UFC Fight Night: Melissa Gatto vs. Ernesta Kareckaite (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)

$857.2K Vol
1年1月1日
Resolved
機率趨勢
Melissa Gatto 52.5%
Ernesta Kareckaite 47.5%

核心摘要

根據「UFC Fight Night: Melissa Gatto vs. Ernesta Kareckaite (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)」的最新預測市場資料，交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前，No 以壓倒性的 9,500% 獲勝機率主導市場；Yes 以 500% 位居第二。該市場的下注量已達 $857.2K，反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置，可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊：

🥇 第一梯隊：絕對領跑者

  • No (9,500%)：No 目前擁有最高機率，深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,500¢，顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊：主要挑戰者

  • Yes (500%)：作為最可行的替代選項，Yes 保持著 500% 的成真機率，其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 500¢。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解：

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes（成本）買入 No（成本）
1No9500.0%—9500¢-9400¢
2Yes500.0%—500¢-400¢

裁決規則

This market will resolve to "Melissa Gatto" if Melissa Gatto is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ernesta Kareckaite at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan, scheduled for October 10, 2026.

It will resolve to "Ernesta Kareckaite" if Ernesta Kareckaite is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 24, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Oct 10, 2026

  • 09:41 PM
    WHwhosay
    $8.00

    Bought 199.95 Yes for Will the fight be won by decision? at 0.04

  • 09:33 PM
    0X0xE91171f655bE1568e4c63f29663c0028649e3d4e-1765651946286
    $5.73

    Bought 6.03 No for Will the fight be won by decision? at 0.95

  • 09:33 PM
    DIdips.
    $67.89

    Bought 73 No for Will the fight be won by decision? at 0.93

  • 09:33 PM
    DIdips.
    $24.13

    Bought 25.946228 No for Will the fight be won by decision? at 0.93

  • 09:33 PM
    0X0xE91171f655bE1568e4c63f29663c0028649e3d4e-1765651946286
    $43.80

    Bought 106.82 No for Will the fight be won by decision? at 0.41

  • 09:33 PM
    DIdips.
    $58.14

    Bought 141.804879 No for Will the fight be won by decision? at 0.41

  • 09:33 PM
    0X0xE91171f655bE1568e4c63f29663c0028649e3d4e-1765651946286
    $21.06

    Bought 51.365854 No for Will the fight be won by decision? at 0.41

  • 09:31 PM
    ——
    $4.90

    Bought 5 Yes for Will the fight be won by decision? at 0.98

  • 09:31 PM
    0X0xE91171f655bE1568e4c63f29663c0028649e3d4e-1765651946286
    $0.05

    Bought 0.25 No for Will the fight be won by decision? at 0.2

  • 09:31 PM
    0X0xE91171f655bE1568e4c63f29663c0028649e3d4e-1765651946286
    $6.20

    Bought 31 No for Will the fight be won by decision? at 0.2

  • 09:31 PM
    0X0xB8eE94bD599A92D4747DdA5f3bc6D2B243349e81-1765943326811
    $3.09

    Bought 28.08 No for Will the fight be won by decision? at 0.11

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

ME1
MEK9
事件損益
-$162.00
成交量
$299.99
持倉數
Yes
DI2
dips.
事件損益
+$78.55
成交量
$240.75
持倉數
No
WH3
whosay
事件損益
+$2.00
成交量
$199.95
持倉數
Yes
E94
0xE911…6286
事件損益
+$108.88
成交量
$195.47
持倉數
No
JA5
Jarrad
事件損益
+$2.00
成交量
$99.98
持倉數
No
D06
0xd0df…d3f9
事件損益
-$51.67
成交量
$64.33
持倉數
Yes
B87
0xB8eE…6811
事件損益
+$23.59
成交量
$28.08
持倉數
No

常見問題

目前市場對「UFC Fight Night: Melissa Gatto vs. Ernesta Kareckaite (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)」的共識是什麼？

截至最新更新，No 以 9,500% 的獲勝機率領跑，其次是 Yes（500%）。該市場總成交量已達 $857.2K，顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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