Trump tries to fire Lisa Cook by...?

根據「Trump tries to fire Lisa Cook by...?」的最新預測市場資料，交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前，No 以壓倒性的 8,400% 獲勝機率主導市場；Yes 以 1,600% 位居第二。該市場的下注量已達 $26K，反映出市場的高度關注。

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置，可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊：

🥇 第一梯隊：絕對領跑者

• No (8,400%)：No 目前擁有最高機率，深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 8,400¢，顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊：主要挑戰者

• Yes (1,600%)：作為最可行的替代選項，Yes 保持著 1,600% 的成真機率，其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 1,600¢。

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Lisa Cook as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Cook must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Cook) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.

If Lisa Cook resigns or otherwise formally departs her role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.