
FC Porto vs. Manchester City FC - More Markets
核心摘要
根據「FC Porto vs. Manchester City FC - More Markets」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,O/U 0.5 以壓倒性的 9,450% 獲勝機率主導市場;Manchester City FC O/U 0.5 以 8,650% 位居第二,2nd Half O/U 0.5 以 8,150% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $93.4K,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- O/U 0.5 (9,450%):O/U 0.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,450¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $330 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- Manchester City FC O/U 0.5 (8,650%):作為最可行的替代選項,Manchester City FC O/U 0.5 保持著 8,650% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 8,650¢。
- 2nd Half O/U 0.5 (8,150%):以 8,150% 的機率位列第三,市場對 2nd Half O/U 0.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)
在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:
- 替代選項:包括 O/U 1.5 (8,050%)、Manchester City FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 (7,950%),以及 1st Half O/U 0.5 (7,250%)。
- 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 FC Porto O/U 0.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 0.5 | 9450.0% | $330 | 9450¢ | -9350¢ |
| 2 | Manchester City FC O/U 0.5 | 8650.0% | $642 | 8650¢ | -8550¢ |
| 3 | 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 8150.0% | — | 8150¢ | -8050¢ |
| 4 | O/U 1.5 | 8050.0% | $982 | 8050¢ | -7950¢ |
| 5 | Manchester City FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 7950.0% | — | 7950¢ | -7850¢ |
| 6 | 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 7250.0% | $1.0K | 7250¢ | -7150¢ |
| 7 | FC Porto O/U 0.5 | 6550.0% | $8 | 6550¢ | -6450¢ |
| 8 | Manchester City FC O/U 1.5 | 5900.0% | — | 5900¢ | -5800¢ |
| 9 | O/U 2.5 | 5850.0% | $32.2K | 5850¢ | -5750¢ |
| 10 | Both Teams to Score | 5750.0% | $16.4K | 5750¢ | -5650¢ |
| 11 | Manchester City FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 5750.0% | — | 5750¢ | -5650¢ |
| 12 | 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 13 | FC Porto 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 4550.0% | — | 4550¢ | -4450¢ |
| 14 | 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 3800.0% | — | 3800¢ | -3700¢ |
| 15 | FC Porto 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 3650.0% | $50 | 3650¢ | -3550¢ |
| 16 | O/U 3.5 | 3550.0% | $23.3K | 3550¢ | -3450¢ |
| 17 | Manchester City FC (-1.5) | 3450.0% | $4.4K | 3450¢ | -3350¢ |
| 18 | Manchester City FC O/U 2.5 | 3150.0% | $1 | 3150¢ | -3050¢ |
| 19 | Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 3050.0% | — | 3050¢ | -2950¢ |
| 20 | Manchester City FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 3050.0% | — | 3050¢ | -2950¢ |
| 21 | FC Porto O/U 1.5 | 2850.0% | $1.6K | 2850¢ | -2750¢ |
| 22 | 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 2450.0% | — | 2450¢ | -2350¢ |
| 23 | Both Teams to Score in First Half | 2150.0% | — | 2150¢ | -2050¢ |
| 24 | Manchester City FC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 2050.0% | — | 2050¢ | -1950¢ |
| 25 | O/U 4.5 | 1850.0% | $2.8K | 1850¢ | -1750¢ |
| 26 | Manchester City FC (-2.5) | 1650.0% | $4.4K | 1650¢ | -1550¢ |
| 27 | 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 1450.0% | $41 | 1450¢ | -1350¢ |
| 28 | FC Porto 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 1150.0% | — | 1150¢ | -1050¢ |
| 29 | FC Porto O/U 2.5 | 900.0% | $11 | 900¢ | -800¢ |
| 30 | O/U 5.5 | 800.0% | $3.1K | 800¢ | -700¢ |
| 31 | FC Porto 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 750.0% | — | 750¢ | -650¢ |
| 32 | FC Porto (-1.5) | 650.0% | $513 | 650¢ | -550¢ |
| 33 | FC Porto (-2.5) | 165.0% | $1.5K | 165¢ | -65¢ |
裁決規則
More markets for the UEFA Champions League game, scheduled for September 8 at 3:00 PM ET.
交易動態
以下是該事件的交易動態。
Sep 8, 2026
- 08:55 AMNInigiri99$94.54
Bought 163 Yes for FC Porto vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score at 0.58
- 08:35 AMNInigiri99$23.78
Bought 41 Yes for FC Porto vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score at 0.58
- 08:27 AMNInigiri99$18.56
Bought 32 Yes for FC Porto vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score at 0.58
- 08:26 AMTHthanksfornothing$2.00
Bought 3.448276 Over for FC Porto vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5 at 0.58
- 08:21 AMUPUpTheBlues$2.55
Bought 7.5 Under for FC Porto vs. Manchester City FC: FC Porto O/U 0.5 at 0.34
- 08:21 AM0X0xb8B94A3f1DFf534F2f2d16f94D257258eBD1baE7-1773536989191$10.00
Bought 15.384614 Under for FC Porto vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5 at 0.65
- 08:21 AMCOColdMath$260.00
Bought 400 Under for FC Porto vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5 at 0.65
- 08:21 AMFLfl9dqwubtwzf$2.60
Bought 4 Under for FC Porto vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5 at 0.65
- 08:21 AM——$1.01
Bought 1.553845 Under for FC Porto vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5 at 0.65
- 08:21 AMYAyaoyao6888$9.85
Bought 15.15 Under for FC Porto vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5 at 0.65
- 08:14 AMSAsagarvadalia$100.00
Bought 123.456789 Over for FC Porto vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5 at 0.81
- 08:00 AMDSdsadssss$0.86
Bought 14.29 Under for FC Porto vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 0.5 at 0.06
正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包
常見問題
目前市場對「FC Porto vs. Manchester City FC - More Markets」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,O/U 0.5 以 9,450% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Manchester City FC O/U 0.5(8,650%),以及 2nd Half O/U 0.5(8,150%)。該市場總成交量已達 $93.4K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
