Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler

$96.9K Vol
Oct 12, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Felix Balshaw 55.5%
Joel Schwaerzler 44.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,550% chance of winning. Completed Match follows in second place at 5,000%, while Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler Total Sets: O/U 2.5 sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $96.9K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler (5,550%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,550¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $88.9K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Completed Match (5,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Completed Match maintains a 5,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,000¢.
  • Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler Total Sets: O/U 2.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler Set 2 O/U 8.5 (5,000%), Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler Set 2 O/U 9.5 (5,000%), and Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler Set 2 O/U 10.5 (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler Match O/U 23.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler5550.0%$88.9K5550¢-5450¢
2Completed Match5000.0%$8.0K5000¢-4900¢
3Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler Total Sets: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
4Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
5Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
6Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler Match O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler Set Handicap +/-1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler Game Spread +/-1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler Set 2 Winner2250.0%—2250¢-2150¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Felix Balshaw and Joel Schwaerzler in the Villena, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Felix Balshaw' if Felix Balshaw advances against Joel Schwaerzler.

This market will resolve to 'Joel Schwaerzler' if Joel Schwaerzler advances against Felix Balshaw.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 6, 2026

  • 11:59 AM
    XUXuinto
    $98.90

    Sold 247.24 Joel Schwaerzler for Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler at 0.4

  • 11:58 AM
    0X0x311CD6e45180D75cD312eE2EbC66b0603A4c3fD9-1775570975323
    $2.90

    Sold 5 Felix Balshaw for Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler at 0.58

  • 11:57 AM
    SNSnezhnyDemon
    $18.30

    Sold 45.76 Joel Schwaerzler for Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler at 0.4

  • 11:51 AM
    0X0xa54dE3eb0aEebe109eaE42f9501A98EA6B78DEB8-1773187721162
    $104.23

    Sold 254.23 Joel Schwaerzler for Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler at 0.41

  • 11:50 AM
    ——
    $10.75

    Sold 18.86 Felix Balshaw for Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler at 0.57

  • 11:50 AM
    RERefaelnadal
    $1,085.96

    Sold 1939.22 Felix Balshaw for Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler at 0.56

  • 11:49 AM
    BIBigwinfinn
    $57.87

    Sold 144.68 Joel Schwaerzler for Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler at 0.4

  • 11:48 AM
    0X0x925499a29Eb472668E9f546ad20208E4feACC448-1772522193672
    $15.00

    Bought 36.585366 Joel Schwaerzler for Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler at 0.41

  • 11:48 AM
    1919990930
    $300.00

    Bought 731.707318 Joel Schwaerzler for Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler at 0.41

  • 11:45 AM
    0X0x0abdea0ECe95A
    $4.20

    Bought 7 Felix Balshaw for Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler at 0.6

  • 11:45 AM
    0X0x1256E1f
    $22.99

    Bought 56.060976 Joel Schwaerzler for Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler at 0.41

  • 11:45 AM
    0X0x8b81cCE898c3c9d737fcA82dbA70f7ebf418988C-1781024142222
    $1.00

    Bought 2.5 Joel Schwaerzler for Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler at 0.4

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

XA1
xabidaking
Event PnL
+$603.00
Volume
$24,902.19
Positions
Joel Schwaerzler
F12
0xf12f…3239
Event PnL
+$2,356.97
Volume
$9,363.82
Positions
Felix Balshaw
FE3
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
+$400.62
Volume
$7,941.19
Positions
Felix Balshaw
RN4
RN1
Event PnL
-$165.32
Volume
$2,895.38
Positions
Felix Balshaw
RE5
Refaelnadal
Event PnL
+$358.76
Volume
$1,939.22
Positions
Felix Balshaw
AV6
avotrade
Event PnL
+$454.79
Volume
$1,877.00
Positions
Felix Balshaw
327
0x32b4…3653
Event PnL
-$50.03
Volume
$1,861.65
Positions
Felix Balshaw
GH8
ghostorder
Event PnL
-$41.25
Volume
$1,650.00
Positions
Felix Balshaw

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler"?

As of the latest update, Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,550% win probability, followed by Completed Match at 5,000% and Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler Total Sets: O/U 2.5 at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $96.9K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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