Valorant: NRG vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs

$117.8K Vol
2026年10月10日
Active
機率趨勢
NRG 57.5%
LOUD 42.5%

核心摘要

根據「Valorant: NRG vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 以壓倒性的 6,100% 獲勝機率主導市場;Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 以 6,050% 位居第二,Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 以 6,050% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $117.8K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 (6,100%):Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 6,100¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 (6,050%):作為最可行的替代選項,Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 保持著 6,050% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 6,050¢。
  • Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 (6,050%):以 6,050% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Match Winner (5,750%)、Map 2 Winner (5,550%),以及 Map 1 Winner (5,450%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.56100.0%—6100¢-6000¢
2Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.56050.0%$206050¢-5950¢
3Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.56050.0%—6050¢-5950¢
4Match Winner5750.0%$111.0K5750¢-5650¢
5Map 2 Winner5550.0%$405550¢-5450¢
6Map 1 Winner5450.0%$4.2K5450¢-5350¢
7Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8O/U 2.5 Games4950.0%$1.2K4950¢-4850¢
9Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
10Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
11Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs LOUD (+2.5)4250.0%—4250¢-4150¢
12Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs LOUD (+2.5)4200.0%—4200¢-4100¢
13Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs LOUD (+2.5)4150.0%—4150¢-4050¢
14Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.54050.0%—4050¢-3950¢
15Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.53800.0%—3800¢-3700¢
16Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.53800.0%—3800¢-3700¢
17Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)2950.0%$1.3K2950¢-2850¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the Valorant Upper Bracket Semifinal 2 match between NRG and LOUD in the VCT Champions Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "NRG" if NRG win the match against LOUD.

This market will resolve to "LOUD" if LOUD win the match against NRG.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 24, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 10, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Oct 10, 2026

  • 01:19 AM
    0X0x62017Eb6f53F36ee542446316aFDF76e12Ed622c-1776130203489
    $60.00

    Bought 103.448276 NRG for Valorant: NRG vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs at 0.58

  • 01:18 AM
    LYlysergic
    $1.00

    Bought 1.724138 NRG for Valorant: NRG vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs at 0.58

  • 01:18 AM
    LUlucyintheskywithdiamonds
    $20.00

    Bought 34.482759 NRG for Valorant: NRG vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs at 0.58

  • 01:15 AM
    0X0x8E183374e4e60603CB3A572652A63432E402775B-1783309093360
    $1.76

    Bought 4 LOUD for Valorant: NRG vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs at 0.44

  • 01:13 AM
    0X0x8E183374e4e60603CB3A572652A63432E402775B-1783309093360
    $4.00

    Bought 9.09091 LOUD for Valorant: NRG vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs at 0.44

  • 01:08 AM
    0X0x8cb9c
    $2.00

    Bought 4.545455 LOUD for Valorant: NRG vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs at 0.44

  • 01:06 AM
    KEkeviiinye
    $5.00

    Bought 8.62069 NRG for Valorant: NRG vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs at 0.58

  • 12:44 AM
    FAfakefriend00
    $20.00

    Bought 45.454546 LOUD for Valorant: NRG vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs at 0.44

  • 12:42 AM
    KUKuban94
    $48.60

    Bought 85.258621 NRG for Valorant: NRG vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs at 0.57

  • 12:42 AM
    0X0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0
    $1.00

    Bought 1.724138 NRG for Valorant: NRG vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs at 0.58

  • 12:42 AM
    MAmanoamano
    $49.17

    Bought 84.775861 NRG for Valorant: NRG vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs at 0.58

  • 12:42 AM
    MBmbmbbbmbv
    $4,425.72

    Bought 10292.377955 LOUD for Valorant: NRG vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs at 0.43

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

QI1
qiu3
事件損益
+$72.16
成交量
$17,118.75
持倉數
LOUD
WI2
Wiretransferxyz
事件損益
+$77.06
成交量
$15,353.50
持倉數
NRG
9E3
0x9e3e…9396
事件損益
-$116.88
成交量
$10,463.01
持倉數
LOUDLOUDNRG+1
MB4
mbmbbbmbv
事件損益
+$24.19
成交量
$10,292.38
持倉數
LOUD
IM5
imaninsidercheatingthesystem
事件損益
-$146.54
成交量
$9,770.03
持倉數
NRG
GR6
gregbeast
事件損益
-$115.00
成交量
$7,000.00
持倉數
LOUD
WE7
weekies
事件損益
-$35.00
成交量
$7,000.00
持倉數
NRG
ES8
eschaworldchampion2026
事件損益
+$83.73
成交量
$5,581.83
持倉數
LOUD

常見問題

目前市場對「Valorant: NRG vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 以 6,100% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5(6,050%),以及 Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5(6,050%)。該市場總成交量已達 $117.8K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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