
China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka
核心摘要
根據「China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場;Completed Match 以 9,995% 位居第二,China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka Set 1 O/U 8.5 以 9,995% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $311.3K,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka (9,995%):China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $658.5K 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- Completed Match (9,995%):作為最可行的替代選項,Completed Match 保持著 9,995% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,995¢。
- China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka Set 1 O/U 8.5 (9,995%):以 9,995% 的機率位列第三,市場對 China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka Set 1 O/U 8.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka | 9995.0% | $658.5K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 2 | Completed Match | 9995.0% | $1.1K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 3 | China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 9995.0% | $19 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
裁決規則
This market refers to the tennis match between Karolina Muchova and Naomi Osaka in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 11:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Karolina Muchova' if Karolina Muchova advances against Naomi Osaka.
This market will resolve to 'Naomi Osaka' if Naomi Osaka advances against Karolina Muchova.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易動態
以下是該事件的交易動態。
Oct 6, 2026
- 12:42 AMNInigiri99$93.21
Bought 239 Over 2.5 for Karolina Muchova vs. Naomi Osaka: Total Sets O/U 2.5 at 0.39
- 12:31 AM0X0x2346E91FEaDaa96f1eA5505d4A6a0AEd78e3793c-1767698481321$2.16
Bought 5.023256 Naomi Osaka for China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka at 0.43
- 12:19 AMCOcongmqian-gendan$3.00
Bought 5.454546 Over for Muchova vs. Osaka: Match O/U 21.5 at 0.55
- 12:19 AMSUsuperlarry$55.00
Bought 100 Over for Muchova vs. Osaka: Match O/U 21.5 at 0.55
- 12:09 AM——$5.00
Bought 7.8125 Naomi Osaka for Set Handicap: Karolina Muchova (-1.5) vs Naomi Osaka (+1.5) at 0.64
Oct 5, 2026
- 11:51 PMSCscherahmeda$20.00
Bought 46.511628 Naomi Osaka for China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka at 0.43
- 11:47 PMJAJAMJAMJAM4$4,515.00
Bought 10500 Naomi Osaka for China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka at 0.43
- 11:44 PM——$3.00
Bought 6.976745 Naomi Osaka for China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka at 0.43
- 11:24 PM0X0x4149b3064c7fD2C42B887bb51CfC65e4C599Ba5D-1780336784600$5.00
Bought 11.627907 Naomi Osaka for China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka at 0.43
- 11:24 PMPApaisa$1.00
Bought 1.5625 Naomi Osaka for Set Handicap: Karolina Muchova (-1.5) vs Naomi Osaka (+1.5) at 0.64
- 11:17 PMHAhardtrance9$40.00
Bought 93.023256 Naomi Osaka for China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka at 0.43
- 10:28 PMMEMelon91$100.00
Bought 232.55814 Naomi Osaka for China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka at 0.43
正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包
常見問題
目前市場對「China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Completed Match(9,995%),以及 China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka Set 1 O/U 8.5(9,995%)。該市場總成交量已達 $311.3K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
