China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng

$244.5K Vol
2026年10月12日
Active
機率趨勢
Qinwen Zheng 83.5%
Marie Bouzkova 16.5%

核心摘要

根據「China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng Set 1 O/U 9.5 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場;China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng Set 1 O/U 10.5 以 9,995% 位居第二,Completed Match 以 9,950% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $244.5K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng Set 1 O/U 9.5 (9,995%):China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng Set 1 O/U 9.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng Set 1 O/U 10.5 (9,995%):作為最可行的替代選項,China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng Set 1 O/U 10.5 保持著 9,995% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,995¢。
  • Completed Match (9,950%):以 9,950% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Completed Match 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng Match O/U 22.5 (7,850%)、China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (5,950%),以及 China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng Set 2 Winner (5,900%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng Set 2 O/U 8.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng Set 1 O/U 9.59995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
2China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng Set 1 O/U 10.59995.0%$489995¢-9895¢
3Completed Match9950.0%$9.4K9950¢-9850¢
4China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng Match O/U 22.57850.0%$2.4K7850¢-7750¢
5China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng Total Sets: O/U 2.55950.0%$2495950¢-5850¢
6China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng Set 2 Winner5900.0%—5900¢-5800¢
7China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng Match O/U 21.55000.0%$825000¢-4900¢
11China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng Game Spread +/-1.55000.0%$3945000¢-4900¢
12China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng Match O/U 23.54350.0%—4350¢-4250¢
13China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng Set Handicap +/-1.53950.0%$4543950¢-3850¢
14China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng2750.0%$257.9K2750¢-2650¢
15China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng Set 1 Winner5.0%$3.3K5¢95¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the tennis match between Marie Bouzkova and Qinwen Zheng in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 11:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Marie Bouzkova' if Marie Bouzkova advances against Qinwen Zheng.

This market will resolve to 'Qinwen Zheng' if Qinwen Zheng advances against Marie Bouzkova.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Oct 5, 2026

  • 12:22 AM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $16.57

    Bought 28.57 Qinwen Zheng for China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng at 0.58

  • 12:17 AM
    0X0x31E1E9FcB4250D2d062A34C93f233945577D1e09-1771820169022
    $1.00

    Bought 1.538462 Marie Bouzkova for Set Handicap: Qinwen Zheng (-1.5) vs Marie Bouzkova (+1.5) at 0.65

  • 12:07 AM
    0X0x43839B041C8dA4De0f3ed8D1238714c4F8b2DBDD-1777627840708
    $5.00

    Bought 9.25926 Over for Bouzkova vs. Zheng: Match O/U 21.5 at 0.54

  • 12:03 AM
    00000brokie000
    $220.00

    Bought 379.310345 Qinwen Zheng for China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng at 0.58

Oct 4, 2026

  • 11:53 PM
    EPepistemic
    $58.00

    Bought 100 Qinwen Zheng for China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng at 0.58

  • 11:51 PM
    ——
    $16.43

    Sold 36.5 Over for Bouzkova vs. Zheng: Match O/U 22.5 at 0.45

  • 11:37 PM
    SWSweatypalms447
    $0.55

    Sold 1.32 Marie Bouzkova for China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng at 0.42

  • 11:37 PM
    SWSweatypalms447
    $1.00

    Bought 2.325582 Marie Bouzkova for China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng at 0.43

  • 11:02 PM
    GRGreenCrow
    $29.00

    Bought 50 Qinwen Zheng for China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng at 0.58

  • 10:29 PM
    NEneutralwave23
    $13.95

    Bought 24.051723 Qinwen Zheng for China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng at 0.58

  • 10:24 PM
    TITimPenis
    $1.05

    Bought 1.810345 Qinwen Zheng for China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng at 0.58

  • 09:57 PM
    ——
    $3.00

    Bought 5.172414 Qinwen Zheng for China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng at 0.58

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

CO1
CORGI777
事件損益
-$82.74
成交量
$16,555.00
持倉數
Marie Bouzkova
322
0x32b4…3653
事件損益
+$19.81
成交量
$3,961.63
持倉數
Qinwen Zheng
VE3
VeryLucky888
事件損益
+$16.04
成交量
$3,059.17
持倉數
Qinwen ZhengOverUnder 2.5
MO4
monkeymashingkeyboard
事件損益
+$12.49
成交量
$2,497.80
持倉數
Qinwen Zheng
RO5
roldy
事件損益
+$10.00
成交量
$2,000.00
持倉數
Qinwen Zheng
KN6
KnightDasCapital
事件損益
+$7.50
成交量
$1,500.00
持倉數
Qinwen Zheng
OM7
omnibus-076daa
事件損益
+$8.49
成交量
$1,426.00
持倉數
Qinwen Zheng
NM8
NM-P
事件損益
+$7.68
成交量
$1,204.96
持倉數
Qinwen Zheng

常見問題

目前市場對「China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng Set 1 O/U 9.5 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng Set 1 O/U 10.5(9,995%),以及 Completed Match(9,950%)。該市場總成交量已達 $244.5K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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