China Open: Mayar Sherif vs Polina Kudermetova

$99.9K Vol
2026年10月7日
Active
機率趨勢
Polina Kudermetova 50.5%
Mayar Sherif 49.5%

核心摘要

根據「China Open: Mayar Sherif vs Polina Kudermetova」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,China Open: Mayar Sherif vs Polina Kudermetova Set 1 O/U 8.5 以壓倒性的 5,050% 獲勝機率主導市場;Completed Match 以 5,000% 位居第二,China Open: Mayar Sherif vs Polina Kudermetova Set 1 O/U 9.5 以 5,000% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $99.9K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • China Open: Mayar Sherif vs Polina Kudermetova Set 1 O/U 8.5 (5,050%):China Open: Mayar Sherif vs Polina Kudermetova Set 1 O/U 8.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 5,050¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $833 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Completed Match (5,000%):作為最可行的替代選項,Completed Match 保持著 5,000% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 5,000¢。
  • China Open: Mayar Sherif vs Polina Kudermetova Set 1 O/U 9.5 (5,000%):以 5,000% 的機率位列第三,市場對 China Open: Mayar Sherif vs Polina Kudermetova Set 1 O/U 9.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 China Open: Mayar Sherif vs Polina Kudermetova Set 1 O/U 10.5 (5,000%)、China Open: Mayar Sherif vs Polina Kudermetova Set 2 O/U 8.5 (5,000%),以及 China Open: Mayar Sherif vs Polina Kudermetova Set 2 O/U 9.5 (5,000%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 China Open: Mayar Sherif vs Polina Kudermetova Set 2 O/U 10.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1China Open: Mayar Sherif vs Polina Kudermetova Set 1 O/U 8.55050.0%$8335050¢-4950¢
2Completed Match5000.0%$2505000¢-4900¢
3China Open: Mayar Sherif vs Polina Kudermetova Set 1 O/U 9.55000.0%$465000¢-4900¢
4China Open: Mayar Sherif vs Polina Kudermetova Set 1 O/U 10.55000.0%$1125000¢-4900¢
5China Open: Mayar Sherif vs Polina Kudermetova Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
6China Open: Mayar Sherif vs Polina Kudermetova Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%$505000¢-4900¢
7China Open: Mayar Sherif vs Polina Kudermetova Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8China Open: Mayar Sherif vs Polina Kudermetova4950.0%$71.4K4950¢-4850¢
9China Open: Mayar Sherif vs Polina Kudermetova Set 1 Winner4950.0%$2.6K4950¢-4850¢
10China Open: Mayar Sherif vs Polina Kudermetova Set 2 Winner4950.0%$1324950¢-4850¢
11China Open: Mayar Sherif vs Polina Kudermetova Total Sets: O/U 2.54950.0%$3.1K4950¢-4850¢
12China Open: Mayar Sherif vs Polina Kudermetova Match O/U 21.54950.0%$6.2K4950¢-4850¢
13China Open: Mayar Sherif vs Polina Kudermetova Match O/U 22.54950.0%$3984950¢-4850¢
14China Open: Mayar Sherif vs Polina Kudermetova Match O/U 23.54950.0%$4904950¢-4850¢
15China Open: Mayar Sherif vs Polina Kudermetova Set Handicap +/-1.54950.0%$4.4K4950¢-4850¢
16China Open: Mayar Sherif vs Polina Kudermetova Set Handicap +/-1.54950.0%$4.4K4950¢-4850¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the tennis match between Mayar Sherif and Polina Kudermetova in the China Open, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 11:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Mayar Sherif' if Mayar Sherif advances against Polina Kudermetova.

This market will resolve to 'Polina Kudermetova' if Polina Kudermetova advances against Mayar Sherif.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Sep 29, 2026

  • 11:46 PM
    MIMikiMuster
    $1.15

    Bought 2.67 Polina Kudermetova for Set Handicap: Polina Kudermetova (-1.5) vs Mayar Sherif (+1.5) at 0.43

  • 11:46 PM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 2.325582 Polina Kudermetova for Set Handicap: Polina Kudermetova (-1.5) vs Mayar Sherif (+1.5) at 0.43

  • 11:28 PM
    VEVeryLucky888
    $6.71

    Sold 19.16 Mayar Sherif for China Open: Mayar Sherif vs Polina Kudermetova at 0.35

  • 11:14 PM
    MIMikiMuster
    $0.14

    Bought 0.27 Under for Sherif vs. Kudermetova: Match O/U 21.5 at 0.53

  • 11:14 PM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 1.886793 Under for Sherif vs. Kudermetova: Match O/U 21.5 at 0.53

  • 10:36 PM
    HAHaramhustle
    $136.00

    Bought 377.777778 Mayar Sherif for China Open: Mayar Sherif vs Polina Kudermetova at 0.36

  • 10:30 PM
    PGpgktrio2
    $3.99

    Bought 11.083334 Mayar Sherif for China Open: Mayar Sherif vs Polina Kudermetova at 0.36

  • 10:24 PM
    FOForsenboy
    $3.00

    Bought 4.615385 Polina Kudermetova for China Open: Mayar Sherif vs Polina Kudermetova at 0.65

  • 10:07 PM
    ELelwen
    $1.00

    Bought 2.777778 Mayar Sherif for China Open: Mayar Sherif vs Polina Kudermetova at 0.36

  • 09:40 PM
    CACaboUSB
    $10.00

    Bought 15.384614 Polina Kudermetova for China Open: Mayar Sherif vs Polina Kudermetova at 0.65

  • 09:08 PM
    LAlarame
    $3.42

    Bought 9.5 Mayar Sherif for China Open: Mayar Sherif vs Polina Kudermetova at 0.36

  • 09:06 PM
    FEferrariChampions2026
    $5,492.32

    Bought 8581.75 Polina Kudermetova for China Open: Mayar Sherif vs Polina Kudermetova at 0.64

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

BC1
0xBc43…7816
事件損益
-$430.79
成交量
$9,736.98
持倉數
Mayar Sherif
FE2
ferrariChampions2026
事件損益
+$214.54
成交量
$8,581.75
持倉數
Polina Kudermetova
DV3
dv-pm
事件損益
+$188.81
成交量
$7,552.50
持倉數
Polina Kudermetova
324
0x32b4…3653
事件損益
-$23.75
成交量
$4,750.42
持倉數
Mayar Sherif
NO5
no1dodgersfan
事件損益
+$1.14
成交量
$3,066.38
持倉數
Mayar Sherif
TI6
tinashi1199zz
事件損益
+$13.82
成交量
$2,705.39
持倉數
Polina Kudermetova
KN7
KnightDasCapital
事件損益
+$67.50
成交量
$1,500.00
持倉數
Polina Kudermetova
GC8
GC-P
事件損益
-$4.31
成交量
$861.90
持倉數
Mayar Sherif

常見問題

目前市場對「China Open: Mayar Sherif vs Polina Kudermetova」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,China Open: Mayar Sherif vs Polina Kudermetova Set 1 O/U 8.5 以 5,050% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Completed Match(5,000%),以及 China Open: Mayar Sherif vs Polina Kudermetova Set 1 O/U 9.5(5,000%)。該市場總成交量已達 $99.9K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

免費開始