Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

$501.6K Vol
Oct 5, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 85.5%
Nikoloz Basilashvili 15.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Completed Match is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Game Spread +/-2.5 follows in second place at 9,995%, while Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina sits in third with 5%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $501.6K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Completed Match (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Completed Match is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $1.4K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Game Spread +/-2.5 (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Game Spread +/-2.5 maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (5%): Sitting in third place with a 5% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Completed Match9995.0%$1.4K9995¢-9895¢
2Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Game Spread +/-2.59995.0%$5.9K9995¢-9895¢
3Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina5.0%$487.9K5¢95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Nikoloz Basilashvili and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the Chengdu Open, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Nikoloz Basilashvili' if Nikoloz Basilashvili advances against Alejandro Davidovich Fokina.

This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Davidovich Fokina' if Alejandro Davidovich Fokina advances against Nikoloz Basilashvili.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 28, 2026

  • 12:12 AM
    ——
    $2.85

    Bought 5 Over for Basilashvili vs. Fokina: Match O/U 21.5 at 0.57

Sep 27, 2026

  • 11:47 PM
    USuser0000000
    $38.15

    Bought 68.13 Nikoloz Basilashvili for Set Handicap: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (-1.5) vs Nikoloz Basilashvili (+1.5) at 0.56

  • 11:46 PM
    USuser0000000
    $9.54

    Bought 17.03 Nikoloz Basilashvili for Set Handicap: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (-1.5) vs Nikoloz Basilashvili (+1.5) at 0.56

  • 11:42 PM
    USuser0000000
    $138.32

    Bought 247 Nikoloz Basilashvili for Set Handicap: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (-1.5) vs Nikoloz Basilashvili (+1.5) at 0.56

  • 11:23 PM
    RARawdy
    $10.14

    Bought 14.7 Alejandro Davidovich Fokina for Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina at 0.69

  • 11:22 PM
    ——
    $5.00

    Bought 7.246377 Alejandro Davidovich Fokina for Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina at 0.69

  • 11:22 PM
    OLolivzer
    $5.00

    Bought 15.625 Nikoloz Basilashvili for Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina at 0.32

  • 11:22 PM
    SFsfafdsaferw
    $1.08

    Bought 1.565216 Alejandro Davidovich Fokina for Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina at 0.69

  • 11:08 PM
    32321321..
    $2.06

    Bought 2.985506 Alejandro Davidovich Fokina for Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina at 0.69

  • 11:08 PM
    ——
    $5.00

    Bought 7.246377 Alejandro Davidovich Fokina for Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina at 0.69

  • 11:08 PM
    SGSGR
    $40.00

    Bought 125 Nikoloz Basilashvili for Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina at 0.32

  • 11:08 PM
    SFsfafdsaferw
    $1.08

    Bought 1.565216 Alejandro Davidovich Fokina for Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina at 0.69

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

KC1
Kch-Temp
Event PnL
+$27.79
Volume
$6,834.87
Positions
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
HI2
hi774c
Event PnL
+$1.22
Volume
$3,311.45
Positions
Nikoloz BasilashviliNikoloz Basilashvili
DA3
darkumbreon88
Event PnL
+$14.39
Volume
$2,878.60
Positions
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
UP4
UpTheBlues
Event PnL
-$10.35
Volume
$2,069.00
Positions
Nikoloz Basilashvili
BO5
Booz69
Event PnL
-$7.62
Volume
$1,523.72
Positions
Nikoloz Basilashvili
FE6
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
+$7.59
Volume
$1,517.77
Positions
Nikoloz Basilashvili
KN7
KnightDasCapital
Event PnL
-$7.50
Volume
$1,500.00
Positions
Nikoloz Basilashvili
NO8
no1dodgersfan
Event PnL
-$5.21
Volume
$1,282.34
Positions
Alejandro Davidovich FokinaAlejandro Davidovich Fokina

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina"?

As of the latest update, Completed Match leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Game Spread +/-2.5 at 9,995% and Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina at 5%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $501.6K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

Get Started