China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai

$431.6K Vol
2026年10月6日
Active
機率趨勢
Zhuoxuan Bai 53.1%
Jiaqi Wang 46.9%

核心摘要

根據「China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai Set Handicap +/-1.5 以壓倒性的 5,545% 獲勝機率主導市場;China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai Set 1 O/U 8.5 以 5,150% 位居第二,China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai Set 1 O/U 10.5 以 5,150% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $431.6K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai Set Handicap +/-1.5 (5,545%):China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai Set Handicap +/-1.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 5,545¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $176 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai Set 1 O/U 8.5 (5,150%):作為最可行的替代選項,China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai Set 1 O/U 8.5 保持著 5,150% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 5,150¢。
  • China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai Set 1 O/U 10.5 (5,150%):以 5,150% 的機率位列第三,市場對 China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai Set 1 O/U 10.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai Match O/U 23.5 (5,135%)、China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai Match O/U 22.5 (5,050%),以及 China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai Set Handicap +/-1.5 (5,050%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai Set 1 Winner 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai Set Handicap +/-1.55545.0%$1765545¢-5445¢
2China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai Set 1 O/U 8.55150.0%$705150¢-5050¢
3China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai Set 1 O/U 10.55150.0%$655150¢-5050¢
4China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai Match O/U 23.55135.0%$105135¢-5035¢
5China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai Match O/U 22.55050.0%$1415050¢-4950¢
6China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai Set Handicap +/-1.55050.0%$1765050¢-4950¢
7China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai Set 1 Winner5000.0%$1885000¢-4900¢
8China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai Set 1 O/U 9.55000.0%$655000¢-4900¢
9China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai Match O/U 21.55000.0%$215000¢-4900¢
13China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai4850.0%$426.1K4850¢-4750¢
14China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai Set 2 Winner4235.0%$184235¢-4135¢
15China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai Total Sets: O/U 2.53015.0%$1.0K3015¢-2915¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the tennis match between Jiaqi Wang and Zhuoxuan Bai in the China Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 11:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Jiaqi Wang' if Jiaqi Wang advances against Zhuoxuan Bai.

This market will resolve to 'Zhuoxuan Bai' if Zhuoxuan Bai advances against Jiaqi Wang.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Sep 28, 2026

  • 11:59 PM
    HOhoanhlee
    $5.00

    Bought 6.33 Zhuoxuan Bai for China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai at 0.79

  • 11:58 PM
    ——
    $7.80

    Sold 10 Zhuoxuan Bai for China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai at 0.78

  • 10:58 PM
    LOlovefield
    $20.80

    Bought 520 No for China Open, Qualification: Completed Match: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai at 0.04

  • 09:58 PM
    ANAndreyIonov
    $7.98

    Bought 10.1 Zhuoxuan Bai for China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai at 0.79

  • 09:35 PM
    ——
    $3.00

    Bought 5 Zhuoxuan Bai for Set Handicap: Zhuoxuan Bai (-1.5) vs Jiaqi Wang (+1.5) at 0.6

  • 09:30 PM
    STStupidGamble
    $3.95

    Bought 5 Zhuoxuan Bai for China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai at 0.79

  • 09:25 PM
    RERedLightFtw
    $3.95

    Bought 5 Zhuoxuan Bai for China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai at 0.79

  • 09:25 PM
    0X0x241ADda58eD48866f0dEeC7867731dD84c5BA9C8-1763470351516
    $140.40

    Bought 668.58 Jiaqi Wang for China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai at 0.21

  • 09:24 PM
    0X0x241ADda58eD48866f0dEeC7867731dD84c5BA9C8-1763470351516
    $126.00

    Bought 600 Jiaqi Wang for China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai at 0.21

  • 09:09 PM
    ——
    $1.00

    Bought 1.25 Zhuoxuan Bai for China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai at 0.8

  • 09:01 PM
    ——
    $93.82

    Bought 117.275 Zhuoxuan Bai for China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai at 0.8

  • 09:01 PM
    ——
    $18.69

    Bought 30.639343 Zhuoxuan Bai for Set Handicap: Zhuoxuan Bai (-1.5) vs Jiaqi Wang (+1.5) at 0.61

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

241
0x241A…1516
事件損益
+$16.85
成交量
$93,957.00
持倉數
Jiaqi Wang
FL2
Flaznorp
事件損益
-$24,085.80
成交量
$59,136.61
持倉數
Zhuoxuan Bai
HM3
HMLSF
事件損益
-$12,502.05
成交量
$53,652.86
持倉數
Zhuoxuan Bai
LO4
lovefield
事件損益
+$220.68
成交量
$41,594.98
持倉數
Jiaqi WangNo
EZ5
ezMerge
事件損益
-$15,269.12
成交量
$34,629.17
持倉數
Zhuoxuan Bai
MR6
MrClaude11
事件損益
+$12,522.02
成交量
$33,718.53
持倉數
Jiaqi Wang
HO7
HomeRunHazard
事件損益
-$9,928.82
成交量
$26,403.18
持倉數
Zhuoxuan Bai
RN8
RN1
事件損益
-$8,976.48
成交量
$15,346.15
持倉數
Zhuoxuan Bai

常見問題

目前市場對「China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai Set Handicap +/-1.5 以 5,545% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai Set 1 O/U 8.5(5,150%),以及 China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai Set 1 O/U 10.5(5,150%)。該市場總成交量已達 $431.6K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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