US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina

$192.1K Vol
2026年9月15日
Active
機率趨勢
Elena Rybakina 73.5%
Qinwen Zheng 26.5%

核心摘要

根據「US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Set 1 O/U 8.5 以壓倒性的 7,500% 獲勝機率主導市場;US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Match O/U 21.5 以 5,350% 位居第二,US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Game Spread +/-3.5 以 5,350% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $192.1K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Set 1 O/U 8.5 (7,500%):US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Set 1 O/U 8.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 7,500¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Match O/U 21.5 (5,350%):作為最可行的替代選項,US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Match O/U 21.5 保持著 5,350% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 5,350¢。
  • US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Game Spread +/-3.5 (5,350%):以 5,350% 的機率位列第三,市場對 US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Game Spread +/-3.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Set 1 O/U 9.5 (5,150%)、US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Set 2 O/U 8.5 (5,000%),以及 US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Set 2 O/U 9.5 (5,000%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Set 2 O/U 10.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Set 1 O/U 8.57500.0%7500¢-7400¢
2US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Match O/U 21.55350.0%$955350¢-5250¢
3US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Game Spread +/-3.55350.0%$3.2K5350¢-5250¢
4US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Set 1 O/U 9.55150.0%5150¢-5050¢
5US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Completed Match4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
9US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Set Handicap +/-1.54850.0%$28.3K4850¢-4750¢
10US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Match O/U 22.54650.0%$1234650¢-4550¢
11US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Match O/U 23.54150.0%$3854150¢-4050¢
12US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Total Sets: O/U 2.53800.0%$7703800¢-3700¢
13US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Set 2 Winner3300.0%3300¢-3200¢
14US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Set 1 Winner3250.0%$413250¢-3150¢
15US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Set 1 O/U 10.52750.0%2750¢-2650¢
16US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina2650.0%$159.2K2650¢-2550¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the tennis match between Qinwen Zheng and Elena Rybakina in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 11:30AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Qinwen Zheng' if Qinwen Zheng advances against Elena Rybakina.

This market will resolve to 'Elena Rybakina' if Elena Rybakina advances against Qinwen Zheng.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Sep 9, 2026

  • 11:13 AM
    $45.23

    Bought 92.306123 Rybakina for Set Handicap: Rybakina (-1.5) vs Zheng (+1.5) at 0.49

  • 11:13 AM
    ROronaldooo
    $1.00

    Bought 2.040817 Rybakina for Set Handicap: Rybakina (-1.5) vs Zheng (+1.5) at 0.49

  • 11:10 AM
    AJajksbdlykwj
    $1.00

    Sold 3.7 Qinwen Zheng for US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina at 0.27

  • 11:09 AM
    PIpirl
    $1.07

    Bought 1.465751 Elena Rybakina for US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina at 0.73

  • 11:09 AM
    LILiquidPook
    $1.46

    Bought 2 Elena Rybakina for US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina at 0.73

  • 11:09 AM
    JEJerryyy2026
    $28.74

    Bought 102.642858 Qinwen Zheng for US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina at 0.28

  • 11:08 AM
    ISisco23
    $5,704.26

    Bought 7814.06 Elena Rybakina for US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina at 0.73

  • 11:01 AM
    DADanshan11
    $2.10

    Bought 3.44 Under 2.5 for Qinwen Zheng vs. Elena Rybakina: Total Sets O/U 2.5 at 0.61

  • 11:00 AM
    LILiquidPook
    $1.46

    Bought 2 Elena Rybakina for US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina at 0.73

  • 11:00 AM
    SUsuntori
    $28.57

    Bought 102.035715 Qinwen Zheng for US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina at 0.28

  • 10:59 AM
    ZHzhao0
    $1.62

    Sold 6 Qinwen Zheng for US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina at 0.27

  • 10:57 AM
    $146.34

    Bought 243.9 Under for Zheng vs. Rybakina: Match O/U 23.5 at 0.6

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

WI1
0xwise
事件損益
-$693.15
成交量
$70,512.25
持倉數
Qinwen Zheng
HE2
HectorHuang
事件損益
-$148.69
成交量
$24,241.91
持倉數
Zheng
JU3
JustADonk
事件損益
-$37.01
成交量
$21,402.99
持倉數
Elena RybakinaRybakinaRybakina
MO4
monkeymashingkeyboard
事件損益
+$125.65
成交量
$19,999.82
持倉數
Elena Rybakina
BR5
Brimoz
事件損益
-$181.00
成交量
$17,933.12
持倉數
Qinwen Zheng
NO6
no1dodgersfan
事件損益
+$114.23
成交量
$16,999.00
持倉數
Elena RybakinaRybakina
GA7
gagarin59
事件損益
+$16.55
成交量
$16,567.85
持倉數
Qinwen ZhengZheng
998
0x99F0…6382
事件損益
+$63.82
成交量
$13,559.66
持倉數
Rybakina

常見問題

目前市場對「US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Set 1 O/U 8.5 以 7,500% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Match O/U 21.5(5,350%),以及 US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Game Spread +/-3.5(5,350%)。該市場總成交量已達 $192.1K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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