Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Ben Shelton

$291K Vol
Nov 14, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Ben Shelton 50.5%
Luca Van Assche 49.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Ben Shelton”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Ben Shelton Set 1 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Ben Shelton Match O/U 23.5 follows in second place at 7,800%, while Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Ben Shelton Total Sets: O/U 2.5 sits in third with 7,050%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $291K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Ben Shelton Set 1 Winner (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Ben Shelton Set 1 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $5.2K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Ben Shelton Match O/U 23.5 (7,800%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Ben Shelton Match O/U 23.5 maintains a 7,800% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 7,800¢.
  • Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Ben Shelton Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (7,050%): Sitting in third place with a 7,050% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Ben Shelton Total Sets: O/U 2.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Completed Match (5,500%), Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Ben Shelton (5,050%), and Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Ben Shelton Match O/U 21.5 (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Ben Shelton Match O/U 22.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Ben Shelton Set 1 Winner9995.0%$5.2K9995¢-9895¢
2Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Ben Shelton Match O/U 23.57800.0%$6127800¢-7700¢
3Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Ben Shelton Total Sets: O/U 2.57050.0%$1037050¢-6950¢
4Completed Match5500.0%—5500¢-5400¢
5Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Ben Shelton5050.0%$264.2K5050¢-4950¢
6Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Ben Shelton Match O/U 21.55000.0%$125000¢-4900¢
7Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Ben Shelton Match O/U 22.55000.0%$2.5K5000¢-4900¢
8Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Ben Shelton Set 2 Winner2950.0%—2950¢-2850¢
9Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Ben Shelton Game Spread +/-3.51800.0%$8.5K1800¢-1700¢
10Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Ben Shelton Set Handicap +/-1.55.0%$9.7K5¢95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Van Assche and Ben Shelton in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 7, 2026 at 8:30AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Luca Van Assche' if Luca Van Assche advances against Ben Shelton.

This market will resolve to 'Ben Shelton' if Ben Shelton advances against Luca Van Assche.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Nov 7, 2026

  • 01:52 PM
    ——
    $1.00

    Bought 2.12766 Luca Van Assche for Set Handicap: Ben Shelton (-1.5) vs Luca Van Assche (+1.5) at 0.47

  • 01:50 PM
    KUkud0
    $20.00

    Bought 38.461539 Ben Shelton for Game Spread: Ben Shelton (-3.5) vs Luca Van Assche (+3.5) at 0.52

  • 01:50 PM
    EXextra18
    $489.00

    Bought 652 Ben Shelton for Set 1 Winner: Luca Van Assche vs Ben Shelton at 0.75

  • 01:49 PM
    JCJchnnl
    $91.00

    Bought 116.666663 Ben Shelton for Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Ben Shelton at 0.78

  • 01:49 PM
    FLFlaznorp
    $38.49

    Bought 49.987013 Ben Shelton for Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Ben Shelton at 0.77

  • 01:48 PM
    KAkafgijon
    $100.00

    Bought 416.666667 Luca Van Assche for Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Ben Shelton at 0.24

  • 01:48 PM
    NEneutralwave23
    $94.45

    Bought 393.541667 Luca Van Assche for Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Ben Shelton at 0.24

  • 01:48 PM
    SUsuntori
    $19.04

    Bought 79.333334 Luca Van Assche for Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Ben Shelton at 0.24

  • 01:48 PM
    DAdanielwolfmorales3pddb6dl6
    $1,200.00

    Bought 5000 Luca Van Assche for Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Ben Shelton at 0.24

  • 01:47 PM
    PEpedropv
    $3.00

    Bought 3.896104 Ben Shelton for Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Ben Shelton at 0.77

  • 01:47 PM
    0X0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080
    $577.50

    Bought 750 Ben Shelton for Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Ben Shelton at 0.77

  • 01:47 PM
    0X0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080
    $577.50

    Bought 750 Ben Shelton for Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Ben Shelton at 0.77

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

QI1
qiu3
Event PnL
-$78.80
Volume
$15,763.12
Positions
Ben Shelton
F12
0xf12f…3239
Event PnL
-$132.84
Volume
$7,234.06
Positions
Ben Shelton
VE3
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
+$8.60
Volume
$6,930.63
Positions
Luca Van AsscheLuca Van Assche
HI4
hi774c
Event PnL
+$22.58
Volume
$6,547.14
Positions
Luca Van Assche
CA5
CAcap
Event PnL
+$10.15
Volume
$4,697.88
Positions
Luca Van AsscheLuca Van AsscheLuca Van Assche
K56
k56
Event PnL
-$20.00
Volume
$4,000.00
Positions
Luca Van Assche
FV7
fvckjumpjanes
Event PnL
+$7.50
Volume
$3,499.99
Positions
Ben Shelton
JU8
juanuski
Event PnL
-$15.65
Volume
$3,129.91
Positions
Ben Shelton

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Ben Shelton"?

As of the latest update, Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Ben Shelton Set 1 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Ben Shelton Match O/U 23.5 at 7,800% and Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Ben Shelton Total Sets: O/U 2.5 at 7,050%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $291K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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