
Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,050% chance of winning. Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 1 Winner follows in second place at 5,050%, while Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 1 O/U 8.5 sits in third with 5,050%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $88.6K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli (5,050%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,050¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $49.5K in volume.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 1 Winner (5,050%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 1 Winner maintains a 5,050% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,050¢.
- Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 1 O/U 8.5 (5,050%): Sitting in third place with a 5,050% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 1 O/U 8.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set Handicap +/-1.5 (5,050%), Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 2 Winner (5,000%), and Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 2 O/U 8.5 (5,000%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 2 O/U 9.5 are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 5050.0% | $49.5K | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 2 | Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 1 Winner | 5050.0% | $1.0K | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 3 | Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 5050.0% | $206 | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 4 | Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 5050.0% | $3.9K | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 5 | Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 2 Winner | 5000.0% | $20 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 6 | Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 7 | Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 8 | Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 4950.0% | $3.1K | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 10 | Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 4950.0% | $26 | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 11 | Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 4950.0% | $186 | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 12 | Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Match O/U 21.5 | 4950.0% | $1.3K | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 13 | Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Match O/U 22.5 | 4950.0% | $935 | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 14 | Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Match O/U 23.5 | 4950.0% | $1.6K | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 15 | Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 4950.0% | $3.9K | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 16 | Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Game Spread +/-4.5 | 4950.0% | $18.2K | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 17 | Completed Match | 200.0% | $160 | 200¢ | -100¢ |
Result Rules
This market refers to the tennis match between Nuno Borges and Camilo Ugo Carabelli in the Chengdu Open, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Nuno Borges' if Nuno Borges advances against Camilo Ugo Carabelli.
This market will resolve to 'Camilo Ugo Carabelli' if Camilo Ugo Carabelli advances against Nuno Borges.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Sep 23, 2026
- 10:23 PMMImilouthebigredmonster$4.77
Bought 8.517856 Camilo Ugo Carabelli for Game Spread: Nuno Borges (-4.5) vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli (+4.5) at 0.56
- 10:21 PMWAwanah$4.91
Bought 8.92 Camilo Ugo Carabelli for Game Spread: Nuno Borges (-4.5) vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli (+4.5) at 0.55
- 10:21 PM0X0xA867eB58228A4625e2eD57C87b550545356e71ab-1772276393192$9.52
Bought 17.309091 Camilo Ugo Carabelli for Game Spread: Nuno Borges (-4.5) vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli (+4.5) at 0.55
- 10:21 PM0X0xf12f7688A0bC8Cc744eF871f70B74c16a976b30f-1779780453239$2,992.49
Bought 5343.739825 Camilo Ugo Carabelli for Game Spread: Nuno Borges (-4.5) vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli (+4.5) at 0.56
- 10:18 PM0X0x8b81cCE898c3c9d737fcA82dbA70f7ebf418988C-1781024142222$1.00
Bought 2.040817 Over for Borges vs. Carabelli: Match O/U 21.5 at 0.49
- 10:02 PM0X0xab371278BB58B20885CdE5C01FB68a888C4F7b61-1778353770816$203.00
Bought 253.75 Nuno Borges for Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli at 0.8
- 09:53 PMKOKOVSAN$1.00
Bought 1.25 Nuno Borges for Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli at 0.8
- 09:49 PMBIBichoTrader$2,250.00
Bought 2812.5 Nuno Borges for Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli at 0.8
- 09:47 PMHOhonduraslover$1.00
Bought 4.761905 Camilo Ugo Carabelli for Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli at 0.21
- 09:32 PMSOSouleeer$100.00
Bought 125 Nuno Borges for Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli at 0.8
- 09:08 PMRTrtmluck$49.93
Bought 56.741572 Nuno Borges for Set Handicap: Camilo Ugo Carabelli (-1.5) vs Nuno Borges (+1.5) at 0.88
- 08:49 PMKRKryptoRadioPL$10.00
Bought 12.5 Nuno Borges for Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli at 0.8
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli"?
As of the latest update, Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,050% win probability, followed by Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 1 Winner at 5,050% and Chengdu Open: Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 5,050%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $88.6K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
