Another crypto hack over $100M by ___?

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Another crypto hack over $100M by ___?”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, December 31 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,350% chance of winning. October 31 follows in second place at 4,150%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached —, reflecting intense industry interest.

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

• December 31 (5,350%): Currently commanding the highest probability, December 31 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,350¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

• October 31 (4,150%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, October 31 maintains a 4,150% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 4,150¢.

This is a market on whether any crypto project or exchange suffers an exploit or hack of value at least $100 million USD equivalent between the creation of this market and 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

Decentralized exchanges and lending protocol hacks will count.

If a potentially qualifying hack has occurred within market timeframe, but the market’s resolution source has not been updated as of the market’s specified end date, the market may remain open for up to 7 calendar days ET allowing for an update. If no update occurs, the market will resolve according to the data already available.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Rekt News leaderboard (https://rekt.news/leaderboard/), however a credible consensus of reporting may also be used.