Shanghai Rolex Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Roman Safiullin

$544.8K Vol
Oct 17, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Francisco Cerundolo 100.0%
Roman Safiullin 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Shanghai Rolex Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Roman Safiullin”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Francisco Cerundolo is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Roman Safiullin follows in second place at 5%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $544.8K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Francisco Cerundolo (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Francisco Cerundolo is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Roman Safiullin (5%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Roman Safiullin maintains a 5% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5¢.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Francisco Cerundolo9995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
2Roman Safiullin5.0%—5¢95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Francisco Cerundolo and Roman Safiullin in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Francisco Cerundolo' if Francisco Cerundolo advances against Roman Safiullin.

This market will resolve to 'Roman Safiullin' if Roman Safiullin advances against Francisco Cerundolo.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 9, 2026

  • 01:39 AM
    STstepbystep15
    $50.00

    Bought 96.153847 Francisco Cerundolo for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Roman Safiullin at 0.52

  • 12:19 AM
    SHShblooz
    $2.00

    Bought 3.846154 Francisco Cerundolo for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Roman Safiullin at 0.52

Oct 8, 2026

  • 11:59 PM
    GYgynsu
    $15.00

    Bought 30.612245 Roman Safiullin for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Roman Safiullin at 0.49

  • 11:22 PM
    FAFaboguli
    $5.00

    Bought 9.615385 Francisco Cerundolo for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Roman Safiullin at 0.52

  • 11:00 PM
    SOsolosion
    $70.00

    Bought 134.615385 Francisco Cerundolo for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Roman Safiullin at 0.52

  • 10:39 PM
    ARArmagedon1
    $1.00

    Bought 1.923077 Francisco Cerundolo for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Roman Safiullin at 0.52

  • 09:49 PM
    KOKorkh
    $10.00

    Bought 19.23077 Francisco Cerundolo for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Roman Safiullin at 0.52

  • 09:28 PM
    MUmuymaurice
    $1.01

    Bought 2.061225 Roman Safiullin for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Roman Safiullin at 0.49

  • 09:18 PM
    MJMjartin
    $10.00

    Bought 19.23077 Francisco Cerundolo for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Roman Safiullin at 0.52

  • 08:58 PM
    0X0x4830bf39562B637C2eeE02cDD0E0eEC11105A59d-1738863608481
    $12.00

    Bought 24.489796 Roman Safiullin for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Roman Safiullin at 0.49

  • 08:36 PM
    LAlarame
    $5.39

    Bought 11 Roman Safiullin for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Roman Safiullin at 0.49

  • 08:18 PM
    TITimPenis
    $2.91

    Bought 5.596154 Francisco Cerundolo for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Roman Safiullin at 0.52

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

NI1
nigiri99
Event PnL
+$43.90
Volume
$9,412.00
Positions
Roman Safiullin
5C2
0x5c54…f1d2
Event PnL
-$9.91
Volume
$6,002.30
Positions
Roman Safiullin
PL3
pleasent242
Event PnL
-$90.00
Volume
$6,000.00
Positions
Roman Safiullin
324
0x32b4…3653
Event PnL
-$26.62
Volume
$5,323.67
Positions
Francisco Cerundolo
JA5
JAMJAMJAM4
Event PnL
+$20.00
Volume
$4,000.00
Positions
Francisco Cerundolo
KI6
KioskJammer
Event PnL
-$10.00
Volume
$2,000.00
Positions
Francisco Cerundolo
TE7
tennis4tw
Event PnL
+$27.00
Volume
$1,800.00
Positions
Francisco Cerundolo
GC8
GC-P
Event PnL
+$41.79
Volume
$1,632.31
Positions
Francisco Cerundolo

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Shanghai Rolex Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Roman Safiullin"?

As of the latest update, Francisco Cerundolo leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Roman Safiullin at 5%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $544.8K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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