Buenos Aires 2: Francisco Comesana vs Joaquin Aguilar

$325.5K Vol
Oct 1, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Francisco Comesana 59.5%
Joaquin Aguilar 40.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Buenos Aires 2: Francisco Comesana vs Joaquin Aguilar”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Buenos Aires 2: Francisco Comesana vs Joaquin Aguilar Set 2 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,960% chance of winning. Buenos Aires 2: Francisco Comesana vs Joaquin Aguilar Match O/U 23.5 follows in second place at 9,950%, while Buenos Aires 2: Francisco Comesana vs Joaquin Aguilar Total Sets: O/U 2.5 sits in third with 9,050%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $325.5K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Buenos Aires 2: Francisco Comesana vs Joaquin Aguilar Set 2 Winner (9,960%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Buenos Aires 2: Francisco Comesana vs Joaquin Aguilar Set 2 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,960¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Buenos Aires 2: Francisco Comesana vs Joaquin Aguilar Match O/U 23.5 (9,950%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Buenos Aires 2: Francisco Comesana vs Joaquin Aguilar Match O/U 23.5 maintains a 9,950% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,950¢.
  • Buenos Aires 2: Francisco Comesana vs Joaquin Aguilar Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (9,050%): Sitting in third place with a 9,050% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Buenos Aires 2: Francisco Comesana vs Joaquin Aguilar Total Sets: O/U 2.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Buenos Aires 2: Francisco Comesana vs Joaquin Aguilar Set 2 O/U 10.5 (9,050%), Buenos Aires 2: Francisco Comesana vs Joaquin Aguilar Match O/U 22.5 (9,050%), and Buenos Aires 2: Francisco Comesana vs Joaquin Aguilar (6,050%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Completed Match are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Buenos Aires 2: Francisco Comesana vs Joaquin Aguilar Set 2 Winner9960.0%9960¢-9860¢
2Buenos Aires 2: Francisco Comesana vs Joaquin Aguilar Match O/U 23.59950.0%9950¢-9850¢
3Buenos Aires 2: Francisco Comesana vs Joaquin Aguilar Total Sets: O/U 2.59050.0%$109050¢-8950¢
4Buenos Aires 2: Francisco Comesana vs Joaquin Aguilar Set 2 O/U 10.59050.0%9050¢-8950¢
5Buenos Aires 2: Francisco Comesana vs Joaquin Aguilar Match O/U 22.59050.0%9050¢-8950¢
6Buenos Aires 2: Francisco Comesana vs Joaquin Aguilar6050.0%$322.6K6050¢-5950¢
7Completed Match5000.0%$2.5K5000¢-4900¢
8Buenos Aires 2: Francisco Comesana vs Joaquin Aguilar Game Spread +/-3.55000.0%$1755000¢-4900¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Francisco Comesana and Joaquin Aguilar in the Buenos Aires 2, originally scheduled for September 23, 2026 at 5:30PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Francisco Comesana' if Francisco Comesana advances against Joaquin Aguilar.

This market will resolve to 'Joaquin Aguilar' if Joaquin Aguilar advances against Francisco Comesana.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 23, 2026

  • 11:57 PM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $159.96

    Bought 333.25 Joaquin Aguilar for Buenos Aires 2: Francisco Comesana vs Joaquin Aguilar at 0.48

  • 11:57 PM
    FUFullOfHope
    $25.00

    Bought 47.169812 Francisco Comesana for Buenos Aires 2: Francisco Comesana vs Joaquin Aguilar at 0.53

  • 11:56 PM
    $2.65

    Bought 5 Francisco Comesana for Buenos Aires 2: Francisco Comesana vs Joaquin Aguilar at 0.53

  • 11:56 PM
    0X0x954545556F604CdD6de0706022608b39AD9CD6F7-1775142418493
    $10.00

    Bought 19.607844 Francisco Comesana for Buenos Aires 2: Francisco Comesana vs Joaquin Aguilar at 0.51

  • 11:56 PM
    $1.06

    Bought 2.12 Joaquin Aguilar for Buenos Aires 2: Francisco Comesana vs Joaquin Aguilar at 0.5

  • 11:56 PM
    UNUnknownWemby
    $100.00

    Bought 196.078432 Francisco Comesana for Buenos Aires 2: Francisco Comesana vs Joaquin Aguilar at 0.51

  • 11:56 PM
    MOMother-Teresa
    $9.00

    Bought 17.64 Francisco Comesana for Buenos Aires 2: Francisco Comesana vs Joaquin Aguilar at 0.51

  • 11:56 PM
    0X0xwise
    $3.40

    Bought 6.938776 Francisco Comesana for Buenos Aires 2: Francisco Comesana vs Joaquin Aguilar at 0.49

  • 11:55 PM
    ZEZeroToTwentyTwo
    $5.00

    Bought 10 Francisco Comesana for Buenos Aires 2: Francisco Comesana vs Joaquin Aguilar at 0.5

  • 11:55 PM
    ZEZeroToTwentyTwo
    $5.00

    Bought 10 Francisco Comesana for Buenos Aires 2: Francisco Comesana vs Joaquin Aguilar at 0.5

  • 11:55 PM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $119.85

    Bought 235 Joaquin Aguilar for Buenos Aires 2: Francisco Comesana vs Joaquin Aguilar at 0.51

  • 11:55 PM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $5.83

    Bought 11 Joaquin Aguilar for Buenos Aires 2: Francisco Comesana vs Joaquin Aguilar at 0.53

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

WA1
walletfiend
Event PnL
+$143.28
Volume
$3,183.97
Positions
Francisco Comesana
SA2
saltibiscoti
Event PnL
+$110.54
Volume
$2,009.73
Positions
Francisco Comesana
NM3
NM-P
Event PnL
-$105.07
Volume
$2,001.08
Positions
Joaquin Aguilar
GC4
GC-P
Event PnL
-$120.86
Volume
$1,660.31
Positions
Joaquin Aguilar
B35
0xb3AC…8096
Event PnL
+$32.24
Volume
$1,258.60
Positions
Francisco Comesana
HO6
hobo69
Event PnL
+$18.00
Volume
$1,200.00
Positions
Francisco Comesana
997
0x99F0…6382
Event PnL
+$1.11
Volume
$1,184.22
Positions
Joaquin Aguilar
9F8
0x9f15…bdb3
Event PnL
-$24.82
Volume
$992.86
Positions
Joaquin Aguilar

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Buenos Aires 2: Francisco Comesana vs Joaquin Aguilar"?

As of the latest update, Buenos Aires 2: Francisco Comesana vs Joaquin Aguilar Set 2 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,960% win probability, followed by Buenos Aires 2: Francisco Comesana vs Joaquin Aguilar Match O/U 23.5 at 9,950% and Buenos Aires 2: Francisco Comesana vs Joaquin Aguilar Total Sets: O/U 2.5 at 9,050%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $325.5K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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