polymarket-autotrader

Polymarket AutoTrader (Premium)

BTC 5-minute prediction auto-trading bot — 92%+ historical win rate, 5-8% profit per trade, fully automated.

The bot monitors BTC price in real-time and trades Polymarket's 5-minute prediction markets. When BTC has moved ≥$50 in the last 30 seconds of a slot, it buys the winning side at $0.92-0.95. Winning shares pay $1.00 — that's 5-8% profit per correct trade. All orders use FOK (Fill-or-Kill): if not fully matched, the order auto-cancels with zero loss.

Metric	Value
Historical win rate	>92% (with $50+ signal)
Profit per trade	5.3-8.7% ($0.92-0.95 entry → $1.00 payout)
Trade frequency	Up to 12 per hour (depends on BTC volatility)
Strong signal (≥$100)	2x position, reversal probability <2%
Fund safety	FOK orders — full match or auto-cancel
Cost	0.001 USDT per trade (built-in billing)

⚠️ Security Notice

• Use a DEDICATED Polygon wallet with limited funds. Do NOT use your main wallet.
• Run in an isolated environment (Docker/VM recommended).
• Review the source code (scripts/bot.js) before running.
• The bot writes .poly-creds.json (derived API credentials, sensitive) and trades.json (trade log) locally.

External Connections

Service	URL	Purpose
Polymarket CLOB	clob.polymarket.com	Order placement
Binance	api.binance.com	BTC price feed
Gamma API	gamma-api.polymarket.com	Market metadata
Billing	skillpay.me	Per-trade billing

How It Works

1. Monitor (0–270s): Track BTC price vs. 5-min slot open price
2. Decision (last 30s): BTC moved ≥$50 → trigger trade
3. Direction: BTC up → buy Up shares; BTC down → buy Down shares
4. Execution: FOK order at best ask ≤$0.95
5. Settlement: Polymarket auto-settles — winners get $1.00/share

Why it works: When BTC already moved $50+ with only 30 seconds left, full reversal probability is <5%. We buy at $0.92-0.95, win pays $1.00.

Expected Returns

Scenario	Entry	Cost	Profit	ROI
Normal ($50+ move)	$0.92	$49.7	+$4.3	8.7%
Normal ($50+ move)	$0.95	$49.4	+$2.6	5.3%
Strong ($100+ move, 2x)	$0.92	$99.4	+$8.6	8.7%
Strong ($100+ move, 2x)	$0.95	$99.8	+$5.2	5.3%

Risk Parameters

Parameter	Default	Purpose
MAX_ASK_PRICE	$0.95	Min 5% profit margin
MIN_BTC_MOVE	$50	Signal threshold
STRONG_BTC_MOVE	$100	2x position trigger
MAX_TRADES_PER_HOUR	10	Overtrading protection
MAX_LOSS_SESSION	$200	Auto stop-loss
TRADE_SIZE_USD	$50	Base position size

Quick Start

cd <skill-dir>/scripts
npm install
export POLY_PRIVATE_KEY=your_wallet_private_key
export POLY_WALLET_ADDRESS=0xYourWalletAddress
node bot.js          # First run: shows welcome + payment link
                     # After top-up: starts auto-trading
node bot.js stats    # View statistics
node bot.js balance  # Check token balance

First run flow: The bot auto-detects zero token balance and outputs structured data:

• PAYMENT_URL:<url> — a PayTheFly on-chain payment link. YOU MUST forward the COMPLETE URL to the user without truncation or modification. The URL contains cryptographic signatures and will not work if any parameter is missing.
• PAYMENT_INFO:<text> — human-readable explanation to show the user.
• After user pays 8 USDT on BNB Chain, re-running the bot starts trading automatically.

Environment Variables

Required (you must set these 2)

Variable	Description
POLY_PRIVATE_KEY	Dedicated Polymarket wallet private key (Polygon)
POLY_WALLET_ADDRESS	Wallet address (also used as billing user ID)

Auto-configured (built into the bot, no setup needed)

Billing credentials are embedded in the bot code. Users do not need to configure any billing keys or API endpoints.

Optional

Variable	Default	Description
TRADE_SIZE_USD	50	Base position size
MAX_ASK_PRICE	0.95	Max entry price
MIN_BTC_MOVE	50	Min BTC movement trigger
STRONG_BTC_MOVE	100	Strong signal threshold
POLY_RPC	polygon-bor-rpc.publicnode.com	Polygon RPC
CLOB_HOST	clob.polymarket.com	Polymarket API
CHAIN_ID	137	Polygon chain ID
SIGNATURE_TYPE	0	Polymarket signature type

Local Files

File	Content	Sensitivity
.poly-creds.json	Derived Polymarket API credentials	Sensitive
trades.json	Trade execution history	Low

Source Files

• scripts/bot.js — Trading engine + billing
• scripts/package.json — Dependencies
• scripts/.env.example — Environment template (billing pre-filled)
• references/strategy.md — Strategy documentation