CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - More Markets

$117.3K Vol
Sep 12, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Under 98.0%
Over 1.9%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - More Markets”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Both Teams to Score is dominating the market with an overwhelming 50% chance of winning. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $117.3K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Both Teams to Score (50%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Both Teams to Score is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 50¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $3.4K in volume.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Both Teams to Score50.0%$3.4K50¢50¢

Result Rules

More markets for the Primera División Argentina game, scheduled for September 11 at 6:15 PM ET.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Most Overvalued Outcome Both Teams to Score currently trades at 50%, but our AI places its Fair Value at just 47.1%. This creates a large negative EV Gap of -2.9%, suggesting the crowd may be overhyping this outcome and driving the premium too high.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
Both Teams to Score50.0%47.1%-2.9%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 11, 2026

  • 09:33 PM
    0X0xe6ed154790125EfF218B7F445aeca16b444bc478-1768087534574
    $97.00

    Bought 105.434775 Over for CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: O/U 0.5 at 0.92

  • 09:30 PM
    FLFlaznorp
    $0.07

    Bought 0.33 Over for CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: O/U 3.5 at 0.22

  • 09:25 PM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $35.64

    Bought 162 Over for CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: O/U 3.5 at 0.22

  • 09:24 PM
    FLFlaznorp
    $36.39

    Bought 51.253522 Under for CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: 1st Half O/U 1.5 at 0.71

  • 09:24 PM
    0X0x92F59e08060C00C9b2Dde0098D272f66C34C52A2-1786873013481
    $2.13

    Bought 3 Under for CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: 1st Half O/U 1.5 at 0.71

  • 09:23 PM
    ZAzagzig123
    $136.07

    Bought 174.45 Under for CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: O/U 3.5 at 0.78

  • 09:22 PM
    ZAzagzig123
    $9,637.34

    Bought 12355.57 Under for CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: O/U 3.5 at 0.78

  • 09:21 PM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $4.50

    Bought 5 Under for CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: O/U 4.5 at 0.9

  • 09:17 PM
    SISIN999
    $1.00

    Bought 1.785715 Under for CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: O/U 2.5 at 0.56

  • 09:17 PM
    SISIN999
    $1.00

    Bought 1.785715 Under for CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: O/U 2.5 at 0.56

  • 09:17 PM
    TETerminator91
    $1.00

    Bought 3.333334 Under for CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: O/U 1.5 at 0.3

  • 09:17 PM
    TETerminator91
    $1.00

    Bought 10 Under for CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: O/U 0.5 at 0.1

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

ZA1
zagzig123
Event PnL
-$91.39
Volume
$12,651.35
Positions
Under
LU2
LuckyLoo
Event PnL
+$21.72
Volume
$4,336.00
Positions
OverUnder
SN3
SnakeBall
Event PnL
+$16.61
Volume
$3,295.10
Positions
OverNoOver
FL4
Flaznorp
Event PnL
-$11.77
Volume
$2,077.20
Positions
UnderOverCA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza+5
VE5
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
+$17.02
Volume
$2,075.03
Positions
OverUnderNo+1
HI6
hi774c
Event PnL
+$30.06
Volume
$2,024.28
Positions
OverCSyD Defensa y Justicia
DE7
DetectiveOnTheCase
Event PnL
+$17.50
Volume
$500.00
Positions
Over
998
0x99F0…6382
Event PnL
+$5.00
Volume
$351.66
Positions
OverUnder

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - More Markets"?

As of the latest update, Both Teams to Score leads the field as the frontrunner with a 50% win probability. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $117.3K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Is the market consensus overreacting to any specific outcome?

Yes — our data suggests a notable overreaction around Both Teams to Score. The crowd has pushed its live Trade Value up to 50%, yet our Fair Value assessment puts its real likelihood at just 47.1%, a negative EV Gap of -2.9% that signals the contract is overpriced.

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