with a 5,750% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Completed Match, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Valentin Vacherot9995.0%$1.4M9995¢-9895¢
2Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Valentin Vacherot Game Spread +/-2.59850.0%$1.6K9850¢-9750¢
3Completed Match5750.0%$3605750¢-5650¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Novak Djokovic and Valentin Vacherot in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 4:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Novak Djokovic' if Novak Djokovic advances against Valentin Vacherot.

This market will resolve to 'Valentin Vacherot' if Valentin Vacherot advances against Novak Djokovic.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Nov 2, 2026

  • 12:25 PM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 2.040817 Over for Djokovic vs. Vacherot: Match O/U 23.5 at 0.49

  • 12:00 PM
    SUsuntori
    $257.14

    Bought 734.685715 Valentin Vacherot for Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Valentin Vacherot at 0.35

  • 12:00 PM
    SUsuntori
    $1,000.00

    Bought 2857.14 Valentin Vacherot for Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Valentin Vacherot at 0.35

  • 11:59 AM
    SUsuntori
    $1,226.52

    Bought 3607.4 Valentin Vacherot for Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Valentin Vacherot at 0.34

  • 10:33 AM
    CLclb-q
    $1.92

    Bought 5.647059 Valentin Vacherot for Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Valentin Vacherot at 0.34

  • 10:06 AM
    30300PS
    $22.53

    Bought 68.28 Valentin Vacherot for Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Valentin Vacherot at 0.33

  • 10:04 AM
    DEdentleightadman
    $5.00

    Bought 15.151516 Valentin Vacherot for Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Valentin Vacherot at 0.33

  • 10:03 AM
    DEdentleightadman
    $5.00

    Bought 15.151516 Valentin Vacherot for Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Valentin Vacherot at 0.33

  • 10:01 AM
    VAVa5k3z
    $1.69

    Bought 5.121213 Valentin Vacherot for Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Valentin Vacherot at 0.33

  • 10:01 AM
    SIsionnach
    $4.87

    Bought 14.757576 Valentin Vacherot for Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Valentin Vacherot at 0.33

  • 10:00 AM
    MTmtp909
    $20.13

    Bought 61 Valentin Vacherot for Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Valentin Vacherot at 0.33

  • 10:00 AM
    MAmadkkee
    $5,302.51

    Bought 7914.19 Novak Djokovic for Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Valentin Vacherot at 0.67

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

KK1
Kkunn
Event PnL
+$20,984.84
Volume
$93,131.66
Positions
Valentin Vacherot
992
999585
Event PnL
-$2,699.53
Volume
$59,999.97
Positions
Valentin Vacherot
FE3
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
+$2,542.79
Volume
$41,868.88
Positions
Novak Djokovic
2C4
0x2c33…5465
Event PnL
+$3,202.23
Volume
$38,012.27
Positions
Novak Djokovic
KE5
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Event PnL
+$2,793.44
Volume
$36,783.07
Positions
Novak Djokovic
RN6
RN1
Event PnL
-$3,168.96
Volume
$29,243.61
Positions
Novak Djokovic
KC7
Kch-Temp
Event PnL
+$87.61
Volume
$24,999.74
Positions
Novak Djokovic
KK8
kkookkoo
Event PnL
+$5,180.97
Volume
$21,505.27
Positions
Valentin Vacherot

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Valentin Vacherot"?

As of the latest update, Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Valentin Vacherot leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Valentin Vacherot Game Spread +/-2.5 at 9,850% and Completed Match at 5,750%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $1.2M, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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