Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by...?

$164.5K Vol
2026年10月1日
Active
機率趨勢
September 30? 3.5%
August 30? 0.1%
August 9? 0.1%

核心摘要

根據「Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by...?」的最新預測市場資料，交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前，No 以壓倒性的 9,665% 獲勝機率主導市場；Yes 以 335% 位居第二。該市場的下注量已達 $164.5K，反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置，可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊：

🥇 第一梯隊：絕對領跑者

  • No (9,665%)：No 目前擁有最高機率，深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,665¢，顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊：主要挑戰者

  • Yes (335%)：作為最可行的替代選項，Yes 保持著 335% 的成真機率，其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 335¢。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解：

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes（成本）買入 No（成本）
1No9665.0%—9665¢-9565¢
2Yes335.0%—335¢-235¢

裁決規則

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Max Miller withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 OH-07 Congressional election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 OH-07 Congressional campaign, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Max Miller or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Sep 1, 2026

  • 08:32 AM
    TETechSavvy26746
    $7.01

    Bought 7.223935 No for Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by September 30? at 0.97

  • 07:57 AM
    WHWhimsicalWanderer9485
    $3.20

    Bought 3.302354 No for Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by September 30? at 0.97

  • 05:18 AM
    OLOlivia444
    $4.00

    Bought 4.1237 No for Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by September 30? at 0.97

  • 03:51 AM
    GEGeorge.H
    $3.34

    Bought 3.443266 No for Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by September 30? at 0.97

Aug 31, 2026

  • 09:35 PM
    INintelligence98
    $19.42

    Bought 20.015833 No for Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by September 30? at 0.97

  • 01:11 PM
    DRDr.PNL
    $5.05

    Sold 5.37 No for Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by September 30? at 0.94

  • 12:00 PM
    HOhomaki
    $0.60

    Sold 20 Yes for Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by September 30? at 0.03

Aug 29, 2026

  • 05:54 AM
    AUAureusVault
    $45.70

    Sold 48.11 No for Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by September 30? at 0.95

Aug 27, 2026

  • 07:55 PM
    POpo-ly28-test-user6
    $0.99

    Sold 24.87 Yes for Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by September 30? at 0.04

Aug 26, 2026

  • 01:34 AM
    ——
    $12.02

    Bought 12.516466 No for Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by September 30? at 0.96

Aug 24, 2026

  • 06:51 PM
    V2v2LCcPrd1x8Q
    $5.39

    Bought 5.67368 No for Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by September 30? at 0.95

Aug 22, 2026

  • 05:23 AM
    OXox7eD3aed17a79c2A3375Da27a9470b310585027AA
    $5.88

    Sold 6.32 No for Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by September 30? at 0.93

常見問題

目前市場對「Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by...?」的共識是什麼？

截至最新更新，No 以 9,665% 的獲勝機率領跑，其次是 Yes（335%）。該市場總成交量已達 $164.5K，顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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