
China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova
核心摘要
根據「China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場;Completed Match 以 9,995% 位居第二,China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova Game Spread +/-4.5 以 5% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $628K,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova (9,995%):China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $621.9K 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- Completed Match (9,995%):作為最可行的替代選項,Completed Match 保持著 9,995% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,995¢。
- China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova Game Spread +/-4.5 (5%):以 5% 的機率位列第三,市場對 China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova Game Spread +/-4.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova | 9995.0% | $621.9K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 2 | Completed Match | 9995.0% | $484 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 3 | China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova Game Spread +/-4.5 | 5.0% | $1.3K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
裁決規則
This market refers to the tennis match between Karolina Muchova and Liudmila Samsonova in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 11:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Karolina Muchova' if Karolina Muchova advances against Liudmila Samsonova.
This market will resolve to 'Liudmila Samsonova' if Liudmila Samsonova advances against Karolina Muchova.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易動態
以下是該事件的交易動態。
Oct 4, 2026
- 12:02 PMALAlert-Halving$36.40
Bought 46.666663 Karolina Muchova for China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova at 0.78
- 11:55 AMRAratte$4.88
Bought 6.25 Karolina Muchova for China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova at 0.78
- 11:53 AMFEfewios$60.00
Bought 76.923077 Karolina Muchova for China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova at 0.78
- 11:41 AMSNsnooze$2.25
Bought 5 Liudmila Samsonova for Set Handicap: Karolina Muchova (-1.5) vs Liudmila Samsonova (+1.5) at 0.45
- 11:04 AMALAlice-In-Wonder-Land$20.00
Bought 25.641022 Karolina Muchova for China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova at 0.78
- 10:56 AM——$1.00
Bought 1.28205 Karolina Muchova for China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova at 0.78
- 10:49 AM1B1bertojosp$4.00
Bought 5.128204 Karolina Muchova for China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova at 0.78
- 10:48 AMLAlai80$1.00
Bought 1.28205 Karolina Muchova for China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova at 0.78
- 10:46 AMGRgrepxd3$11.00
Bought 50 Liudmila Samsonova for China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova at 0.22
- 10:35 AM——$4.00
Bought 17.391305 Liudmila Samsonova for China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova at 0.23
- 10:32 AM——$4.00
Bought 17.391305 Liudmila Samsonova for China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova at 0.23
- 10:32 AMALAlvurdi$40.00
Bought 50.632909 Karolina Muchova for China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova at 0.79
正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包
常見問題
目前市場對「China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Completed Match(9,995%),以及 China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova Game Spread +/-4.5(5%)。該市場總成交量已達 $628K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
