US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina

$127.5K Vol
2026年9月20日
Active
機率趨勢
Aryna Sabalenka 57.5%
Elena Rybakina 42.5%

核心摘要

根據「US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina Set 1 O/U 8.5 以壓倒性的 6,650% 獲勝機率主導市場;US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina Match O/U 21.5 以 6,350% 位居第二,US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina 以 5,750% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $127.5K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina Set 1 O/U 8.5 (6,650%):US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina Set 1 O/U 8.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 6,650¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina Match O/U 21.5 (6,350%):作為最可行的替代選項,US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina Match O/U 21.5 保持著 6,350% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 6,350¢。
  • US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina (5,750%):以 5,750% 的機率位列第三,市場對 US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina Set 1 O/U 9.5 (5,600%)、US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina Set 2 O/U 10.5 (5,600%),以及 US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina Set 1 Winner (5,500%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina Set 2 Winner 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina Set 1 O/U 8.56650.0%6650¢-6550¢
2US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina Match O/U 21.56350.0%$246350¢-6250¢
3US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina5750.0%$120.9K5750¢-5650¢
4US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina Set 1 O/U 9.55600.0%5600¢-5500¢
5US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina Set 2 O/U 10.55600.0%5600¢-5500¢
6US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina Set 1 Winner5500.0%$1145500¢-5400¢
7US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina Set 2 Winner5450.0%5450¢-5350¢
8US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina Match O/U 22.55350.0%$1415350¢-5250¢
9Completed Match5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina Set 2 O/U 9.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
11US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina Match O/U 23.54850.0%$2384850¢-4750¢
12US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina Game Spread +/-1.54850.0%$2194850¢-4750¢
13US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina Total Sets: O/U 2.54500.0%$6.3K4500¢-4400¢
14US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina Set 2 O/U 8.54500.0%4500¢-4400¢
15US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina Set 1 O/U 10.53950.0%3950¢-3850¢
16US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina Set Handicap +/-1.53350.0%$2663350¢-3250¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the tennis match between Aryna Sabalenka and Elena Rybakina in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 4:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Aryna Sabalenka' if Aryna Sabalenka advances against Elena Rybakina.

This market will resolve to 'Elena Rybakina' if Elena Rybakina advances against Aryna Sabalenka.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Sep 12, 2026

  • 12:17 AM
    NInigiri99
    $85.56

    Bought 186 Over 2.5 for Aryna Sabalenka vs. Elena Rybakina: Total Sets O/U 2.5 at 0.46

Sep 11, 2026

  • 11:53 PM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $1.90

    Bought 4.318182 Elena Rybakina for US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina at 0.44

  • 11:47 PM
    ACACmw
    $2.00

    Bought 3.508772 Aryna Sabalenka for US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina at 0.57

  • 11:37 PM
    0X0x877B0330367ac5e3BBEE052F7E67388e9f06FA0B-1772307356398
    $172.87

    Bought 392.886364 Elena Rybakina for US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina at 0.44

  • 11:12 PM
    NEneutralwave23
    $92.85

    Bought 162.894737 Aryna Sabalenka for US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina at 0.57

  • 11:00 PM
    NInigiri99
    $3.68

    Bought 8 Over 2.5 for Aryna Sabalenka vs. Elena Rybakina: Total Sets O/U 2.5 at 0.46

  • 10:49 PM
    LELeila33
    $4.84

    Bought 11 Elena Rybakina for US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina at 0.44

  • 10:35 PM
    $117.97

    Bought 206.964913 Aryna Sabalenka for US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina at 0.57

  • 10:32 PM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 2.272728 Elena Rybakina for US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina at 0.44

  • 10:32 PM
    MAmarigliano
    $5.00

    Bought 11.363637 Elena Rybakina for US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina at 0.44

  • 10:32 PM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 2.272728 Elena Rybakina for US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina at 0.44

  • 10:31 PM
    $10,761.97

    Bought 19217.8 Aryna Sabalenka for US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina at 0.56

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

HE1
HectorHuang
事件損益
-$343.66
成交量
$82,880.39
持倉數
Aryna Sabalenka
9F2
0x9f15…bdb3
事件損益
+$169.33
成交量
$33,865.62
持倉數
Elena Rybakina
D13
0xd104…710b
事件損益
+$96.30
成交量
$20,953.62
持倉數
Aryna Sabalenka
DJ4
Djnjk
事件損益
-$239.70
成交量
$15,986.78
持倉數
Elena Rybakina
FB5
0xfB07…2542
事件損益
+$50.00
成交量
$10,000.00
持倉數
Elena Rybakina
JU6
juju789123
事件損益
-$32.18
成交量
$6,436.00
持倉數
Elena Rybakina
RO7
roldy
事件損益
+$30.00
成交量
$6,000.00
持倉數
Elena Rybakina
BE8
BejingOlympics
事件損益
+$20.75
成交量
$5,934.32
持倉數
Elena RybakinaUnder 2.5

常見問題

目前市場對「US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina Set 1 O/U 8.5 以 6,650% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina Match O/U 21.5(6,350%),以及 US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina(5,750%)。該市場總成交量已達 $127.5K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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