Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli

$88.6K Vol
Sep 30, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Nuno Borges 50.5%
Camilo Ugo Carabelli 49.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,050% chance of winning. Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 1 Winner follows in second place at 5,050%, while Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 1 O/U 8.5 sits in third with 5,050%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $88.6K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli (5,050%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,050¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $49.5K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 1 Winner (5,050%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 1 Winner maintains a 5,050% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,050¢.
  • Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 1 O/U 8.5 (5,050%): Sitting in third place with a 5,050% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 1 O/U 8.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set Handicap +/-1.5 (5,050%), Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 2 Winner (5,000%), and Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 2 O/U 8.5 (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 2 O/U 9.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli5050.0%$49.5K5050¢-4950¢
2Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 1 Winner5050.0%$1.0K5050¢-4950¢
3Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 1 O/U 8.55050.0%$2065050¢-4950¢
4Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set Handicap +/-1.55050.0%$3.9K5050¢-4950¢
5Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 2 Winner5000.0%$205000¢-4900¢
6Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Total Sets: O/U 2.54950.0%$3.1K4950¢-4850¢
10Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 1 O/U 9.54950.0%$264950¢-4850¢
11Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 1 O/U 10.54950.0%$1864950¢-4850¢
12Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Match O/U 21.54950.0%$1.3K4950¢-4850¢
13Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Match O/U 22.54950.0%$9354950¢-4850¢
14Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Match O/U 23.54950.0%$1.6K4950¢-4850¢
15Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set Handicap +/-1.54950.0%$3.9K4950¢-4850¢
16Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Game Spread +/-4.54950.0%$18.2K4950¢-4850¢
17Completed Match200.0%$160200¢-100¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Nuno Borges and Camilo Ugo Carabelli in the Chengdu Open, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Nuno Borges' if Nuno Borges advances against Camilo Ugo Carabelli.

This market will resolve to 'Camilo Ugo Carabelli' if Camilo Ugo Carabelli advances against Nuno Borges.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 23, 2026

  • 10:23 PM
    MImilouthebigredmonster
    $4.77

    Bought 8.517856 Camilo Ugo Carabelli for Game Spread: Nuno Borges (-4.5) vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli (+4.5) at 0.56

  • 10:21 PM
    WAwanah
    $4.91

    Bought 8.92 Camilo Ugo Carabelli for Game Spread: Nuno Borges (-4.5) vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli (+4.5) at 0.55

  • 10:21 PM
    0X0xA867eB58228A4625e2eD57C87b550545356e71ab-1772276393192
    $9.52

    Bought 17.309091 Camilo Ugo Carabelli for Game Spread: Nuno Borges (-4.5) vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli (+4.5) at 0.55

  • 10:21 PM
    0X0xf12f7688A0bC8Cc744eF871f70B74c16a976b30f-1779780453239
    $2,992.49

    Bought 5343.739825 Camilo Ugo Carabelli for Game Spread: Nuno Borges (-4.5) vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli (+4.5) at 0.56

  • 10:18 PM
    0X0x8b81cCE898c3c9d737fcA82dbA70f7ebf418988C-1781024142222
    $1.00

    Bought 2.040817 Over for Borges vs. Carabelli: Match O/U 21.5 at 0.49

  • 10:02 PM
    0X0xab371278BB58B20885CdE5C01FB68a888C4F7b61-1778353770816
    $203.00

    Bought 253.75 Nuno Borges for Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli at 0.8

  • 09:53 PM
    KOKOVSAN
    $1.00

    Bought 1.25 Nuno Borges for Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli at 0.8

  • 09:49 PM
    BIBichoTrader
    $2,250.00

    Bought 2812.5 Nuno Borges for Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli at 0.8

  • 09:47 PM
    HOhonduraslover
    $1.00

    Bought 4.761905 Camilo Ugo Carabelli for Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli at 0.21

  • 09:32 PM
    SOSouleeer
    $100.00

    Bought 125 Nuno Borges for Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli at 0.8

  • 09:08 PM
    RTrtmluck
    $49.93

    Bought 56.741572 Nuno Borges for Set Handicap: Camilo Ugo Carabelli (-1.5) vs Nuno Borges (+1.5) at 0.88

  • 08:49 PM
    KRKryptoRadioPL
    $10.00

    Bought 12.5 Nuno Borges for Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli at 0.8

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

F11
0xf12f…3239
Event PnL
-$34.22
Volume
$5,343.74
Positions
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
FE2
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
+$19.83
Volume
$3,964.23
Positions
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
VE3
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
+$15.10
Volume
$3,015.76
Positions
Nuno Borges
BI4
BichoTrader
Event PnL
-$14.06
Volume
$2,812.50
Positions
Nuno Borges
HI5
hi774c
Event PnL
+$8.01
Volume
$1,601.70
Positions
Nuno Borges
JO6
josephsmithlds
Event PnL
-$7.90
Volume
$1,579.62
Positions
Nuno Borges
PL7
pltrkr111
Event PnL
+$6.54
Volume
$1,308.36
Positions
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
328
0x32b4…3653
Event PnL
+$4.21
Volume
$841.45
Positions
Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli"?

As of the latest update, Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,050% win probability, followed by Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 1 Winner at 5,050% and Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 5,050%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $88.6K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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