Serbian presidential election called by...?

根據「Serbian presidential election called by...?」的最新預測市場資料，交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前，October 31 以壓倒性的 4,350% 獲勝機率主導市場；October 15 以 3,900% 位居第二，September 30 以 2,250% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $20，反映出市場的高度關注。

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置，可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊：

🥇 第一梯隊：絕對領跑者

• October 31 (4,350%)：October 31 目前擁有最高機率，深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 4,350¢，顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊：主要挑戰者

• October 15 (3,900%)：作為最可行的替代選項，October 15 保持著 3,900% 的成真機率，其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 3,900¢。
• September 30 (2,250%)：以 2,250% 的機率位列第三，市場對 September 30 持謹慎懷疑態度，除非勢頭轉變，否則視其為外圍黑馬。

On September 27, 2026, Aleksandar Vučić resigned as President of Serbia.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Serbian presidential election is called by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An election is called when it has been declared under the relevant Serbian electoral, legal, or constitutional procedures, to take place on a specific date, and the date of the election has been publicly announced.

A statement of intention to call the election will not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Serbia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.