
China Open: Nuno Borges vs Novak Djokovic
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “China Open: Nuno Borges vs Novak Djokovic”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, China Open: Nuno Borges vs Novak Djokovic Set 1 O/U 8.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 8,300% chance of winning. China Open: Nuno Borges vs Novak Djokovic Match O/U 21.5 follows in second place at 6,100%, while China Open: Nuno Borges vs Novak Djokovic Game Spread +/-2.5 sits in third with 6,050%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $147.8K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- China Open: Nuno Borges vs Novak Djokovic Set 1 O/U 8.5 (8,300%): Currently commanding the highest probability, China Open: Nuno Borges vs Novak Djokovic Set 1 O/U 8.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 8,300¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- China Open: Nuno Borges vs Novak Djokovic Match O/U 21.5 (6,100%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, China Open: Nuno Borges vs Novak Djokovic Match O/U 21.5 maintains a 6,100% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,100¢.
- China Open: Nuno Borges vs Novak Djokovic Game Spread +/-2.5 (6,050%): Sitting in third place with a 6,050% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward China Open: Nuno Borges vs Novak Djokovic Game Spread +/-2.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes China Open: Nuno Borges vs Novak Djokovic Set 1 O/U 9.5 (5,650%), China Open: Nuno Borges vs Novak Djokovic Match O/U 22.5 (5,250%), and China Open: Nuno Borges vs Novak Djokovic Set 2 O/U 8.5 (5,000%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like China Open: Nuno Borges vs Novak Djokovic Set 2 O/U 9.5 are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | China Open: Nuno Borges vs Novak Djokovic Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 8300.0% | — | 8300¢ | -8200¢ |
| 2 | China Open: Nuno Borges vs Novak Djokovic Match O/U 21.5 | 6100.0% | — | 6100¢ | -6000¢ |
| 3 | China Open: Nuno Borges vs Novak Djokovic Game Spread +/-2.5 | 6050.0% | — | 6050¢ | -5950¢ |
| 4 | China Open: Nuno Borges vs Novak Djokovic Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 5650.0% | — | 5650¢ | -5550¢ |
| 5 | China Open: Nuno Borges vs Novak Djokovic Match O/U 22.5 | 5250.0% | $12 | 5250¢ | -5150¢ |
| 6 | China Open: Nuno Borges vs Novak Djokovic Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 7 | China Open: Nuno Borges vs Novak Djokovic Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 8 | China Open: Nuno Borges vs Novak Djokovic Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | Completed Match | 4900.0% | — | 4900¢ | -4800¢ |
| 10 | China Open: Nuno Borges vs Novak Djokovic Match O/U 23.5 | 4550.0% | $218 | 4550¢ | -4450¢ |
| 11 | China Open: Nuno Borges vs Novak Djokovic Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 4550.0% | $887 | 4550¢ | -4450¢ |
| 12 | China Open: Nuno Borges vs Novak Djokovic Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 3950.0% | $21 | 3950¢ | -3850¢ |
| 13 | China Open: Nuno Borges vs Novak Djokovic Set 2 Winner | 3450.0% | — | 3450¢ | -3350¢ |
| 14 | China Open: Nuno Borges vs Novak Djokovic Set 1 Winner | 3400.0% | — | 3400¢ | -3300¢ |
| 15 | China Open: Nuno Borges vs Novak Djokovic Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 3300.0% | — | 3300¢ | -3200¢ |
| 16 | China Open: Nuno Borges vs Novak Djokovic | 2850.0% | $164.4K | 2850¢ | -2750¢ |
Result Rules
This market refers to the tennis match between Nuno Borges and Novak Djokovic in the China Open, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Nuno Borges' if Nuno Borges advances against Novak Djokovic.
This market will resolve to 'Novak Djokovic' if Novak Djokovic advances against Nuno Borges.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Sep 30, 2026
- 12:11 AMDEdentleightadman$1.00
Bought 3.125 Nuno Borges for China Open: Nuno Borges vs Novak Djokovic at 0.32
- 12:09 AMDEdentleightadman$1.00
Bought 3.125 Nuno Borges for China Open: Nuno Borges vs Novak Djokovic at 0.32
- 12:08 AM——$1.60
Bought 5 Nuno Borges for China Open: Nuno Borges vs Novak Djokovic at 0.32
- 12:08 AMWAWaySheGoes$5.00
Bought 15.625 Nuno Borges for China Open: Nuno Borges vs Novak Djokovic at 0.32
- 12:07 AM——$2.11
Bought 6.59375 Nuno Borges for China Open: Nuno Borges vs Novak Djokovic at 0.32
- 12:07 AMAPApuuuh$0.38
Bought 0.71 Nuno Borges for Set Handicap: Novak Djokovic (-1.5) vs Nuno Borges (+1.5) at 0.54
- 12:07 AMFEferrariChampions2026$5,268.43
Bought 16463.84375 Nuno Borges for China Open: Nuno Borges vs Novak Djokovic at 0.32
Sep 29, 2026
- 11:32 PMALAlexisIZL2$2.00
Bought 2.898551 Novak Djokovic for China Open: Nuno Borges vs Novak Djokovic at 0.69
- 11:32 PMONonseason$2.00
Bought 2.898551 Novak Djokovic for China Open: Nuno Borges vs Novak Djokovic at 0.69
- 10:20 PMTITimPenis$2.01
Bought 2.913041 Novak Djokovic for China Open: Nuno Borges vs Novak Djokovic at 0.69
- 10:06 PMSCscapeccio$6.00
Bought 8.695651 Novak Djokovic for China Open: Nuno Borges vs Novak Djokovic at 0.69
- 10:06 PMNEneverin$1,441.35
Bought 2088.913041 Novak Djokovic for China Open: Nuno Borges vs Novak Djokovic at 0.69
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "China Open: Nuno Borges vs Novak Djokovic"?
As of the latest update, China Open: Nuno Borges vs Novak Djokovic Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 8,300% win probability, followed by China Open: Nuno Borges vs Novak Djokovic Match O/U 21.5 at 6,100% and China Open: Nuno Borges vs Novak Djokovic Game Spread +/-2.5 at 6,050%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $147.8K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
