
Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova
核心摘要
根據「Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova Total Sets: O/U 2.5 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場;Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova Match O/U 21.5 以 9,950% 位居第二,Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova Match O/U 22.5 以 9,850% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $407.4K,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (9,995%):Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova Total Sets: O/U 2.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $72 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova Match O/U 21.5 (9,950%):作為最可行的替代選項,Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova Match O/U 21.5 保持著 9,950% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,950¢。
- Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova Match O/U 22.5 (9,850%):以 9,850% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova Match O/U 22.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)
在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:
- 替代選項:包括 Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova Match O/U 23.5 (9,850%)、Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova (7,850%),以及 Completed Match (5,000%)。
- 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova Game Spread +/-4.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 9995.0% | $72 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 2 | Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova Match O/U 21.5 | 9950.0% | $123 | 9950¢ | -9850¢ |
| 3 | Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova Match O/U 22.5 | 9850.0% | $49 | 9850¢ | -9750¢ |
| 4 | Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova Match O/U 23.5 | 9850.0% | $5 | 9850¢ | -9750¢ |
| 5 | Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova | 7850.0% | $355.2K | 7850¢ | -7750¢ |
| 6 | Completed Match | 5000.0% | $3.4K | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 7 | Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova Game Spread +/-4.5 | 45.0% | $18.8K | 45¢ | 55¢ |
| 8 | Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova Set 2 Winner | 5.0% | $119 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 9 | Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 10 | Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 11 | Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 12 | Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 5.0% | $24.5K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
裁決規則
This market refers to the tennis match between Marta Kostyuk and Liudmila Samsonova in the Guadalajara Open Akron, originally scheduled for September 17, 2026 at 12:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Marta Kostyuk' if Marta Kostyuk advances against Liudmila Samsonova.
This market will resolve to 'Liudmila Samsonova' if Liudmila Samsonova advances against Marta Kostyuk.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易動態
以下是該事件的交易動態。
Sep 17, 2026
- 11:35 PMDRDrbogus$29.67
Bought 41.788731 Marta Kostyuk for Set 1 Winner: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova at 0.71
- 11:32 PMRAramatzo$1.00
Bought 4.545455 Liudmila Samsonova for Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova at 0.22
- 11:31 PMRAramatzo$1.00
Bought 4.545455 Liudmila Samsonova for Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova at 0.22
- 11:30 PM——$10.00
Bought 12.658228 Marta Kostyuk for Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova at 0.79
- 11:26 PM——$50.00
Bought 63.291138 Marta Kostyuk for Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova at 0.79
- 11:23 PMSPspiced$14.13
Bought 18.12 Marta Kostyuk for Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova at 0.78
- 11:22 PMPApaisa$1.00
Bought 1.28205 Marta Kostyuk for Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova at 0.78
- 11:18 PMREReskay$60.30
Bought 118.235295 Under for Kostyuk vs. Samsonova: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 at 0.51
- 11:18 PMMAManiaxj$151.96
Bought 194.820513 Marta Kostyuk for Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova at 0.78
- 11:17 PM0X0x4132070d75f124A5F2A4d13Ec0A4497DeE6BA5a5-1723503232987$500.00
Bought 2173.913044 Liudmila Samsonova for Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova at 0.23
- 11:16 PMELElpadrino99946$38.72
Bought 168.347827 Liudmila Samsonova for Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova at 0.23
- 11:15 PMKEken5$200.00
Bought 256.410254 Marta Kostyuk for Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova at 0.78
正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包
常見問題
目前市場對「Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova Total Sets: O/U 2.5 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova Match O/U 21.5(9,950%),以及 Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova Match O/U 22.5(9,850%)。該市場總成交量已達 $407.4K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
