US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny

$46.8K Vol
Sep 11, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Luciano Darderi 76.5%
Dane Sweeny 23.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,550% chance of winning. US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Set 1 O/U 8.5 follows in second place at 6,850%, while US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Set 2 Winner sits in third with 6,700%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $46.8K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny (7,550%): Currently commanding the highest probability, US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,550¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $45.2K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Set 1 O/U 8.5 (6,850%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Set 1 O/U 8.5 maintains a 6,850% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,850¢.
  • US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Set 2 Winner (6,700%): Sitting in third place with a 6,700% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Set 2 Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Set 1 Winner (6,600%), US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Set 3 Winner (6,500%), and US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Set Handicap +/-1.5 (6,250%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Total Sets: O/U 3.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny7550.0%$45.2K7550¢-7450¢
2US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Set 1 O/U 8.56850.0%6850¢-6750¢
3US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Set 2 Winner6700.0%6700¢-6600¢
4US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Set 1 Winner6600.0%6600¢-6500¢
5US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Set 3 Winner6500.0%6500¢-6400¢
6US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Set Handicap +/-1.56250.0%$2506250¢-6150¢
7US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Total Sets: O/U 3.55700.0%$6335700¢-5600¢
8US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Set 4 Winner5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Set 3 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Set 3 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Set 3 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Set 4 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Set 4 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Set 4 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18Completed Match4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
19US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Set 1 O/U 9.54750.0%4750¢-4650¢
20US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Match O/U 36.54700.0%4700¢-4600¢
21US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Match O/U 38.53900.0%3900¢-3800¢
22US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Game Spread +/-7.53850.0%$1313850¢-3750¢
23US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Match O/U 40.53800.0%$833800¢-3700¢
24US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Set Handicap +/-2.53650.0%$5463650¢-3550¢
25US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Set 1 O/U 10.52600.0%2600¢-2500¢
26US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Total Sets: O/U 4.52350.0%2350¢-2250¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Luciano Darderi and Dane Sweeny in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Luciano Darderi' if Luciano Darderi advances against Dane Sweeny.

This market will resolve to 'Dane Sweeny' if Dane Sweeny advances against Luciano Darderi.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 5, 2026

  • 09:10 AM
    0X0x25f332C3163D9906B773da7a4eCF09b68E11d1Ab-1772975274187
    $10.00

    Bought 41.666665 Dane Sweeny for US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny at 0.24

  • 08:36 AM
    W1W1zard0
    $5.00

    Bought 8.620688 Over 3.5 for Luciano Darderi vs. Dane Sweeny: Total Sets O/U 3.5 at 0.58

  • 08:35 AM
    W1W1zard0
    $5.00

    Bought 20.833332 Dane Sweeny for US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny at 0.24

  • 08:33 AM
    PEpeepk0ck
    $5.00

    Bought 6.49 Luciano Darderi for US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny at 0.77

  • 08:31 AM
    KOkottenok
    $5.00

    Bought 6.493504 Luciano Darderi for US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny at 0.77

  • 08:31 AM
    $2.40

    Bought 10 Dane Sweeny for US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny at 0.24

  • 08:31 AM
    FEferrariChampions2026
    $7,395.96

    Bought 9731.53 Luciano Darderi for US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny at 0.76

  • 07:57 AM
    $1.54

    Bought 6.16 Dane Sweeny for US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny at 0.25

  • 07:28 AM
    0X0xC36f9488b4a094B260bF4CBd1ae61137aF64aFaE-1769016718648
    $1.80

    Bought 4.864863 Darderi for Set Handicap: Darderi (-2.5) vs Sweeny (+2.5) at 0.37

  • 07:26 AM
    0X0xC36f9488b4a094B260bF4CBd1ae61137aF64aFaE-1769016718648
    $1.80

    Bought 4.090908 Under 3.5 for Luciano Darderi vs. Dane Sweeny: Total Sets O/U 3.5 at 0.44

  • 07:25 AM
    0X0xC36f9488b4a094B260bF4CBd1ae61137aF64aFaE-1769016718648
    $2.50

    Bought 4.032257 Darderi for Set Handicap: Darderi (-1.5) vs Sweeny (+1.5) at 0.62

  • 07:15 AM
    PGpgktrio2
    $5.00

    Sold 6.66 Luciano Darderi for US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny at 0.75

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

AV1
AV23IUa
Event PnL
+$5,127.89
Volume
$20,930.15
Positions
Dane Sweeny
FE2
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
+$48.67
Volume
$9,731.53
Positions
Luciano Darderi
0X3
0x0x23…h8c9
Event PnL
+$4,967.10
Volume
$6,578.94
Positions
Luciano Darderi
SE4
sentrio
Event PnL
+$3.48
Volume
$4,560.93
Positions
Luciano Darderi
325
0x32b4…3653
Event PnL
+$3,028.04
Volume
$4,010.65
Positions
Luciano Darderi
076
0x076d…8d4c
Event PnL
+$57.13
Volume
$3,313.02
Positions
Dane SweenyDarderi
AG7
AGUGava
Event PnL
-$12.50
Volume
$2,500.00
Positions
Luciano Darderi
AL8
alm19911
Event PnL
+$8.47
Volume
$1,692.95
Positions
Dane Sweeny

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny"?

As of the latest update, US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,550% win probability, followed by US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 6,850% and US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny Set 2 Winner at 6,700%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $46.8K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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