Beijing Guoan vs. FC Pohang Steelers - More Markets

$127.5K Vol
Sep 15, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
FC Pohang Steelers 57.5%
Beijing Guoan 42.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Beijing Guoan vs. FC Pohang Steelers - More Markets”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Both Teams to Score is dominating the market with an overwhelming 100% chance of winning. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $127.5K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Both Teams to Score (100%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Both Teams to Score is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 100¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $11.1K in volume.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Both Teams to Score100.0%$11.1K100¢

Result Rules

More markets for the AFC Champions League Elite game, scheduled for September 15 at 8:15 AM ET.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Most Overvalued Outcome Both Teams to Score currently trades at 100%, but our AI places its Fair Value at just 55.4%. This creates a large negative EV Gap of -44.5%, suggesting the crowd may be overhyping this outcome and driving the premium too high.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
Both Teams to Score100.0%55.4%-44.5%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 15, 2026

  • 10:41 AM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $76.18

    Bought 89.623526 Under for Beijing Guoan vs. FC Pohang Steelers: O/U 4.5 at 0.85

  • 10:39 AM
    0X0xf0C1936ddbEBF206ddAE13509B76DB47086A853B-1789331868543
    $0.01

    Bought 0.03 Over for Beijing Guoan vs. FC Pohang Steelers: Beijing Guoan O/U 2.5 at 0.27

  • 10:39 AM
    FLFlaznorp
    $1.50

    Bought 5.555556 Over for Beijing Guoan vs. FC Pohang Steelers: Beijing Guoan O/U 2.5 at 0.27

  • 10:27 AM
    ANAntiVaxxer
    $3.75

    Bought 5 Under for Beijing Guoan vs. FC Pohang Steelers: Beijing Guoan O/U 2.5 at 0.75

  • 10:25 AM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $1.42

    Bought 2.581817 Over for Beijing Guoan vs. FC Pohang Steelers: O/U 2.5 at 0.55

  • 10:20 AM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $7.80

    Bought 14.181817 Over for Beijing Guoan vs. FC Pohang Steelers: O/U 2.5 at 0.55

  • 10:13 AM
    JUjustadataguy
    $8.11

    Bought 8.63 Beijing Guoan for Spread: FC Pohang Steelers (-1.5) at 0.94

  • 10:00 AM
    0X0x509e2ba1E2fd7C21d27Bf36E9f7040025C803095-1781194326407
    $1.00

    Bought 4.761905 Yes for Beijing Guoan vs. FC Pohang Steelers: Both Teams to Score in First Half at 0.21

  • 10:00 AM
    0X0x509e2ba1E2fd7C21d27Bf36E9f7040025C803095-1781194326407
    $1.00

    Bought 4.761905 Yes for Beijing Guoan vs. FC Pohang Steelers: Both Teams to Score in First Half at 0.21

  • 09:59 AM
    0X0x509e2ba1E2fd7C21d27Bf36E9f7040025C803095-1781194326407
    $2.00

    Bought 14.285715 Over for Beijing Guoan vs. FC Pohang Steelers: 1st Half O/U 2.5 at 0.14

  • 09:59 AM
    DUdushenlaile
    $5.00

    Bought 5.26314 Over for Beijing Guoan vs. FC Pohang Steelers: O/U 0.5 at 0.95

  • 09:58 AM
    ALallallby
    $1.00

    Bought 3.448276 Under for Beijing Guoan vs. FC Pohang Steelers: 1st Half O/U 0.5 at 0.29

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

GO1
GoalLineGhost
Event PnL
-$3,816.07
Volume
$25,917.67
Positions
OverBeijing GuoanOver+6
FL2
Flaznorp
Event PnL
+$4,540.58
Volume
$23,200.25
Positions
FC Pohang SteelersUnderUnder+17
RI3
ricou98
Event PnL
-$3,037.25
Volume
$5,200.00
Positions
FC Pohang Steelers
XI4
xiaoxue6731
Event PnL
+$2.46
Volume
$4,911.64
Positions
UnderYesYes+1
9E5
0x9e3e…9396
Event PnL
-$105.51
Volume
$3,648.52
Positions
OverOverYes+7
996
0x99F0…6382
Event PnL
-$365.84
Volume
$3,559.93
Positions
NoFC Pohang SteelersUnder+3
EM7
Emethod
Event PnL
+$1.78
Volume
$3,555.66
Positions
OverYesUnder+1
098
0x0997…6166
Event PnL
+$1.58
Volume
$3,157.40
Positions
UnderFC Pohang Steelers

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Beijing Guoan vs. FC Pohang Steelers - More Markets"?

As of the latest update, Both Teams to Score leads the field as the frontrunner with a 100% win probability. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $127.5K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Is the market consensus overreacting to any specific outcome?

Yes — our data suggests a notable overreaction around Both Teams to Score. The crowd has pushed its live Trade Value up to 100%, yet our Fair Value assessment puts its real likelihood at just 55.4%, a negative EV Gap of -44.5% that signals the contract is overpriced.

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