Antofagasta: Joaquin Aguilar vs Lautaro Midon

$214.8K Vol
Oct 15, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Joaquin Aguilar 52.5%
Lautaro Midon 47.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Antofagasta: Joaquin Aguilar vs Lautaro Midon”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Antofagasta: Joaquin Aguilar vs Lautaro Midon Set 2 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Antofagasta: Joaquin Aguilar vs Lautaro Midon Total Sets: O/U 2.5 follows in second place at 9,995%, while Antofagasta: Joaquin Aguilar vs Lautaro Midon Set 1 O/U 8.5 sits in third with 9,995%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $214.8K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Antofagasta: Joaquin Aguilar vs Lautaro Midon Set 2 Winner (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Antofagasta: Joaquin Aguilar vs Lautaro Midon Set 2 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Antofagasta: Joaquin Aguilar vs Lautaro Midon Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Antofagasta: Joaquin Aguilar vs Lautaro Midon Total Sets: O/U 2.5 maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • Antofagasta: Joaquin Aguilar vs Lautaro Midon Set 1 O/U 8.5 (9,995%): Sitting in third place with a 9,995% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Antofagasta: Joaquin Aguilar vs Lautaro Midon Set 1 O/U 8.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Antofagasta: Joaquin Aguilar vs Lautaro Midon Set 1 O/U 9.5 (9,995%), Antofagasta: Joaquin Aguilar vs Lautaro Midon Set 1 O/U 10.5 (9,995%), and Antofagasta: Joaquin Aguilar vs Lautaro Midon Match O/U 21.5 (9,995%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Antofagasta: Joaquin Aguilar vs Lautaro Midon Match O/U 22.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Antofagasta: Joaquin Aguilar vs Lautaro Midon Set 2 Winner9995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
2Antofagasta: Joaquin Aguilar vs Lautaro Midon Total Sets: O/U 2.59995.0%$59995¢-9895¢
3Antofagasta: Joaquin Aguilar vs Lautaro Midon Set 1 O/U 8.59995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
4Antofagasta: Joaquin Aguilar vs Lautaro Midon Set 1 O/U 9.59995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
5Antofagasta: Joaquin Aguilar vs Lautaro Midon Set 1 O/U 10.59995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
6Antofagasta: Joaquin Aguilar vs Lautaro Midon Match O/U 21.59995.0%$79995¢-9895¢
7Antofagasta: Joaquin Aguilar vs Lautaro Midon Match O/U 22.59995.0%$89995¢-9895¢
8Antofagasta: Joaquin Aguilar vs Lautaro Midon Match O/U 23.59950.0%$39950¢-9850¢
9Antofagasta: Joaquin Aguilar vs Lautaro Midon6250.0%$243.4K6250¢-6150¢
10Completed Match5050.0%$5405050¢-4950¢
11Antofagasta: Joaquin Aguilar vs Lautaro Midon Game Spread +/-1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Antofagasta: Joaquin Aguilar vs Lautaro Midon Set 1 Winner5.0%—5¢95¢
13Antofagasta: Joaquin Aguilar vs Lautaro Midon Set 2 O/U 8.55.0%—5¢95¢
14Antofagasta: Joaquin Aguilar vs Lautaro Midon Set 2 O/U 9.55.0%—5¢95¢
15Antofagasta: Joaquin Aguilar vs Lautaro Midon Set 2 O/U 10.55.0%—5¢95¢
16Antofagasta: Joaquin Aguilar vs Lautaro Midon Set Handicap +/-1.55.0%$225¢95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Joaquin Aguilar and Lautaro Midon in the Antofagasta, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 9:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Joaquin Aguilar' if Joaquin Aguilar advances against Lautaro Midon.

This market will resolve to 'Lautaro Midon' if Lautaro Midon advances against Joaquin Aguilar.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 8, 2026

  • 01:32 PM
    SDsdsvshub-2
    $7.00

    Bought 100 No for Antofagasta: Completed Match: Joaquin Aguilar vs Lautaro Midon at 0.07

  • 01:00 PM
    0X0x546a5166295433dddA571cdE5d077Fc46abD1988-1770842732162
    $1.44

    Bought 3.130435 Lautaro Midon for Antofagasta: Joaquin Aguilar vs Lautaro Midon at 0.46

  • 12:32 PM
    VEVenusian
    $10.81

    Bought 23.5 Lautaro Midon for Antofagasta: Joaquin Aguilar vs Lautaro Midon at 0.46

  • 12:26 PM
    HOhobo69
    $440.00

    Bought 800 Joaquin Aguilar for Antofagasta: Joaquin Aguilar vs Lautaro Midon at 0.55

  • 11:49 AM
    ALalwayscha
    $3.22

    Bought 7 Lautaro Midon for Antofagasta: Joaquin Aguilar vs Lautaro Midon at 0.46

  • 10:05 AM
    PRprofitlaw
    $1.50

    Bought 3.26087 Lautaro Midon for Antofagasta: Joaquin Aguilar vs Lautaro Midon at 0.46

  • 09:52 AM
    TATassos74
    $10.00

    Bought 21.739131 Lautaro Midon for Antofagasta: Joaquin Aguilar vs Lautaro Midon at 0.46

  • 09:19 AM
    FAfayzan26
    $1.01

    Bought 2.2 Lautaro Midon for Antofagasta: Joaquin Aguilar vs Lautaro Midon at 0.46

  • 08:30 AM
    BEbetfun...
    $10.12

    Bought 22 Lautaro Midon for Antofagasta: Joaquin Aguilar vs Lautaro Midon at 0.46

  • 07:48 AM
    OLOlivier987
    $23.30

    Bought 42.363637 Joaquin Aguilar for Antofagasta: Joaquin Aguilar vs Lautaro Midon at 0.55

  • 07:47 AM
    DAdallybaby
    $25.52

    Bought 44 Joaquin Aguilar for Antofagasta: Joaquin Aguilar vs Lautaro Midon at 0.58

  • 07:47 AM
    FRfrenchfontana
    $5.80

    Bought 10 Joaquin Aguilar for Antofagasta: Joaquin Aguilar vs Lautaro Midon at 0.58

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

PO1
Po1yamory
Event PnL
+$3.43
Volume
$98.00
Positions
Lautaro Midon
AN2
antec
Event PnL
+$0.47
Volume
$52.89
Positions
Lautaro Midon
DD3
ddd141
Event PnL
+$0.25
Volume
$49.20
Positions
Joaquin Aguilar
DA4
dallybaby
Event PnL
-$1.54
Volume
$44.00
Positions
Joaquin Aguilar
LE5
LeLynxMalynx
Event PnL
+$1.92
Volume
$42.71
Positions
Joaquin Aguilar
OL6
Olivier987
Event PnL
-$0.21
Volume
$42.36
Positions
Joaquin Aguilar
HE7
HevWei
Event PnL
-$1.21
Volume
$28.10
Positions
Lautaro Midon
BA8
bahn-cuon-baby
Event PnL
-$0.84
Volume
$24.00
Positions
Joaquin Aguilar

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Antofagasta: Joaquin Aguilar vs Lautaro Midon"?

As of the latest update, Antofagasta: Joaquin Aguilar vs Lautaro Midon Set 2 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Antofagasta: Joaquin Aguilar vs Lautaro Midon Total Sets: O/U 2.5 at 9,995% and Antofagasta: Joaquin Aguilar vs Lautaro Midon Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 9,995%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $214.8K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

Get Started