
Who will Uroš Medić fight next?
核心摘要
根據「Who will Uroš Medić fight next?」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,Mike Malott 以壓倒性的 3,815% 獲勝機率主導市場;Joaquin Buckley 以 1,655% 位居第二,Michael Venom Page 以 335% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $8.6K,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- Mike Malott (3,815%):Mike Malott 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 3,815¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $2.0K 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- Joaquin Buckley (1,655%):作為最可行的替代選項,Joaquin Buckley 保持著 1,655% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 1,655¢。
- Michael Venom Page (335%):以 335% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Michael Venom Page 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mike Malott | 3815.0% | $2.0K | 3815¢ | -3715¢ |
| 2 | Joaquin Buckley | 1655.0% | $6.4K | 1655¢ | -1555¢ |
| 3 | Michael Venom Page | 335.0% | $227 | 335¢ | -235¢ |
裁決規則
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Uroš Medić is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Uroš Medić is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Medić is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by August 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
常見問題
目前市場對「Who will Uroš Medić fight next?」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,Mike Malott 以 3,815% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Joaquin Buckley(1,655%),以及 Michael Venom Page(335%)。該市場總成交量已達 $8.6K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
