Buriram United vs. Kashima Antlers

$134.4K Vol
Nov 4, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Yes 57.5%
No 42.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Buriram United vs. Kashima Antlers”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Kashima Antlers is dominating the market with an overwhelming 57.5% chance of winning. Buriram United follows in second place at 20.5%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $134.4K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Kashima Antlers (57.5%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Kashima Antlers is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 57¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $92.2K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Buriram United (20.5%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Buriram United maintains a 20.5% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 21¢.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Kashima Antlers57.5%$92.2K57¢43¢
2Buriram United20.5%$39.3K21¢80¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming AFC Champions League Elite game between Buriram United and Kashima Antlers, originally scheduled for Wednesday, November 4, 2026 at 7:15 AM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Most Overvalued Outcome Kashima Antlers currently trades at 57.5%, but our AI places its Fair Value at just 53%. This creates a large negative EV Gap of -4.5%, suggesting the crowd may be overhyping this outcome and driving the premium too high.
  • The Best Value Play (Highest EV) Our model identifies Buriram United as the premium value opportunity on the board. While the market only assigns it a 20.5% trading probability, our AI’s Fair Value assessment sits at 24.6% — yielding an impressive +4.1% EV Gap.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
Kashima Antlers57.5%53.0%-4.5%
Buriram UnitedBest EV20.5%24.6%+4.1%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Nov 4, 2026

  • 01:23 PM
    FLFlaznorp
    $9.49

    Bought 24.973685 Yes for Will Buriram United vs. Kashima Antlers end in a draw? at 0.38

  • 01:22 PM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $8.85

    Sold 19.66 Yes for Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-11-04? at 0.45

  • 01:22 PM
    FLFlaznorp
    $40.06

    Bought 235.647059 Yes for Will Buriram United win on 2026-11-04? at 0.17

  • 01:22 PM
    SHShShSheSheSheSheeSheeSheepSheepShee
    $18.00

    Bought 35.294118 Yes for Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-11-04? at 0.51

  • 01:22 PM
    GTgtmad
    $2.65

    Bought 5 No for Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-11-04? at 0.53

  • 01:22 PM
    FLFlaznorp
    $2.88

    Bought 18 Yes for Will Buriram United win on 2026-11-04? at 0.16

  • 01:22 PM
    FEferdinand2
    $2.65

    Bought 5 No for Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-11-04? at 0.53

  • 01:22 PM
    FLFlaznorp
    $5.30

    Bought 10 No for Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-11-04? at 0.53

  • 01:21 PM
    FLFlaznorp
    $5.59

    Bought 10.54 No for Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-11-04? at 0.53

  • 01:21 PM
    GUGuajjangi
    $1.85

    Bought 5 Yes for Will Buriram United vs. Kashima Antlers end in a draw? at 0.37

  • 01:21 PM
    SUsuntori
    $30.52

    Bought 59.843138 Yes for Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-11-04? at 0.51

  • 01:21 PM
    FLFlaznorp
    $3.20

    Bought 20 Yes for Will Buriram United win on 2026-11-04? at 0.16

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

OM1
omnibus-076daa
Event PnL
-$0.09
Volume
$21,765.60
Positions
NoNoYes
9E2
0x9e3e…9396
Event PnL
-$13.82
Volume
$14,744.05
Positions
YesNoYes
BI3
biyanmeng
Event PnL
-$227.12
Volume
$11,952.93
Positions
No
FL4
Flaznorp
Event PnL
-$105.50
Volume
$9,680.34
Positions
NoYesYes
GO5
GoalLineGhost
Event PnL
-$438.87
Volume
$8,140.48
Positions
YesYesNo
RN6
RN1
Event PnL
+$82.84
Volume
$5,626.74
Positions
NoYes
VE7
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
-$76.93
Volume
$5,321.85
Positions
No
LZ8
lzh1
Event PnL
+$175.00
Volume
$4,999.92
Positions
No

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Buriram United vs. Kashima Antlers"?

As of the latest update, Kashima Antlers leads the field as the frontrunner with a 57.5% win probability, followed by Buriram United at 20.5%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $134.4K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Which outcome represents the highest Expected Value (EV) right now?

Our latest run flags Buriram United as the most significant mispricing. While the market trades it at a 20.5% implied probability, our AI calculates a Fair Value of 24.6% — an Expected Value gap of +4.1%, making it the premium value play in this pool.

Is the market consensus overreacting to any specific outcome?

Yes — our data suggests a notable overreaction around Kashima Antlers. The crowd has pushed its live Trade Value up to 57.5%, yet our Fair Value assessment puts its real likelihood at just 53%, a negative EV Gap of -4.5% that signals the contract is overpriced.

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