Andrew Tate released from custody by...?

$292.6K Vol
Jan 1, 2027
Active
Probability Trend
December 31 18.5%
July 31 0.1%
August 31 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Andrew Tate released from custody by...?”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, No is dominating the market with an overwhelming 8,050% chance of winning. Yes follows in second place at 1,950%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $292.6K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • No (8,050%): Currently commanding the highest probability, No is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 8,050¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Yes (1,950%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Yes maintains a 1,950% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 1,950¢.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1No8050.0%8050¢-7950¢
2Yes1950.0%1950¢-1850¢

Result Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Andrew Tate is released from government custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Tate is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".

If Tate is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".

Transporting Andrew Tate to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".

Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.

Extradition or transfer to a different jurisdiction of custody will not qualify as a release from custody.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Andrew Tate released from custody by...?"?

As of the latest update, No leads the field as the frontrunner with a 8,050% win probability, followed by Yes at 1,950%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $292.6K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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