San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes

$158.2K Vol
Oct 5, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Nishesh Basavareddy 100.0%
Igor Ribeiro Marcondes 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Set 2 Winner follows in second place at 9,960%, while San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Set Handicap +/-1.5 sits in third with 9,955%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $158.2K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $155.3K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Set 2 Winner (9,960%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Set 2 Winner maintains a 9,960% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,960¢.
  • San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Set Handicap +/-1.5 (9,955%): Sitting in third place with a 9,955% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Set Handicap +/-1.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (50%), San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Set 2 O/U 10.5 (50%), and San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Match O/U 23.5 (50%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Game Spread +/-4.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes9995.0%$155.3K9995¢-9895¢
2San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Set 2 Winner9960.0%—9960¢-9860¢
3San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Set Handicap +/-1.59955.0%$99955¢-9855¢
4San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Total Sets: O/U 2.550.0%—50¢50¢
5San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Set 2 O/U 10.550.0%—50¢50¢
6San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Match O/U 23.550.0%—50¢50¢
7San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Game Spread +/-4.550.0%$6350¢50¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Nishesh Basavareddy and Igor Ribeiro Marcondes in the San Diego 2, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 4:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Nishesh Basavareddy' if Nishesh Basavareddy advances against Igor Ribeiro Marcondes.

This market will resolve to 'Igor Ribeiro Marcondes' if Igor Ribeiro Marcondes advances against Nishesh Basavareddy.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 27, 2026

  • 11:28 AM
    BEbetfun...
    $8.10

    Bought 45 Igor Ribeiro Marcondes for San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes at 0.18

  • 11:00 AM
    UNUNEB3154s4f251
    $5.89

    Bought 7.1 Nishesh Basavareddy for San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes at 0.83

  • 11:00 AM
    BEbetfun...
    $0.85

    Bought 5 Igor Ribeiro Marcondes for San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes at 0.17

  • 10:40 AM
    DRdrtystve
    $26.37

    Bought 101.422666 Over for Basavareddy vs. Marcondes: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 at 0.26

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

171
177-letsgo
Event PnL
+$4,288.07
Volume
$25,000.00
Positions
Nishesh Basavareddy
PR2
primetoughness
Event PnL
-$2,957.67
Volume
$15,143.02
Positions
Igor Ribeiro Marcondes
DR3
drrd
Event PnL
+$2,879.50
Volume
$13,000.00
Positions
Nishesh Basavareddy
FE4
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
-$1,667.06
Volume
$8,504.87
Positions
Igor Ribeiro Marcondes
RN5
RN1
Event PnL
+$2,154.53
Volume
$8,160.09
Positions
Nishesh Basavareddy
GH6
ghostorder
Event PnL
+$971.68
Volume
$7,500.54
Positions
Nishesh Basavareddy
A07
0xa0f2…1848
Event PnL
-$1,206.80
Volume
$7,415.39
Positions
Igor Ribeiro Marcondes
9E8
0x9e3e…9396
Event PnL
-$576.45
Volume
$6,573.50
Positions
Igor Ribeiro Marcondes

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes"?

As of the latest update, San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Set 2 Winner at 9,960% and San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes Set Handicap +/-1.5 at 9,955%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $158.2K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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