Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs

$893.3K Vol
2026年10月11日
Active
機率趨勢
100 Thieves 100.0%
NRG 0.1%

核心摘要

根據「Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-8.5) vs NRG (+8.5) 以壓倒性的 9,050% 獲勝機率主導市場;Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5 以 9,050% 位居第二,Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-9.5) vs NRG (+9.5) 以 950% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $893.3K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-8.5) vs NRG (+8.5) (9,050%):Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-8.5) vs NRG (+8.5) 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,050¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5 (9,050%):作為最可行的替代選項,Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5 保持著 9,050% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,050¢。
  • Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-9.5) vs NRG (+9.5) (950%):以 950% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-9.5) vs NRG (+9.5) 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-8.5) vs NRG (+8.5)9050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.59050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
3Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-9.5) vs NRG (+9.5)950.0%—950¢-850¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the Valorant Lower Bracket Quarterfinal 1 match between 100 Thieves and NRG in the VCT Champions Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "100 Thieves" if 100 Thieves win the match against NRG.

This market will resolve to "NRG" if NRG win the match against 100 Thieves.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 25, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 11, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Oct 11, 2026

  • 01:51 AM
    KUkuipinsima
    $2.99

    Bought 5.436364 100 Thieves for Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG - Map 1 Winner at 0.55

  • 01:51 AM
    KUkuipinsima
    $780.56

    Bought 1419.206072 100 Thieves for Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG - Map 1 Winner at 0.55

  • 01:44 AM
    ——
    $9.66

    Bought 18.941177 Over for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.51

  • 01:38 AM
    0X0xFd1df6a11eB52B2B1a1b6131E7a7D604291e6F23-1782245241652
    $50.00

    Bought 89.285715 100 Thieves for Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs at 0.56

  • 01:23 AM
    ——
    $4.96

    Bought 7.630768 Over for Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 at 0.65

  • 01:18 AM
    MImirabu
    $1.00

    Bought 2.222223 NRG for Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs at 0.45

  • 01:18 AM
    0X0x09dAc7226f8df37eBFAF277252Ce6EABEE6250BC-1769969406994
    $3.08

    Bought 6.844445 NRG for Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs at 0.45

  • 01:18 AM
    SUsuntori
    $98.09

    Bought 175.160715 100 Thieves for Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs at 0.56

  • 12:48 AM
    0X0x09dAc7226f8df37eBFAF277252Ce6EABEE6250BC-1769969406994
    $2.51

    Bought 5.577778 NRG for Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs at 0.45

  • 12:48 AM
    HUhumbwrld
    $80.00

    Bought 142.857143 100 Thieves for Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs at 0.56

  • 12:44 AM
    0X0x4e40ca97cA34cCaAa5DCbf3C4f8A9c46ea56dba8-1769619687026
    $5.00

    Bought 11.111112 NRG for Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs at 0.45

  • 12:43 AM
    0X0x09dAc7226f8df37eBFAF277252Ce6EABEE6250BC-1769969406994
    $3.14

    Bought 6.977778 NRG for Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs at 0.45

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

FO1
fortnitethegoat667
事件損益
+$98.19
成交量
$19,617.40
持倉數
100 Thieves100 Thieves
QI2
qiu3
事件損益
+$229.63
成交量
$15,289.59
持倉數
100 Thieves
MB3
mbmbbbmbv
事件損益
-$5.96
成交量
$11,022.92
持倉數
100 Thieves
ME4
MeiGuNiuBi
事件損益
-$50.00
成交量
$9,999.89
持倉數
NRG
VI5
vibing123
事件損益
-$47.50
成交量
$9,500.00
持倉數
NRG
GR6
gregbeast
事件損益
-$23.15
成交量
$7,949.01
持倉數
NRG
ME7
MestreLage
事件損益
-$97.85
成交量
$6,523.56
持倉數
NRG
118
0x11e5…4789
事件損益
-$25.63
成交量
$5,889.83
持倉數
Over

常見問題

目前市場對「Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-8.5) vs NRG (+8.5) 以 9,050% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5(9,050%),以及 Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-9.5) vs NRG (+9.5)(950%)。該市場總成交量已達 $893.3K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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