Valorant: T1 vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT Champions Group A

$899K Vol
2026年10月2日
Active
機率趨勢
T1 80.5%
JD Gaming 19.5%

核心摘要

根據「Valorant: T1 vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT Champions Group A」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 以壓倒性的 7,750% 獲勝機率主導市場;Match Winner 以 7,000% 位居第二,Map 2 Winner 以 6,900% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $899K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 (7,750%):Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 7,750¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $2 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Match Winner (7,000%):作為最可行的替代選項,Match Winner 保持著 7,000% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 7,000¢。
  • Map 2 Winner (6,900%):以 6,900% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Map 2 Winner 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 O/U 2.5 Games (5,150%)、Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 (5,000%),以及 Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (5,000%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.57750.0%$27750¢-7650¢
2Match Winner7000.0%$528.0K7000¢-6900¢
3Map 2 Winner6900.0%$1.4K6900¢-6800¢
4O/U 2.5 Games5150.0%$1.5K5150¢-5050¢
5Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.55000.0%$185000¢-4900¢
6Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.55000.0%$245000¢-4900¢
9Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.55000.0%$55000¢-4900¢
12Map 3 Rounds Handicap: T1 (-4.5) vs JD Gaming (+4.5)5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Map 3 Rounds Handicap: T1 (-3.5) vs JD Gaming (+3.5)5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.55000.0%$105000¢-4900¢
18Map 1 Rounds Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs JD Gaming (+2.5)5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
19Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
20Map 1 Winner4650.0%$192.4K4650¢-4550¢
21Map Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)3050.0%$267.3K3050¢-2950¢
22Map 2 Rounds Handicap: T1 (-3.5) vs JD Gaming (+3.5)2950.0%—2950¢-2850¢
23Map 2 Rounds Handicap: T1 (-4.5) vs JD Gaming (+4.5)2500.0%$7362500¢-2400¢
24Map 1 Rounds Handicap: T1 (-3.5) vs JD Gaming (+3.5)2250.0%—2250¢-2150¢
25Map 1 Rounds Handicap: T1 (-5.5) vs JD Gaming (+5.5)2250.0%—2250¢-2150¢
26Map 1 Rounds Handicap: T1 (-4.5) vs JD Gaming (+4.5)2200.0%$4.9K2200¢-2100¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the Valorant Elimination match between T1 and JD Gaming in the VCT Champions Group A, initially scheduled for October 2, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win the match against JD Gaming.

This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win the match against T1.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 16, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 2, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Oct 2, 2026

  • 11:15 AM
    YIyikello
    $5.00

    Bought 8.064515 T1 for Valorant: T1 vs JD Gaming - Map 1 Winner at 0.62

  • 11:15 AM
    0X0xF9dbE0a5Bc624810069eF1D19ded657B11851F05-1760405275310
    $198.64

    Bought 496.604762 JD Gaming for Valorant: T1 vs JD Gaming - Map 1 Winner at 0.4

  • 11:14 AM
    YUyusen21
    $3.00

    Bought 7.894737 JD Gaming for Valorant: T1 vs JD Gaming - Map 1 Winner at 0.38

  • 11:14 AM
    0X0x5e7EAF1647Fa9db1E43ce1CDE2c183A486312cb6-1790262226934
    $33.30

    Bought 90 JD Gaming for Valorant: T1 vs JD Gaming - Map 1 Winner at 0.37

  • 11:14 AM
    MImindbend
    $2.06

    Bought 6.24 JD Gaming for Valorant: T1 vs JD Gaming - Map 1 Winner at 0.33

  • 11:14 AM
    JOjoshjosh
    $30.94

    Bought 93.757576 JD Gaming for Valorant: T1 vs JD Gaming - Map 1 Winner at 0.33

  • 11:14 AM
    BEBettingPartners4
    $120.05

    Bought 333.45919 JD Gaming for Valorant: T1 vs JD Gaming - Map 1 Winner at 0.36

  • 11:14 AM
    0X0x8F8793088dF893D5Cae27F520d43282f8F092b4D-1779010038488
    $199.99

    Bought 294.108696 T1 for Valorant: T1 vs JD Gaming - Map 1 Winner at 0.68

  • 11:14 AM
    ODodin1
    $100.73

    Bought 145.978261 T1 for Valorant: T1 vs JD Gaming - Map 1 Winner at 0.69

  • 11:14 AM
    SUsuntori
    $95.79

    Bought 138.82116 T1 for Valorant: T1 vs JD Gaming - Map 1 Winner at 0.69

  • 11:14 AM
    FEfell0w
    $9.60

    Bought 28.228572 JD Gaming for Valorant: T1 vs JD Gaming - Map 1 Winner at 0.34

  • 11:14 AM
    FUFuguetaLDS
    $20.00

    Bought 57.142858 JD Gaming for Valorant: T1 vs JD Gaming - Map 1 Winner at 0.35

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

IT1
itzlebrian
事件損益
+$15.85
成交量
$5,999.99
持倉數
T1
GR2
gregbeast
事件損益
-$64.99
成交量
$4,999.99
持倉數
JD Gaming
DA3
darkumbreon88
事件損益
+$19.12
成交量
$4,969.29
持倉數
T1T1
JO4
JokerBot
事件損益
+$2.42
成交量
$4,668.63
持倉數
JD GamingJD GamingJD Gaming
JA5
jaytee158
事件損益
+$8.63
成交量
$1,726.03
持倉數
T1
MA6
MathPsycho
事件損益
+$8.03
成交量
$1,572.37
持倉數
T1
PH7
phika
事件損益
-$7.00
成交量
$1,399.99
持倉數
JD Gaming
PR8
pranaoesquecerdemim
事件損益
-$1.67
成交量
$1,286.89
持倉數
JD GamingJD Gaming

常見問題

目前市場對「Valorant: T1 vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT Champions Group A」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 以 7,750% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Match Winner(7,000%),以及 Map 2 Winner(6,900%)。該市場總成交量已達 $899K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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