
Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang
核心摘要
根據「Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang Set 1 O/U 8.5 以壓倒性的 9,950% 獲勝機率主導市場;Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang Set 1 O/U 9.5 以 9,950% 位居第二,Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang Match O/U 21.5 以 6,600% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $325.4K,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang Set 1 O/U 8.5 (9,950%):Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang Set 1 O/U 8.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,950¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang Set 1 O/U 9.5 (9,950%):作為最可行的替代選項,Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang Set 1 O/U 9.5 保持著 9,950% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,950¢。
- Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang Match O/U 21.5 (6,600%):以 6,600% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang Match O/U 21.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)
在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:
- 替代選項:包括 Completed Match (5,400%)、Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang Match O/U 22.5 (5,400%),以及 Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang Set 1 O/U 10.5 (5,000%)。
- 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang Set 2 O/U 8.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 9950.0% | — | 9950¢ | -9850¢ |
| 2 | Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 9950.0% | — | 9950¢ | -9850¢ |
| 3 | Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang Match O/U 21.5 | 6600.0% | $3.5K | 6600¢ | -6500¢ |
| 4 | Completed Match | 5400.0% | $225 | 5400¢ | -5300¢ |
| 5 | Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang Match O/U 22.5 | 5400.0% | — | 5400¢ | -5300¢ |
| 6 | Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 7 | Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 8 | Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 10 | Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang Game Spread +/-3.5 | 5000.0% | $5.7K | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang Match O/U 23.5 | 4850.0% | — | 4850¢ | -4750¢ |
| 12 | Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 4450.0% | $2.7K | 4450¢ | -4350¢ |
| 13 | Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang Set 1 Winner | 4400.0% | $454 | 4400¢ | -4300¢ |
| 14 | Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 4100.0% | $426 | 4100¢ | -4000¢ |
| 15 | Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang Set 2 Winner | 3250.0% | — | 3250¢ | -3150¢ |
| 16 | Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang | 2950.0% | $312.4K | 2950¢ | -2850¢ |
裁決規則
This market refers to the tennis match between Mia Pohankova and Xiyu Wang in the Wuhan Tennis Open, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 8:30AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Mia Pohankova' if Mia Pohankova advances against Xiyu Wang.
This market will resolve to 'Xiyu Wang' if Xiyu Wang advances against Mia Pohankova.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易動態
以下是該事件的交易動態。
Oct 13, 2026
- 01:15 PMDOdonna91-313$107.86
Bought 110.0612 Yes for Wuhan Tennis Open: Completed Match: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang at 0.98
- 01:15 PMCHChungChung1$12.30
Sold 30 Mia Pohankova for Set 1 Winner: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang at 0.41
- 01:13 PMIMimbadatdis9$6.00
Bought 10.909091 Xiyu Wang for Set 1 Winner: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang at 0.55
- 01:12 PMWTwtylyjwyz$57.25
Bought 114.49 Mia Pohankova for Set 1 Winner: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang at 0.5
- 01:10 PMCHchaeri$2.68
Bought 7.67 Xiyu Wang for Set 1 Winner: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang at 0.35
- 01:09 PMBTBTUFCT$10.00
Bought 17.857143 Xiyu Wang for Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang at 0.56
- 01:09 PMBTBTUFCT$17.64
Sold 39.21 Mia Pohankova for Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang at 0.45
- 01:09 PMMAmatthsf$3.00
Sold 5.55 Xiyu Wang for Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang at 0.54
- 01:09 PMJTjtwyslljy$1,312.81
Bought 2431.13 Xiyu Wang for Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang at 0.54
- 01:09 PMMAmatthsf$10.00
Sold 18.86 Xiyu Wang for Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang at 0.53
- 01:08 PMIVIvolama$99.00
Bought 186.792453 Xiyu Wang for Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang at 0.53
- 01:08 PM0X0xd863B5bfAe9eeBc41F7B88cF0E400a44573bB7e2-1791140741154$4.46
Bought 8.415095 Xiyu Wang for Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang at 0.53
正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包
常見問題
目前市場對「Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang Set 1 O/U 8.5 以 9,950% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang Set 1 O/U 9.5(9,950%),以及 Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu Wang Match O/U 21.5(6,600%)。該市場總成交量已達 $325.4K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
