San Diego 2: Tristan Boyer vs Sebastian Gorzny

Sep 30, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Tristan Boyer 58.5%
Sebastian Gorzny 41.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “San Diego 2: Tristan Boyer vs Sebastian Gorzny”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, San Diego 2: Tristan Boyer vs Sebastian Gorzny is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,800% chance of winning. Completed Match follows in second place at 5,000%, while San Diego 2: Tristan Boyer vs Sebastian Gorzny Set 1 Winner sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached —, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • San Diego 2: Tristan Boyer vs Sebastian Gorzny (5,800%): Currently commanding the highest probability, San Diego 2: Tristan Boyer vs Sebastian Gorzny is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,800¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Completed Match (5,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Completed Match maintains a 5,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,000¢.
  • San Diego 2: Tristan Boyer vs Sebastian Gorzny Set 1 Winner (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward San Diego 2: Tristan Boyer vs Sebastian Gorzny Set 1 Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes San Diego 2: Tristan Boyer vs Sebastian Gorzny Set 2 Winner (5,000%), San Diego 2: Tristan Boyer vs Sebastian Gorzny Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (5,000%), and San Diego 2: Tristan Boyer vs Sebastian Gorzny Set Handicap +/-1.5 (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like San Diego 2: Tristan Boyer vs Sebastian Gorzny Set Handicap +/-1.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1San Diego 2: Tristan Boyer vs Sebastian Gorzny5800.0%5800¢-5700¢
2Completed Match5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
3San Diego 2: Tristan Boyer vs Sebastian Gorzny Set 1 Winner5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
4San Diego 2: Tristan Boyer vs Sebastian Gorzny Set 2 Winner5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
5San Diego 2: Tristan Boyer vs Sebastian Gorzny Total Sets: O/U 2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6San Diego 2: Tristan Boyer vs Sebastian Gorzny Set Handicap +/-1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7San Diego 2: Tristan Boyer vs Sebastian Gorzny Set Handicap +/-1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8San Diego 2: Tristan Boyer vs Sebastian Gorzny Set 1 O/U 8.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
9San Diego 2: Tristan Boyer vs Sebastian Gorzny Set 1 O/U 9.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
10San Diego 2: Tristan Boyer vs Sebastian Gorzny Set 1 O/U 10.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
11San Diego 2: Tristan Boyer vs Sebastian Gorzny Set 2 O/U 8.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
12San Diego 2: Tristan Boyer vs Sebastian Gorzny Set 2 O/U 9.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
13San Diego 2: Tristan Boyer vs Sebastian Gorzny Set 2 O/U 10.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
14San Diego 2: Tristan Boyer vs Sebastian Gorzny Match O/U 21.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
15San Diego 2: Tristan Boyer vs Sebastian Gorzny Match O/U 22.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
16San Diego 2: Tristan Boyer vs Sebastian Gorzny Match O/U 23.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Tristan Boyer and Sebastian Gorzny in the San Diego 2, originally scheduled for September 23, 2026 at 1:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Tristan Boyer' if Tristan Boyer advances against Sebastian Gorzny.

This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Gorzny' if Sebastian Gorzny advances against Tristan Boyer.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "San Diego 2: Tristan Boyer vs Sebastian Gorzny"?

As of the latest update, San Diego 2: Tristan Boyer vs Sebastian Gorzny leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,800% win probability, followed by Completed Match at 5,000% and San Diego 2: Tristan Boyer vs Sebastian Gorzny Set 1 Winner at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached —, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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