Pakhtakor vs. Al Qadsiah - More Markets

$380.8K Vol
Oct 12, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Over 100.0%
Under 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Pakhtakor vs. Al Qadsiah - More Markets”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Both Teams to Score is dominating the market with an overwhelming 67% chance of winning. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $380.8K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Both Teams to Score (67%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Both Teams to Score is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 67¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $11.4K in volume.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Both Teams to Score67.0%$11.4K67¢33¢

Result Rules

More markets for the AFC Champions League Elite game, scheduled for October 12 at 9:45 AM ET.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Most Overvalued Outcome Both Teams to Score currently trades at 67%, but our AI places its Fair Value at just 59.4%. This creates a large negative EV Gap of -7.7%, suggesting the crowd may be overhyping this outcome and driving the premium too high.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
Both Teams to Score67.0%59.4%-7.7%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 12, 2026

  • 11:07 AM
    TITitii
    $3.00

    Bought 5.263158 Yes for Pakhtakor vs. Al Qadsiah: Both Teams to Score at 0.57

  • 10:58 AM
    0X0x722D1396b68301081F947E00aec34A5E344e1B4E-1770956797582
    $37.61

    Bought 39.181342 Over for Pakhtakor vs. Al Qadsiah: O/U 0.5 at 0.96

  • 10:50 AM
    DUduangduangmm
    $1.40

    Bought 14 Over for Pakhtakor vs. Al Qadsiah: O/U 5.5 at 0.1

  • 10:50 AM
    DUduangduangmm
    $2.52

    Bought 14 Under for Pakhtakor vs. Al Qadsiah: O/U 1.5 at 0.18

  • 10:45 AM
    SHShlizi
    $66.00

    Bought 108.19672 Over for Pakhtakor vs. Al Qadsiah: O/U 2.5 at 0.61

  • 10:20 AM
    FLFlaznorp
    $1.60

    Bought 40 Under for Pakhtakor vs. Al Qadsiah: O/U 0.5 at 0.04

  • 10:20 AM
    YOyoucanbuythisbot
    $1.20

    Bought 30 Under for Pakhtakor vs. Al Qadsiah: O/U 0.5 at 0.04

  • 10:19 AM
    TItinashi1199zz
    $96.07

    Bought 157.491802 Over for Pakhtakor vs. Al Qadsiah: O/U 2.5 at 0.61

  • 10:17 AM
    GOGoalLineGhost
    $507.84

    Bought 529 Over for Pakhtakor vs. Al Qadsiah: O/U 0.5 at 0.96

  • 10:17 AM
    DAdallybaby
    $2.08

    Bought 52 Under for Pakhtakor vs. Al Qadsiah: O/U 0.5 at 0.04

  • 10:03 AM
    COColdMath
    $1.04

    Bought 1.73 Over for Pakhtakor vs. Al Qadsiah: O/U 2.5 at 0.6

  • 10:02 AM
    TItiexiong
    $1.00

    Bought 1.038405 Over for Pakhtakor vs. Al Qadsiah: O/U 0.5 at 0.96

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

SU1
suntori
Event PnL
+$2.04
Volume
$2,112.71
Positions
OverOverUnder+2
GO2
GoalLineGhost
Event PnL
+$27.91
Volume
$2,011.29
Positions
OverAl QadsiahUnder+1
VE3
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
-$0.87
Volume
$1,728.68
Positions
UnderNoUnder+2
FL4
Flaznorp
Event PnL
+$5.85
Volume
$1,363.49
Positions
Al QadsiahOverOver+7
995
0x99F0…6382
Event PnL
+$0.63
Volume
$1,080.92
Positions
UnderUnderUnder+4
TO6
toryxbt
Event PnL
-$11.00
Volume
$885.31
Positions
UnderUnderUnder+2
KN7
KnightDasCapital
Event PnL
-$4.27
Volume
$836.24
Positions
NoUnderOver+1
NI8
nigiri99
Event PnL
-$5.94
Volume
$742.00
Positions
YesOver

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Pakhtakor vs. Al Qadsiah - More Markets"?

As of the latest update, Both Teams to Score leads the field as the frontrunner with a 67% win probability. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $380.8K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Is the market consensus overreacting to any specific outcome?

Yes — our data suggests a notable overreaction around Both Teams to Score. The crowd has pushed its live Trade Value up to 67%, yet our Fair Value assessment puts its real likelihood at just 59.4%, a negative EV Gap of -7.7% that signals the contract is overpriced.

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