China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elise Mertens

$690.6K Vol
2026年10月17日
Active
機率趨勢
Qinwen Zheng 58.5%
Elise Mertens 41.5%

核心摘要

根據「China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elise Mertens」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elise Mertens 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場;Completed Match 以 9,995% 位居第二,China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elise Mertens Set 2 Winner 以 9,995% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $690.6K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elise Mertens (9,995%):China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elise Mertens 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $675.4K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Completed Match (9,995%):作為最可行的替代選項,Completed Match 保持著 9,995% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,995¢。
  • China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elise Mertens Set 2 Winner (9,995%):以 9,995% 的機率位列第三,市場對 China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elise Mertens Set 2 Winner 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elise Mertens Game Spread +/-1.5 (9,995%)、China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elise Mertens Set Handicap +/-1.5 (9,950%),以及 China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elise Mertens Match O/U 23.5 (50%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elise Mertens Set 2 O/U 9.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elise Mertens9995.0%$675.4K9995¢-9895¢
2Completed Match9995.0%$1109995¢-9895¢
3China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elise Mertens Set 2 Winner9995.0%$3.4K9995¢-9895¢
4China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elise Mertens Game Spread +/-1.59995.0%$4.5K9995¢-9895¢
5China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elise Mertens Set Handicap +/-1.59950.0%$8189950¢-9850¢
6China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elise Mertens Match O/U 23.550.0%$450¢50¢
7China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elise Mertens Set 2 O/U 9.545.0%—45¢55¢
8China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elise Mertens Set 2 O/U 10.545.0%—45¢55¢
9China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elise Mertens Total Sets: O/U 2.55.0%$2585¢95¢
10China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elise Mertens Set 2 O/U 8.55.0%—5¢95¢
11China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elise Mertens Match O/U 21.55.0%$7535¢95¢
12China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elise Mertens Match O/U 22.55.0%$2355¢95¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the tennis match between Qinwen Zheng and Elise Mertens in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 7:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Qinwen Zheng' if Qinwen Zheng advances against Elise Mertens.

This market will resolve to 'Elise Mertens' if Elise Mertens advances against Qinwen Zheng.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Oct 10, 2026

  • 01:37 AM
    SUsuntori
    $54.28

    Bought 95.23 Qinwen Zheng for China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elise Mertens at 0.57

  • 01:15 AM
    0X0x62017Eb6f53F36ee542446316aFDF76e12Ed622c-1776130203489
    $100.00

    Bought 175.438597 Qinwen Zheng for China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elise Mertens at 0.57

  • 01:10 AM
    ENEndeverafter
    $100.00

    Bought 175.438597 Qinwen Zheng for China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elise Mertens at 0.57

  • 12:50 AM
    NEneutralwave23
    $86.45

    Bought 151.666667 Qinwen Zheng for China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elise Mertens at 0.57

  • 12:47 AM
    FOFokJiazhi
    $5.70

    Bought 10 Qinwen Zheng for China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elise Mertens at 0.57

  • 12:45 AM
    ANAndy.Zhu
    $35.00

    Bought 61.403509 Qinwen Zheng for China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elise Mertens at 0.57

  • 12:33 AM
    LAlai80
    $1.00

    Bought 1.754386 Qinwen Zheng for China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elise Mertens at 0.57

  • 12:25 AM
    0X0x4149b3064c7fD2C42B887bb51CfC65e4C599Ba5D-1780336784600
    $3.00

    Bought 5.263158 Qinwen Zheng for China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elise Mertens at 0.57

Oct 9, 2026

  • 11:49 PM
    NANamikErcan
    $5.00

    Bought 11.904762 Over 2.5 for Qinwen Zheng vs. Elise Mertens: Total Sets O/U 2.5 at 0.42

  • 11:38 PM
    MOmoominpapa
    $100.00

    Bought 175.438597 Qinwen Zheng for China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elise Mertens at 0.57

  • 11:28 PM
    0X0x036a8f363900E5fD9850038252Da14445ddE14Ac-1779841665745
    $2.00

    Bought 4.545455 Elise Mertens for China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elise Mertens at 0.44

  • 10:53 PM
    JUjucatorul
    $9.83

    Bought 17.24 Qinwen Zheng for China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elise Mertens at 0.57

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

9B1
0x9b11…5375
事件損益
-$50.82
成交量
$10,831.19
持倉數
Elise Mertens
JA2
jaijiajaijai
事件損益
+$40.41
成交量
$8,079.99
持倉數
Qinwen Zheng
DI3
Dingwin
事件損益
+$26.19
成交量
$5,235.50
持倉數
Qinwen Zheng
NI4
nigiri99
事件損益
-$15.84
成交量
$3,169.00
持倉數
Elise Mertens
GC5
GC-P
事件損益
+$5.85
成交量
$1,169.42
持倉數
Qinwen Zheng
PO6
Po1yamory
事件損益
+$1.96
成交量
$763.15
持倉數
Elise MertensUnder
T17
t1winslol
事件損益
-$3.69
成交量
$737.93
持倉數
Qinwen Zheng
JA8
Jarod21
事件損益
-$3.57
成交量
$714.15
持倉數
Elise Mertens

常見問題

目前市場對「China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elise Mertens」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elise Mertens 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Completed Match(9,995%),以及 China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elise Mertens Set 2 Winner(9,995%)。該市場總成交量已達 $690.6K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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