FK Neftchi Fargona vs. Al Quwa Al Jawiya - More Markets

$84.1K Vol
Sep 14, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Over 69.5%
Under 30.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “FK Neftchi Fargona vs. Al Quwa Al Jawiya - More Markets”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Both Teams to Score is dominating the market with an overwhelming 35.5% chance of winning. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $84.1K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Both Teams to Score (35.5%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Both Teams to Score is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 36¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $502 in volume.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Both Teams to Score35.5%$50236¢65¢

Result Rules

More markets for the AFC Champions League Elite game, scheduled for September 14 at 9:45 AM ET.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Best Value Play (Highest EV) Our model identifies Both Teams to Score as the premium value opportunity on the board. While the market only assigns it a 35.5% trading probability, our AI’s Fair Value assessment sits at 47.6% — yielding an impressive +12.1% EV Gap.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
Both Teams to ScoreBest EV35.5%47.6%+12.1%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 14, 2026

  • 10:31 AM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $19.04

    Bought 317.333334 Over for FK Neftchi Fargona vs. Al Quwa Al Jawiya: O/U 5.5 at 0.06

  • 10:31 AM
    SUsuntori
    $28.57

    Bought 219.769231 Over for FK Neftchi Fargona vs. Al Quwa Al Jawiya: O/U 4.5 at 0.13

  • 10:31 AM
    FLFlaznorp
    $2.65

    Bought 5 No for FK Neftchi Fargona vs. Al Quwa Al Jawiya: Both Teams to Score at 0.53

  • 09:23 AM
    FLFlaznorp
    $0.06

    Bought 0.2 Over for FK Neftchi Fargona vs. Al Quwa Al Jawiya: 1st Half O/U 1.5 at 0.32

  • 09:21 AM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $4.64

    Bought 14.5 Over for FK Neftchi Fargona vs. Al Quwa Al Jawiya: 1st Half O/U 1.5 at 0.32

  • 09:21 AM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $31.46

    Bought 35.75 Under for FK Neftchi Fargona vs. Al Quwa Al Jawiya: 1st Half O/U 2.5 at 0.88

  • 09:21 AM
    FLFlaznorp
    $12.34

    Bought 14.022725 Under for FK Neftchi Fargona vs. Al Quwa Al Jawiya: 1st Half O/U 2.5 at 0.88

  • 09:04 AM
    $1.01

    Bought 1.383562 Under for FK Neftchi Fargona vs. Al Quwa Al Jawiya: O/U 3.5 at 0.73

  • 09:04 AM
    FLFlaznorp
    $11.50

    Bought 42.592593 Over for FK Neftchi Fargona vs. Al Quwa Al Jawiya: O/U 3.5 at 0.27

  • 09:04 AM
    FLFlaznorp
    $3.88

    Bought 7.918368 Over for FK Neftchi Fargona vs. Al Quwa Al Jawiya: O/U 2.5 at 0.49

  • 09:04 AM
    FLFlaznorp
    $0.27

    Bought 0.55 Over for FK Neftchi Fargona vs. Al Quwa Al Jawiya: O/U 2.5 at 0.49

  • 09:04 AM
    FLFlaznorp
    $5.36

    Bought 7.243242 Over for FK Neftchi Fargona vs. Al Quwa Al Jawiya: O/U 1.5 at 0.74

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

FL1
Flaznorp
Event PnL
+$733.70
Volume
$9,323.90
Positions
UnderUnderOver+12
XH2
xhxtxh
Event PnL
+$2,308.07
Volume
$6,630.31
Positions
UnderUnder
GO3
GoalLineGhost
Event PnL
+$2,410.17
Volume
$5,612.88
Positions
UnderUnderUnder+6
WI4
Winning2...
Event PnL
-$2,189.03
Volume
$4,947.76
Positions
OverOverOver
UP5
UpTheBlues
Event PnL
-$3,644.13
Volume
$3,959.47
Positions
OverUnderYes+1
NM6
Nmcp
Event PnL
-$1,531.22
Volume
$3,281.66
Positions
OverOver
BO7
Bogdanreay
Event PnL
-$1,098.63
Volume
$2,729.44
Positions
OverOver
SN8
SnakeBall
Event PnL
-$1,177.61
Volume
$2,686.28
Positions
OverUnder

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "FK Neftchi Fargona vs. Al Quwa Al Jawiya - More Markets"?

As of the latest update, Both Teams to Score leads the field as the frontrunner with a 35.5% win probability. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $84.1K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Which outcome represents the highest Expected Value (EV) right now?

Our latest run flags Both Teams to Score as the most significant mispricing. While the market trades it at a 35.5% implied probability, our AI calculates a Fair Value of 47.6% — an Expected Value gap of +12.1%, making it the premium value play in this pool.

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