Orleans: Mattia Bellucci vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg

$399.8K Vol
Nov 19, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg 89.5%
Mattia Bellucci 10.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Orleans: Mattia Bellucci vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,500% chance of winning. Mattia Bellucci follows in second place at 500%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $399.8K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg (9,500%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,500¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Mattia Bellucci (500%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Mattia Bellucci maintains a 500% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 500¢.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg9500.0%—9500¢-9400¢
2Mattia Bellucci500.0%—500¢-400¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Mattia Bellucci and Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg in the Orleans, originally scheduled for November 11, 2026 at 2:30PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Mattia Bellucci' if Mattia Bellucci advances against Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg.

This market will resolve to 'Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg' if Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg advances against Mattia Bellucci.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Nov 11, 2026

  • 12:36 PM
    ALalois17
    $1.00

    Bought 2.173914 Mattia Bellucci for Set Handicap: Mattia Bellucci (-1.5) vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg (+1.5) at 0.46

  • 10:03 AM
    BEbetfun...
    $10.05

    Bought 15 Mattia Bellucci for Orleans: Mattia Bellucci vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg at 0.67

  • 05:49 AM
    0X0x47384d7AEf2aC6Daa9a459a9261668D7e4f79CfB-1776632770211
    $442.26

    Sold 1053 Mattia Bellucci for Set Handicap: Mattia Bellucci (-1.5) vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg (+1.5) at 0.42

  • 05:40 AM
    50500kDollars
    $1.00

    Bought 2.941177 Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg for Orleans: Mattia Bellucci vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg at 0.34

  • 05:38 AM
    OMOmnipollo44
    $2.00

    Bought 2.985075 Mattia Bellucci for Orleans: Mattia Bellucci vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg at 0.67

  • 04:45 AM
    FVfvckjumpjanestreet
    $334.99

    Bought 499.99 Mattia Bellucci for Orleans: Mattia Bellucci vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg at 0.67

  • 03:28 AM
    0X0x47384d7AEf2aC6Daa9a459a9261668D7e4f79CfB-1776632770211
    $102.15

    Bought 227 Mattia Bellucci for Set Handicap: Mattia Bellucci (-1.5) vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg (+1.5) at 0.45

  • 03:28 AM
    0X0x47384d7AEf2aC6Daa9a459a9261668D7e4f79CfB-1776632770211
    $122.40

    Bought 272 Mattia Bellucci for Set Handicap: Mattia Bellucci (-1.5) vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg (+1.5) at 0.45

  • 03:27 AM
    0X0x47384d7AEf2aC6Daa9a459a9261668D7e4f79CfB-1776632770211
    $122.40

    Bought 272 Mattia Bellucci for Set Handicap: Mattia Bellucci (-1.5) vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg (+1.5) at 0.45

  • 03:27 AM
    0X0x47384d7AEf2aC6Daa9a459a9261668D7e4f79CfB-1776632770211
    $126.90

    Bought 282 Mattia Bellucci for Set Handicap: Mattia Bellucci (-1.5) vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg (+1.5) at 0.45

  • 12:44 AM
    OLolivzer
    $5.00

    Bought 7.462687 Mattia Bellucci for Orleans: Mattia Bellucci vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg at 0.67

Nov 10, 2026

  • 10:06 PM
    CHCharlieEcho71
    $2.00

    Bought 2.985075 Mattia Bellucci for Orleans: Mattia Bellucci vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg at 0.67

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

PA1
papillon1
Event PnL
-$23.91
Volume
$2,927.54
Positions
Mattia Bellucci
KK2
Kkunn
Event PnL
+$41.07
Volume
$2,680.48
Positions
Mattia Bellucci
GQ3
gq3g31egv1eq
Event PnL
-$64.65
Volume
$2,586.00
Positions
Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg
FL4
Flaznorp
Event PnL
+$41.35
Volume
$1,653.94
Positions
Mattia Bellucci
NE5
neutralwave23
Event PnL
-$26.70
Volume
$1,544.90
Positions
Mattia Bellucci
996
0x99F0…6382
Event PnL
+$24.18
Volume
$1,291.17
Positions
Sascha Gueymard-WayenburgMattia Bellucci
CL7
clownly
Event PnL
+$54.00
Volume
$1,200.00
Positions
Mattia BellucciSascha Gueymard-Wayenburg
MO8
mouzsynapse
Event PnL
+$5.35
Volume
$1,069.39
Positions
Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Orleans: Mattia Bellucci vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg"?

As of the latest update, Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,500% win probability, followed by Mattia Bellucci at 500%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $399.8K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

Start trading