Plovdiv 4: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Pol Martin Tiffon

$108.1K Vol
Sep 30, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Pol Martin Tiffon 100.0%
Tommaso Compagnucci 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Plovdiv 4: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Pol Martin Tiffon”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Pol Martin Tiffon is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,955% chance of winning. Tommaso Compagnucci follows in second place at 45%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $108.1K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Pol Martin Tiffon (9,955%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Pol Martin Tiffon is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,955¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Tommaso Compagnucci (45%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Tommaso Compagnucci maintains a 45% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 45¢.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Pol Martin Tiffon9955.0%9955¢-9855¢
2Tommaso Compagnucci45.0%45¢55¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Tommaso Compagnucci and Pol Martin Tiffon in the Plovdiv 4, originally scheduled for September 23, 2026 at 5:30AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Tommaso Compagnucci' if Tommaso Compagnucci advances against Pol Martin Tiffon.

This market will resolve to 'Pol Martin Tiffon' if Pol Martin Tiffon advances against Tommaso Compagnucci.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 23, 2026

  • 11:45 AM
    SCSchruteBucks
    $202.88

    Sold 233.19 Pol Martin Tiffon for Plovdiv 4: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Pol Martin Tiffon at 0.87

  • 11:45 AM
    $1.01

    Bought 7.770231 Tommaso Compagnucci for Plovdiv 4: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Pol Martin Tiffon at 0.13

  • 11:45 AM
    FLFlaznorp
    $3.24

    Bought 27 Tommaso Compagnucci for Plovdiv 4: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Pol Martin Tiffon at 0.12

  • 11:45 AM
    NUnutildah
    $1.00

    Bought 1.12486 Pol Martin Tiffon for Plovdiv 4: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Pol Martin Tiffon at 0.89

  • 11:44 AM
    $1.00

    Bought 1.161441 Pol Martin Tiffon for Plovdiv 4: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Pol Martin Tiffon at 0.86

  • 11:44 AM
    $1.03

    Bought 6.854363 Tommaso Compagnucci for Plovdiv 4: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Pol Martin Tiffon at 0.15

  • 11:44 AM
    $0.97

    Bought 6.944445 Tommaso Compagnucci for Plovdiv 4: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Pol Martin Tiffon at 0.14

  • 11:44 AM
    $0.98

    Bought 7.015695 Tommaso Compagnucci for Plovdiv 4: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Pol Martin Tiffon at 0.14

  • 11:44 AM
    FLFlaznorp
    $4.05

    Bought 28.9 Tommaso Compagnucci for Plovdiv 4: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Pol Martin Tiffon at 0.14

  • 11:44 AM
    FLFlaznorp
    $3.90

    Bought 30.006061 Tommaso Compagnucci for Plovdiv 4: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Pol Martin Tiffon at 0.13

  • 11:44 AM
    FLFlaznorp
    $3.90

    Bought 30 Tommaso Compagnucci for Plovdiv 4: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Pol Martin Tiffon at 0.13

  • 11:43 AM
    SCSchruteBucks
    $408.94

    Sold 470.05 Pol Martin Tiffon for Plovdiv 4: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Pol Martin Tiffon at 0.87

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

DE1
deepakrego
Event PnL
-$15.00
Volume
$1,500.00
Positions
Pol Martin Tiffon
RN2
RN1
Event PnL
+$14.12
Volume
$1,412.46
Positions
Tommaso Compagnucci
RO3
rollobravado
Event PnL
-$13.88
Volume
$1,387.93
Positions
Pol Martin Tiffon
324
0x32b4…3653
Event PnL
+$11.64
Volume
$1,164.48
Positions
Tommaso Compagnucci
CL5
clownly
Event PnL
+$6.00
Volume
$600.00
Positions
Tommaso Compagnucci
BL6
BLAHBLAHBLAH-298
Event PnL
-$2.50
Volume
$249.99
Positions
Pol Martin Tiffon
GR7
GreenCrow
Event PnL
+$0.07
Volume
$75.54
Positions
Tommaso Compagnucci
JA8
JakeHursty
Event PnL
-$0.37
Volume
$36.76
Positions
Pol Martin Tiffon

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Plovdiv 4: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Pol Martin Tiffon"?

As of the latest update, Pol Martin Tiffon leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,955% win probability, followed by Tommaso Compagnucci at 45%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $108.1K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

Get Started