Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?

根據「Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?」的最新預測市場資料，交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前，December 31 以壓倒性的 9,695% 獲勝機率主導市場；September 30 以 9,465% 位居第二。該市場的下注量已達 $401.7K，反映出市場的高度關注。

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置，可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊：

🥇 第一梯隊：絕對領跑者

• December 31 (9,695%)：December 31 目前擁有最高機率，深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,695¢，顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $91.1K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊：主要挑戰者

• September 30 (9,465%)：作為最可行的替代選項，September 30 保持著 9,465% 的成真機率，其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,465¢。

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu visits New York City between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

A “visit” refers to Netanyahu physically entering any of the five boroughs of New York City: Manhattan, Brooklyn, Queens, the Bronx, or Staten Island.

Entering New York City’s territorial waters will not qualify. Merely transiting through New York City airspace will not qualify.

Landing at any airport within New York City will qualify only if Netanyahu leaves the airport.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.