Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald

$919.6K Vol
Oct 19, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Lorenzo Carboni 100.0%
Mackenzie McDonald 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Completed Match follows in second place at 5%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $919.6K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $919.0K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Completed Match (5%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Completed Match maintains a 5% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5¢.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald9995.0%$919.0K9995¢-9895¢
2Completed Match5.0%$5415¢95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Carboni and Mackenzie McDonald in the Olbia, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 9:30AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Carboni' if Lorenzo Carboni advances against Mackenzie McDonald.

This market will resolve to 'Mackenzie McDonald' if Mackenzie McDonald advances against Lorenzo Carboni.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 12, 2026

  • 12:45 PM
    CCcchk519
    $130.00

    Bought 135.41665 Yes for Olbia: Completed Match: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald at 0.96

  • 12:13 PM
    DUduangduangmm
    $1.76

    Bought 8 Lorenzo Carboni for Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald at 0.22

  • 12:10 PM
    NEneutralwave23
    $4.70

    Bought 5.949368 Mackenzie McDonald for Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald at 0.79

  • 11:51 AM
    DUduangduangmm
    $1.76

    Bought 8 Lorenzo Carboni for Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald at 0.22

  • 11:30 AM
    DUduangduangmm
    $1.76

    Bought 8 Lorenzo Carboni for Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald at 0.22

  • 11:30 AM
    8888888801
    $1.25

    Bought 5.681819 Lorenzo Carboni for Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald at 0.22

  • 11:30 AM
    MAmanbyka
    $34.64

    Bought 157.454546 Lorenzo Carboni for Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald at 0.22

  • 11:29 AM
    STStarlord2
    $22.00

    Bought 100 Lorenzo Carboni for Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald at 0.22

  • 11:15 AM
    DUduangduangmm
    $1.76

    Bought 8 Lorenzo Carboni for Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald at 0.22

  • 01:09 AM
    PRprofitlaw
    $1.07

    Bought 4.863637 Lorenzo Carboni for Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald at 0.22

Oct 11, 2026

  • 11:58 PM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 1.28205 Mackenzie McDonald for Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald at 0.78

  • 11:53 PM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 1.28205 Mackenzie McDonald for Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald at 0.78

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

PA1
pablera
Event PnL
+$0.77
Volume
$17.95
Positions
Lorenzo Carboni
SC2
Scalit
Event PnL
+$0.08
Volume
$16.90
Positions
Lorenzo Carboni
243
2434235235
Event PnL
-$0.52
Volume
$12.95
Positions
Mackenzie McDonald
FR4
frenchfontana
Event PnL
+$0.35
Volume
$10.00
Positions
Mackenzie McDonald
RA5
RadioFreeZerg
Event PnL
-$0.25
Volume
$5.00
Positions
Mackenzie McDonald
PR6
profitlaw
Event PnL
-$0.02
Volume
$4.86
Positions
Lorenzo Carboni
PO7
Po1yamory
Event PnL
+$0.02
Volume
$4.86
Positions
Mackenzie McDonald
BF8
0xbfD7…7ff0
Event PnL
+$0.16
Volume
$4.63
Positions
Mackenzie McDonald

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald"?

As of the latest update, Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Completed Match at 5%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $919.6K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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