Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings

$295.7K Vol
2026年9月19日
Active
機率趨勢
Dallas Wings 100.0%
Phoenix Mercury 0.1%

核心摘要

根據「Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Paige Bueckers: Rebounds O/U 4.5 以壓倒性的 5,000% 獲勝機率主導市場;Arike Ogunbowale: Rebounds O/U 2.5 以 5,000% 位居第二,Paige Bueckers: Assists O/U 5.5 以 5,000% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $295.7K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Paige Bueckers: Rebounds O/U 4.5 (5,000%):Paige Bueckers: Rebounds O/U 4.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 5,000¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Arike Ogunbowale: Rebounds O/U 2.5 (5,000%):作為最可行的替代選項,Arike Ogunbowale: Rebounds O/U 2.5 保持著 5,000% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 5,000¢。
  • Paige Bueckers: Assists O/U 5.5 (5,000%):以 5,000% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Paige Bueckers: Assists O/U 5.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Jessica Shepard: Assists O/U 5.5 (5,000%)、Maddy Siegrist: Points O/U 8.5 (5,000%),以及 Maddy Siegrist: Rebounds O/U 3.5 (5,000%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Alyssa Thomas: Points O/U 15.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Paige Bueckers: Rebounds O/U 4.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
2Arike Ogunbowale: Rebounds O/U 2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
3Paige Bueckers: Assists O/U 5.55000.0%$615000¢-4900¢
4Jessica Shepard: Assists O/U 5.55000.0%$2955000¢-4900¢
5Maddy Siegrist: Points O/U 8.55000.0%$55000¢-4900¢
6Maddy Siegrist: Rebounds O/U 3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Alyssa Thomas: Points O/U 15.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Alyssa Thomas: Rebounds O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Alyssa Thomas: Assists O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Kahleah Copper: Assists O/U 1.55000.0%$7905000¢-4900¢
11Alyssa Thomas: Rebounds O/U 7.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Maddy Siegrist: Points O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Alyssa Thomas: Assists O/U 7.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢

裁決規則

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for September 19 at 1:00PM ET:

If the Phoenix Mercury win, the market will resolve to "Phoenix Mercury".

If the Dallas Wings win, the market will resolve to "Dallas Wings".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Sep 19, 2026

  • 11:16 AM
    NInigiri99
    $24.30

    Bought 54 Phoenix Mercury for Spread: Dallas Wings (-8.5) at 0.45

  • 11:06 AM
    B5B572285
    $1.00

    Bought 2.040817 Over for Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 172.5 at 0.49

  • 11:03 AM
    $9.82

    Bought 21.822223 Phoenix Mercury for Spread: Dallas Wings (-8.5) at 0.45

  • 11:00 AM
    VIvincetrades
    $1.90

    Bought 5 Yes for Kahleah Copper: Assists O/U 1.5 at 0.38

  • 10:39 AM
    NInigiri99
    $19.80

    Bought 44 Phoenix Mercury for Spread: Dallas Wings (-8.5) at 0.45

  • 10:37 AM
    MAmamei1212
    $99.12

    Bought 177 Dallas Wings for Spread: Dallas Wings (-8.5) at 0.56

  • 10:12 AM
    0X0x658Bdb79940a73Eb7fff4e2ed74C1E2acd65Ad0f-1780232524735
    $28.00

    Bought 53.846154 Under for Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 172.5 at 0.52

  • 10:10 AM
    NInigiri99
    $20.70

    Bought 46 Phoenix Mercury for Spread: Dallas Wings (-8.5) at 0.45

  • 09:37 AM
    0X0x0ae8c6326712755e0484d64f55f95BB474500514-1789208359891
    $9.90

    Bought 26.056411 Yes for Kahleah Copper: Assists O/U 1.5 at 0.38

  • 09:24 AM
    $147.91

    Bought 328.688889 Phoenix Mercury for Spread: Dallas Wings (-8.5) at 0.45

  • 09:24 AM
    $9.82

    Bought 21.822223 Phoenix Mercury for Spread: Dallas Wings (-8.5) at 0.45

  • 09:10 AM
    0X0x17f779AB942Ae8D9370d31C2FceD4893557D4F7C-1783902498686
    $87.07

    Bought 217.675 Yes for Kahleah Copper: Assists O/U 1.5 at 0.4

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

NI1
nigiri99
事件損益
+$231.19
成交量
$21,930.00
持倉數
Dallas WingsOverUnder+3
652
6512395314597884
事件損益
-$158.37
成交量
$9,763.39
持倉數
Phoenix Mercury
HO3
HomeRunHazard
事件損益
+$27.93
成交量
$8,076.48
持倉數
OverPhoenix MercuryUnder+4
HE4
0xheavy888
事件損益
-$2.70
成交量
$7,100.01
持倉數
UnderDallas WingsOver
FA5
facai86868
事件損益
+$0.00
成交量
$5,999.81
持倉數
Under
VE6
VeryLucky888
事件損益
+$9.38
成交量
$2,032.63
持倉數
Phoenix MercuryPhoenix MercuryNo
HI7
hi774c
事件損益
-$26.47
成交量
$1,764.41
持倉數
Phoenix Mercury
SN8
SnakeBall
事件損益
-$22.04
成交量
$1,469.00
持倉數
Phoenix Mercury

常見問題

目前市場對「Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Paige Bueckers: Rebounds O/U 4.5 以 5,000% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Arike Ogunbowale: Rebounds O/U 2.5(5,000%),以及 Paige Bueckers: Assists O/U 5.5(5,000%)。該市場總成交量已達 $295.7K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

免費開始